The impact of tropical sea surface temperature on extreme precipitation in Pakistan during the summer of 2022

In August 2022, Pakistan experienced an unprecedented precipitation event that caused significant damage. Analysis of the observations reveals that this extreme rainfall is primarily driven by anomalous atmospheric zonal advection, resulting in an anomalous water vapor concentration in Pakistan. The...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yulan Luo, Lin Liu, Yun Zhang, Shahbaz Mehmood, Yang Yang, Guang Yang, Yongliang Duan, Qiuchi Li, Ai Zeng, Weidong Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2024-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad2f77
_version_ 1827320256448692224
author Yulan Luo
Lin Liu
Yun Zhang
Shahbaz Mehmood
Yang Yang
Guang Yang
Yongliang Duan
Qiuchi Li
Ai Zeng
Weidong Yu
author_facet Yulan Luo
Lin Liu
Yun Zhang
Shahbaz Mehmood
Yang Yang
Guang Yang
Yongliang Duan
Qiuchi Li
Ai Zeng
Weidong Yu
author_sort Yulan Luo
collection DOAJ
description In August 2022, Pakistan experienced an unprecedented precipitation event that caused significant damage. Analysis of the observations reveals that this extreme rainfall is primarily driven by anomalous atmospheric zonal advection, resulting in an anomalous water vapor concentration in Pakistan. The climatological meridional advection also contributes to this flooding. Anomalous easterly winds and low-level vertical convection combine to be critical factors contributing to the moisture concentration over the country. Further investigation identifies the air-sea interaction over the tropical Indian Ocean and abnormal warming over the Arabian Sea are crucial factors influencing this extreme flooding event. The concurrent occurrence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole event and the warming sea surface temperature anomalies in the northern Arabian Sea intensifies the easterly winds over Pakistan, helping to transfer the anomalous water vapor from the remote region into Pakistan, ultimately contributing to the extreme flooding in 2022.
first_indexed 2024-04-25T00:42:41Z
format Article
id doaj.art-20e65093f1cd415f8d9bb7a4851932e9
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1748-9326
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-25T00:42:41Z
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher IOP Publishing
record_format Article
series Environmental Research Letters
spelling doaj.art-20e65093f1cd415f8d9bb7a4851932e92024-03-12T08:11:36ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262024-01-0119404401210.1088/1748-9326/ad2f77The impact of tropical sea surface temperature on extreme precipitation in Pakistan during the summer of 2022Yulan Luo0Lin Liu1Yun Zhang2Shahbaz Mehmood3Yang Yang4Guang Yang5Yongliang Duan6Qiuchi Li7Ai Zeng8Weidong Yu9College of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology , Changsha, People’s Republic of China; First Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources and Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology , Qingdao, People’s Republic of China; Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) , Zhuhai, People’s Republic of China; Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling, Ministry of Natural Resources , Qingdao, People’s Republic of ChinaFirst Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources and Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology , Qingdao, People’s Republic of China; Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) , Zhuhai, People’s Republic of China; Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling, Ministry of Natural Resources , Qingdao, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology , Changsha, People’s Republic of ChinaGlobal Climate-Change Impact Studies Centre (GCISC), Ministry of Climate Change & Environmental Coordination (MoCC&EC) , Islamabad, PakistanFirst Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources and Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology , Qingdao, People’s Republic of China; Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling, Ministry of Natural Resources , Qingdao, People’s Republic of ChinaFirst Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources and Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology , Qingdao, People’s Republic of China; Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling, Ministry of Natural Resources , Qingdao, People’s Republic of ChinaFirst Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources and Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology , Qingdao, People’s Republic of China; Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling, Ministry of Natural Resources , Qingdao, People’s Republic of ChinaFirst Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources and Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology , Qingdao, People’s Republic of ChinaFirst Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources and Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology , Qingdao, People’s Republic of China; Harbin Engineering University , Qingdao, People’s Republic of ChinaSouthern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) , Zhuhai, People’s Republic of China; Sun Yat-Sen University , Zhuhai, People’s Republic of ChinaIn August 2022, Pakistan experienced an unprecedented precipitation event that caused significant damage. Analysis of the observations reveals that this extreme rainfall is primarily driven by anomalous atmospheric zonal advection, resulting in an anomalous water vapor concentration in Pakistan. The climatological meridional advection also contributes to this flooding. Anomalous easterly winds and low-level vertical convection combine to be critical factors contributing to the moisture concentration over the country. Further investigation identifies the air-sea interaction over the tropical Indian Ocean and abnormal warming over the Arabian Sea are crucial factors influencing this extreme flooding event. The concurrent occurrence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole event and the warming sea surface temperature anomalies in the northern Arabian Sea intensifies the easterly winds over Pakistan, helping to transfer the anomalous water vapor from the remote region into Pakistan, ultimately contributing to the extreme flooding in 2022.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad2f77extreme floodingIndian ocean dipoleSSTAPakistan rainfall
spellingShingle Yulan Luo
Lin Liu
Yun Zhang
Shahbaz Mehmood
Yang Yang
Guang Yang
Yongliang Duan
Qiuchi Li
Ai Zeng
Weidong Yu
The impact of tropical sea surface temperature on extreme precipitation in Pakistan during the summer of 2022
Environmental Research Letters
extreme flooding
Indian ocean dipole
SSTA
Pakistan rainfall
title The impact of tropical sea surface temperature on extreme precipitation in Pakistan during the summer of 2022
title_full The impact of tropical sea surface temperature on extreme precipitation in Pakistan during the summer of 2022
title_fullStr The impact of tropical sea surface temperature on extreme precipitation in Pakistan during the summer of 2022
title_full_unstemmed The impact of tropical sea surface temperature on extreme precipitation in Pakistan during the summer of 2022
title_short The impact of tropical sea surface temperature on extreme precipitation in Pakistan during the summer of 2022
title_sort impact of tropical sea surface temperature on extreme precipitation in pakistan during the summer of 2022
topic extreme flooding
Indian ocean dipole
SSTA
Pakistan rainfall
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad2f77
work_keys_str_mv AT yulanluo theimpactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT linliu theimpactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT yunzhang theimpactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT shahbazmehmood theimpactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT yangyang theimpactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT guangyang theimpactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT yongliangduan theimpactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT qiuchili theimpactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT aizeng theimpactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT weidongyu theimpactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT yulanluo impactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT linliu impactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT yunzhang impactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT shahbazmehmood impactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT yangyang impactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT guangyang impactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT yongliangduan impactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT qiuchili impactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT aizeng impactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022
AT weidongyu impactoftropicalseasurfacetemperatureonextremeprecipitationinpakistanduringthesummerof2022