A Hierarchical Bayesian approach to small area estimation of health insurance coverage in Ethiopian administrative zones for better policies and programs

Abstract Sample surveys are extensively used to provide reliable direct estimates for large areas or domains with enough sample sizes at national and regional levels. However, zones are unplanned domains by the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) program and need more sample sizes to produce direct...

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Main Authors: Yegnanew A. Shiferaw, Seyifemickael Amare Yilema, Yikeber Abebaw Moyehodie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2024-04-01
Series:Health Economics Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13561-024-00498-3
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author Yegnanew A. Shiferaw
Seyifemickael Amare Yilema
Yikeber Abebaw Moyehodie
author_facet Yegnanew A. Shiferaw
Seyifemickael Amare Yilema
Yikeber Abebaw Moyehodie
author_sort Yegnanew A. Shiferaw
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Sample surveys are extensively used to provide reliable direct estimates for large areas or domains with enough sample sizes at national and regional levels. However, zones are unplanned domains by the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) program and need more sample sizes to produce direct survey estimates with adequate precision. Conducting surveys in small areas (like zones) is too expensive and time-consuming, making it unfeasible for developing countries like Ethiopia. Therefore, this study aims to use the Hierarchical Bayes (HB) Small Area Estimation (SAE) model to estimate the Community-Based Health Insurance (CBHI) coverage at the zone levels in Ethiopia. To achieve this, we combined the 2019 Ethiopia Mini-Demographic and Health Survey (EMDHS) data with the 2007 population census data. SAE has addressed the challenge of producing reliable parameter estimates for small or even zero sample sizes across Ethiopian zones by utilizing auxiliary information from the population census. The results show that model-based estimates generated by the SAE approach are more accurate than direct survey estimates of CBHI. A map of CBHI scheme coverage was also used to visualize the spatial variation in the distribution of CBHI scheme coverage. From the CBHI scheme coverage map, we noticed notable variations in CBHI scheme coverage across Ethiopian zones. Additionally, this research identified areas with high and low CBHI scheme coverage to improve decision-making and increase coverage in Ethiopia. One of the novelties of this paper is estimating the non-sampled zones; therefore, the policymakers will give equal attention similar to the sampled zones.
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spelling doaj.art-20e04bdfa4a84312990bdf30713ec56c2024-04-21T11:08:20ZengBMCHealth Economics Review2191-19912024-04-0114111410.1186/s13561-024-00498-3A Hierarchical Bayesian approach to small area estimation of health insurance coverage in Ethiopian administrative zones for better policies and programsYegnanew A. Shiferaw0Seyifemickael Amare Yilema1Yikeber Abebaw Moyehodie2Department of Statistics, University of JohannesburgDepartment of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational Science, Debre Tabor UniversityDepartment of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational Science, Debre Tabor UniversityAbstract Sample surveys are extensively used to provide reliable direct estimates for large areas or domains with enough sample sizes at national and regional levels. However, zones are unplanned domains by the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) program and need more sample sizes to produce direct survey estimates with adequate precision. Conducting surveys in small areas (like zones) is too expensive and time-consuming, making it unfeasible for developing countries like Ethiopia. Therefore, this study aims to use the Hierarchical Bayes (HB) Small Area Estimation (SAE) model to estimate the Community-Based Health Insurance (CBHI) coverage at the zone levels in Ethiopia. To achieve this, we combined the 2019 Ethiopia Mini-Demographic and Health Survey (EMDHS) data with the 2007 population census data. SAE has addressed the challenge of producing reliable parameter estimates for small or even zero sample sizes across Ethiopian zones by utilizing auxiliary information from the population census. The results show that model-based estimates generated by the SAE approach are more accurate than direct survey estimates of CBHI. A map of CBHI scheme coverage was also used to visualize the spatial variation in the distribution of CBHI scheme coverage. From the CBHI scheme coverage map, we noticed notable variations in CBHI scheme coverage across Ethiopian zones. Additionally, this research identified areas with high and low CBHI scheme coverage to improve decision-making and increase coverage in Ethiopia. One of the novelties of this paper is estimating the non-sampled zones; therefore, the policymakers will give equal attention similar to the sampled zones.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13561-024-00498-3Disaggregated level CBHI schemeHierarchical Bayes modelSmall area estimationEthiopia
spellingShingle Yegnanew A. Shiferaw
Seyifemickael Amare Yilema
Yikeber Abebaw Moyehodie
A Hierarchical Bayesian approach to small area estimation of health insurance coverage in Ethiopian administrative zones for better policies and programs
Health Economics Review
Disaggregated level CBHI scheme
Hierarchical Bayes model
Small area estimation
Ethiopia
title A Hierarchical Bayesian approach to small area estimation of health insurance coverage in Ethiopian administrative zones for better policies and programs
title_full A Hierarchical Bayesian approach to small area estimation of health insurance coverage in Ethiopian administrative zones for better policies and programs
title_fullStr A Hierarchical Bayesian approach to small area estimation of health insurance coverage in Ethiopian administrative zones for better policies and programs
title_full_unstemmed A Hierarchical Bayesian approach to small area estimation of health insurance coverage in Ethiopian administrative zones for better policies and programs
title_short A Hierarchical Bayesian approach to small area estimation of health insurance coverage in Ethiopian administrative zones for better policies and programs
title_sort hierarchical bayesian approach to small area estimation of health insurance coverage in ethiopian administrative zones for better policies and programs
topic Disaggregated level CBHI scheme
Hierarchical Bayes model
Small area estimation
Ethiopia
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13561-024-00498-3
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