Compilation of petro-populism index and evaluation of populist policies on inflation rate in Iran using synthetic control method (SCM).

Inflation is one of the consequences and costs of economic populism. Since symbols of populism have appeared in Iran in recent decades,two goals have been pursued in this research. First, based on the literature on populism, economic populism and oil populism, 8 incides for oil populism have been pr...

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Main Authors: Mohammad Meisam Mirfendereski, Alimorad Sharifi, Mohsen Renani, Shahram Moeeni
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Semnan University 2023-08-01
Series:مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_7951_91ce68d3231c07991e4eac65bb7db9f7.pdf
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author Mohammad Meisam Mirfendereski
Alimorad Sharifi
Mohsen Renani
Shahram Moeeni
author_facet Mohammad Meisam Mirfendereski
Alimorad Sharifi
Mohsen Renani
Shahram Moeeni
author_sort Mohammad Meisam Mirfendereski
collection DOAJ
description Inflation is one of the consequences and costs of economic populism. Since symbols of populism have appeared in Iran in recent decades,two goals have been pursued in this research. First, based on the literature on populism, economic populism and oil populism, 8 incides for oil populism have been proposed. The results of the calculations of the 8 incides for Iran during the period of 19978-2018 show that for the period of the ninth and tenth governments, the years 2005-2013, these 8 indicators have the highest values. To calculate a single index of oil populism, the geometric mean of 8 suggested indices was calculated during the mentioned period and it was found that this index has the highest value in 2009 compared to the length of the studied period. After clarifying this matter, the synthetic control method has been used to evaluate the populist policies in Iran on the inflation process during the period of 2005-2013. Iran was selected as the country under treatment or policy and 10 oil exporting country as the control group. The results of the research show that the real and simulated trends of Iran's inflation rate from 2005 onwards have a significant difference.. ‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬ ‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬
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spelling doaj.art-2079a0c7736141daa264282bd3f6d3422024-02-23T18:09:27ZfasSemnan Universityمدلسازی اقتصادسنجی2345-654X2821-21502023-08-018293410.22075/jem.2023.30184.18187951Compilation of petro-populism index and evaluation of populist policies on inflation rate in Iran using synthetic control method (SCM).Mohammad Meisam Mirfendereski0Alimorad Sharifi1Mohsen Renani2Shahram Moeeni3Ph.D. Student in Economics, Department of Economics, University of IsfahanDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Administrative Sciences and Economics, University of IsfahanDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Administrative Sciences and Economics, University of IsfahanAssistant Professor in Economics, Department of Economics, Faculty of Administrative Sciences and Economics, University of IsfahanInflation is one of the consequences and costs of economic populism. Since symbols of populism have appeared in Iran in recent decades,two goals have been pursued in this research. First, based on the literature on populism, economic populism and oil populism, 8 incides for oil populism have been proposed. The results of the calculations of the 8 incides for Iran during the period of 19978-2018 show that for the period of the ninth and tenth governments, the years 2005-2013, these 8 indicators have the highest values. To calculate a single index of oil populism, the geometric mean of 8 suggested indices was calculated during the mentioned period and it was found that this index has the highest value in 2009 compared to the length of the studied period. After clarifying this matter, the synthetic control method has been used to evaluate the populist policies in Iran on the inflation process during the period of 2005-2013. Iran was selected as the country under treatment or policy and 10 oil exporting country as the control group. The results of the research show that the real and simulated trends of Iran's inflation rate from 2005 onwards have a significant difference.. ‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬ ‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_7951_91ce68d3231c07991e4eac65bb7db9f7.pdfclassic populism.new populism. petro-populism . inflation ratsyntheticcontrol method
spellingShingle Mohammad Meisam Mirfendereski
Alimorad Sharifi
Mohsen Renani
Shahram Moeeni
Compilation of petro-populism index and evaluation of populist policies on inflation rate in Iran using synthetic control method (SCM).
مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
classic populism.new populism
. petro-populism . inflation rat
synthetic
control method
title Compilation of petro-populism index and evaluation of populist policies on inflation rate in Iran using synthetic control method (SCM).
title_full Compilation of petro-populism index and evaluation of populist policies on inflation rate in Iran using synthetic control method (SCM).
title_fullStr Compilation of petro-populism index and evaluation of populist policies on inflation rate in Iran using synthetic control method (SCM).
title_full_unstemmed Compilation of petro-populism index and evaluation of populist policies on inflation rate in Iran using synthetic control method (SCM).
title_short Compilation of petro-populism index and evaluation of populist policies on inflation rate in Iran using synthetic control method (SCM).
title_sort compilation of petro populism index and evaluation of populist policies on inflation rate in iran using synthetic control method scm
topic classic populism.new populism
. petro-populism . inflation rat
synthetic
control method
url https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_7951_91ce68d3231c07991e4eac65bb7db9f7.pdf
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