Risk‐averse perimeter control for alleviating the congestion of an urban traffic network system with uncertainties

Abstract The perimeter control method is an effective way to alleviate traffic congestion that is based on Macroscopic Fundamental Diagrams (MFDs). However, the strategy may lead to congestion when it ignores the uncertainty of MFDs. To address this problem, this paper presents a risk‐averse perimet...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yuntao Shi, Ying Zhang, Xiang Yin, Weichuan Liu, Tingshen Cheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-01-01
Series:IET Intelligent Transport Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1049/itr2.12434
_version_ 1797354989935394816
author Yuntao Shi
Ying Zhang
Xiang Yin
Weichuan Liu
Tingshen Cheng
author_facet Yuntao Shi
Ying Zhang
Xiang Yin
Weichuan Liu
Tingshen Cheng
author_sort Yuntao Shi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The perimeter control method is an effective way to alleviate traffic congestion that is based on Macroscopic Fundamental Diagrams (MFDs). However, the strategy may lead to congestion when it ignores the uncertainty of MFDs. To address this problem, this paper presents a risk‐averse perimeter control method. First, the urban traffic network system with uncertainty is modeled using a neural network and scenario tree. Then, this research quantifies the congestion risk caused by uncertainty using an average value‐at‐risk. The next step sees the design of a risk‐averse model predictive control (MPC) controller that takes the multi‐stage risk as the optimization objective and improves robustness by interpolating between the conventional stochastic and worst‐case MPC formulations. Finally, this paper analyzes the risk‐sensitive stability of an urban traffic network system and gives a solvable form of risk‐averse optimal control for this system. Finally, two simulations are conducted to verify the presented method's validity and superiority for an urban traffic network system with uncertainties. The simulation results show that the risk‐averse perimeter control method presented by this paper is superior because it reduces the total travel time by 12.98% compared to Stochastic MPC, by 15.96% compared to bang‐bang control, and by 14.54% compared to proportional‐integral.
first_indexed 2024-03-08T13:57:46Z
format Article
id doaj.art-2075efc3b1af4fe39e107f5be8be339c
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1751-956X
1751-9578
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-08T13:57:46Z
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series IET Intelligent Transport Systems
spelling doaj.art-2075efc3b1af4fe39e107f5be8be339c2024-01-15T09:12:38ZengWileyIET Intelligent Transport Systems1751-956X1751-95782024-01-01181728710.1049/itr2.12434Risk‐averse perimeter control for alleviating the congestion of an urban traffic network system with uncertaintiesYuntao Shi0Ying Zhang1Xiang Yin2Weichuan Liu3Tingshen Cheng4School of Electrical and Control Engineering North China University of Technology Beijing ChinaSchool of Electrical and Control Engineering North China University of Technology Beijing ChinaSchool of Electrical and Control Engineering North China University of Technology Beijing ChinaSchool of Electrical and Control Engineering North China University of Technology Beijing ChinaSchool of Electrical and Control Engineering North China University of Technology Beijing ChinaAbstract The perimeter control method is an effective way to alleviate traffic congestion that is based on Macroscopic Fundamental Diagrams (MFDs). However, the strategy may lead to congestion when it ignores the uncertainty of MFDs. To address this problem, this paper presents a risk‐averse perimeter control method. First, the urban traffic network system with uncertainty is modeled using a neural network and scenario tree. Then, this research quantifies the congestion risk caused by uncertainty using an average value‐at‐risk. The next step sees the design of a risk‐averse model predictive control (MPC) controller that takes the multi‐stage risk as the optimization objective and improves robustness by interpolating between the conventional stochastic and worst‐case MPC formulations. Finally, this paper analyzes the risk‐sensitive stability of an urban traffic network system and gives a solvable form of risk‐averse optimal control for this system. Finally, two simulations are conducted to verify the presented method's validity and superiority for an urban traffic network system with uncertainties. The simulation results show that the risk‐averse perimeter control method presented by this paper is superior because it reduces the total travel time by 12.98% compared to Stochastic MPC, by 15.96% compared to bang‐bang control, and by 14.54% compared to proportional‐integral.https://doi.org/10.1049/itr2.12434intelligent controlintelligent transportation systemsnonlinear control systemspredictive control
spellingShingle Yuntao Shi
Ying Zhang
Xiang Yin
Weichuan Liu
Tingshen Cheng
Risk‐averse perimeter control for alleviating the congestion of an urban traffic network system with uncertainties
IET Intelligent Transport Systems
intelligent control
intelligent transportation systems
nonlinear control systems
predictive control
title Risk‐averse perimeter control for alleviating the congestion of an urban traffic network system with uncertainties
title_full Risk‐averse perimeter control for alleviating the congestion of an urban traffic network system with uncertainties
title_fullStr Risk‐averse perimeter control for alleviating the congestion of an urban traffic network system with uncertainties
title_full_unstemmed Risk‐averse perimeter control for alleviating the congestion of an urban traffic network system with uncertainties
title_short Risk‐averse perimeter control for alleviating the congestion of an urban traffic network system with uncertainties
title_sort risk averse perimeter control for alleviating the congestion of an urban traffic network system with uncertainties
topic intelligent control
intelligent transportation systems
nonlinear control systems
predictive control
url https://doi.org/10.1049/itr2.12434
work_keys_str_mv AT yuntaoshi riskaverseperimetercontrolforalleviatingthecongestionofanurbantrafficnetworksystemwithuncertainties
AT yingzhang riskaverseperimetercontrolforalleviatingthecongestionofanurbantrafficnetworksystemwithuncertainties
AT xiangyin riskaverseperimetercontrolforalleviatingthecongestionofanurbantrafficnetworksystemwithuncertainties
AT weichuanliu riskaverseperimetercontrolforalleviatingthecongestionofanurbantrafficnetworksystemwithuncertainties
AT tingshencheng riskaverseperimetercontrolforalleviatingthecongestionofanurbantrafficnetworksystemwithuncertainties