The Niño3.4 region predictability beyond the persistence barrier

The Niño3.4 region predictability beyond the persistence barrier

The predictability of the Niño3.4 region, especially the skill loss for lead times longer than two seasons, is the target of this study. We use an equatorial version of a seasonal statistical model to identify a seasonal predictability barrier, the skill loss of the predictions which target the summ...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Miguel Tasambay-Salazar, María José Ortizbeviá, Francisco J. Alvarez-GarcÍa, Antonio M. Ruiz De Elvira
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Stockholm University Press 2015-09-01
Series:Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Subjects:
Niño3.4
predictability
barrier
predictors
tropical
extratropical
seasonal
stochastic
models
Online Access:http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/27457/pdf_54

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