Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries

Three different models were applied to study the reproduction, survival and dispersal of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the Scheldt estuaries and the southern North Sea: a high-resolution particle tracking model with passive particles, a low-resolution particle tracking model with a reprodu...

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Main Authors: J. van der Molen, J. van Beek, S. Augustine, L. Vansteenbrugge, L. van Walraven, V. Langenberg, H. W. van der Veer, K. Hostens, S. Pitois, J. Robbens
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2015-06-01
Series:Ocean Science
Online Access:http://www.ocean-sci.net/11/405/2015/os-11-405-2015.pdf
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author J. van der Molen
J. van Beek
S. Augustine
L. Vansteenbrugge
L. van Walraven
V. Langenberg
H. W. van der Veer
K. Hostens
S. Pitois
J. Robbens
author_facet J. van der Molen
J. van Beek
S. Augustine
L. Vansteenbrugge
L. van Walraven
V. Langenberg
H. W. van der Veer
K. Hostens
S. Pitois
J. Robbens
author_sort J. van der Molen
collection DOAJ
description Three different models were applied to study the reproduction, survival and dispersal of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the Scheldt estuaries and the southern North Sea: a high-resolution particle tracking model with passive particles, a low-resolution particle tracking model with a reproduction model coupled to a biogeochemical model, and a dynamic energy budget (DEB) model. The results of the models, each with its strengths and weaknesses, suggest the following conceptual situation: (i) the estuaries possess enough retention capability to keep an overwintering population, and enough exchange with coastal waters of the North Sea to seed offshore populations; (ii) <i>M. leidyi</i> can survive in the North Sea, and be transported over considerable distances, thus facilitating connectivity between coastal embayments; (iii) under current climatic conditions, <i>M. leidyi</i> may not be able to reproduce in large numbers in coastal and offshore waters of the North Sea, but this may change with global warming; however, this result is subject to substantial uncertainty. Further quantitative observational work is needed on the effects of temperature, salinity and food availability on reproduction and on mortality at different life stages to improve models such as used here.
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spelling doaj.art-20fa3209535542259a4c0666187dd4092022-12-22T00:48:07ZengCopernicus PublicationsOcean Science1812-07841812-07922015-06-0111340542410.5194/os-11-405-2015Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuariesJ. van der Molen0J. van Beek1S. Augustine2L. Vansteenbrugge3L. van Walraven4V. Langenberg5H. W. van der Veer6K. Hostens7S. Pitois8J. Robbens9The Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science (CEFAS), Lowestoft, UKDeltares, Delft, the NetherlandsCenter for Ocean Life, Charlottenlund, DenmarkInstituut voor Landbouw – en Visserij Onderzoek (ILVO), Oostende, BelgiumRoyal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ), Den Burg (Texel), the NetherlandsDeltares, Delft, the NetherlandsRoyal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ), Den Burg (Texel), the NetherlandsInstituut voor Landbouw – en Visserij Onderzoek (ILVO), Oostende, BelgiumThe Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science (CEFAS), Lowestoft, UKInstituut voor Landbouw – en Visserij Onderzoek (ILVO), Oostende, BelgiumThree different models were applied to study the reproduction, survival and dispersal of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the Scheldt estuaries and the southern North Sea: a high-resolution particle tracking model with passive particles, a low-resolution particle tracking model with a reproduction model coupled to a biogeochemical model, and a dynamic energy budget (DEB) model. The results of the models, each with its strengths and weaknesses, suggest the following conceptual situation: (i) the estuaries possess enough retention capability to keep an overwintering population, and enough exchange with coastal waters of the North Sea to seed offshore populations; (ii) <i>M. leidyi</i> can survive in the North Sea, and be transported over considerable distances, thus facilitating connectivity between coastal embayments; (iii) under current climatic conditions, <i>M. leidyi</i> may not be able to reproduce in large numbers in coastal and offshore waters of the North Sea, but this may change with global warming; however, this result is subject to substantial uncertainty. Further quantitative observational work is needed on the effects of temperature, salinity and food availability on reproduction and on mortality at different life stages to improve models such as used here.http://www.ocean-sci.net/11/405/2015/os-11-405-2015.pdf
spellingShingle J. van der Molen
J. van Beek
S. Augustine
L. Vansteenbrugge
L. van Walraven
V. Langenberg
H. W. van der Veer
K. Hostens
S. Pitois
J. Robbens
Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries
Ocean Science
title Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries
title_full Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries
title_fullStr Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries
title_full_unstemmed Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries
title_short Modelling survival and connectivity of <i>Mnemiopsis leidyi</i> in the south-western North Sea and Scheldt estuaries
title_sort modelling survival and connectivity of i mnemiopsis leidyi i in the south western north sea and scheldt estuaries
url http://www.ocean-sci.net/11/405/2015/os-11-405-2015.pdf
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