Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries
Three different models were applied to study the reproduction, survival and dispersal of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the Scheldt estuaries and the southern North Sea: a high-resolution particle tracking model with passive particles, a low-resolution particle tracking model with a reprodu...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2015-06-01
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Series: | Ocean Science |
Online Access: | http://www.ocean-sci.net/11/405/2015/os-11-405-2015.pdf |
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author | J. van der Molen J. van Beek S. Augustine L. Vansteenbrugge L. van Walraven V. Langenberg H. W. van der Veer K. Hostens S. Pitois J. Robbens |
author_facet | J. van der Molen J. van Beek S. Augustine L. Vansteenbrugge L. van Walraven V. Langenberg H. W. van der Veer K. Hostens S. Pitois J. Robbens |
author_sort | J. van der Molen |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Three different models were applied to study the reproduction, survival and
dispersal of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the Scheldt estuaries and the southern North Sea: a
high-resolution particle tracking model with passive particles, a low-resolution particle tracking model with a reproduction model coupled to a
biogeochemical model, and a dynamic energy budget (DEB) model. The results of the
models, each with its strengths and weaknesses, suggest the following
conceptual situation: (i) the estuaries possess enough retention capability
to keep an overwintering population, and enough exchange with coastal waters
of the North Sea to seed offshore populations; (ii) <i>M. leidyi</i> can survive in the
North Sea, and be transported over considerable distances, thus facilitating
connectivity between coastal embayments; (iii) under current climatic
conditions, <i>M. leidyi</i> may not be able to reproduce in large numbers in coastal and
offshore waters of the North Sea, but this may change with global warming; however, this result is subject to substantial uncertainty. Further
quantitative observational work is needed on the effects of temperature,
salinity and food availability on reproduction and on mortality at different
life stages to improve models such as used here. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-11T22:31:45Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-20fa3209535542259a4c0666187dd409 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1812-0784 1812-0792 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-11T22:31:45Z |
publishDate | 2015-06-01 |
publisher | Copernicus Publications |
record_format | Article |
series | Ocean Science |
spelling | doaj.art-20fa3209535542259a4c0666187dd4092022-12-22T00:48:07ZengCopernicus PublicationsOcean Science1812-07841812-07922015-06-0111340542410.5194/os-11-405-2015Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuariesJ. van der Molen0J. van Beek1S. Augustine2L. Vansteenbrugge3L. van Walraven4V. Langenberg5H. W. van der Veer6K. Hostens7S. Pitois8J. Robbens9The Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science (CEFAS), Lowestoft, UKDeltares, Delft, the NetherlandsCenter for Ocean Life, Charlottenlund, DenmarkInstituut voor Landbouw – en Visserij Onderzoek (ILVO), Oostende, BelgiumRoyal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ), Den Burg (Texel), the NetherlandsDeltares, Delft, the NetherlandsRoyal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ), Den Burg (Texel), the NetherlandsInstituut voor Landbouw – en Visserij Onderzoek (ILVO), Oostende, BelgiumThe Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science (CEFAS), Lowestoft, UKInstituut voor Landbouw – en Visserij Onderzoek (ILVO), Oostende, BelgiumThree different models were applied to study the reproduction, survival and dispersal of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the Scheldt estuaries and the southern North Sea: a high-resolution particle tracking model with passive particles, a low-resolution particle tracking model with a reproduction model coupled to a biogeochemical model, and a dynamic energy budget (DEB) model. The results of the models, each with its strengths and weaknesses, suggest the following conceptual situation: (i) the estuaries possess enough retention capability to keep an overwintering population, and enough exchange with coastal waters of the North Sea to seed offshore populations; (ii) <i>M. leidyi</i> can survive in the North Sea, and be transported over considerable distances, thus facilitating connectivity between coastal embayments; (iii) under current climatic conditions, <i>M. leidyi</i> may not be able to reproduce in large numbers in coastal and offshore waters of the North Sea, but this may change with global warming; however, this result is subject to substantial uncertainty. Further quantitative observational work is needed on the effects of temperature, salinity and food availability on reproduction and on mortality at different life stages to improve models such as used here.http://www.ocean-sci.net/11/405/2015/os-11-405-2015.pdf |
spellingShingle | J. van der Molen J. van Beek S. Augustine L. Vansteenbrugge L. van Walraven V. Langenberg H. W. van der Veer K. Hostens S. Pitois J. Robbens Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries Ocean Science |
title | Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries |
title_full | Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries |
title_fullStr | Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries |
title_full_unstemmed | Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries |
title_short | Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries |
title_sort | modelling survival and connectivity of i mnemiopsis leidyi i in the south western north sea and scheldt estuaries |
url | http://www.ocean-sci.net/11/405/2015/os-11-405-2015.pdf |
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