Predictive Score Model for Delayed Graft Function Based on Easily Available Variables before Kidney Donation after Cardiac Death

Background: How to evaluate the quality of donation after cardiac death (DCD) kidneys has become a critical problem in kidney transplantation in China. Hence, the aim of this study was to develop a simple donor risk score model to evaluate the quality of DCD kidneys before DCD. Methods: A total of 5...

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Main Authors: Chen-Guang Ding, Qian-Hui Tai, Feng Han, Yang Li, Xiao-Hui Tian, Pu-Xun Tian, Xiao-Ming Ding, Xiao-Ming Pan, Jin Zheng, He-Li Xiang, Wu-Jun Xue
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wolters Kluwer 2017-01-01
Series:Chinese Medical Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.cmj.org/article.asp?issn=0366-6999;year=2017;volume=130;issue=20;spage=2429;epage=2434;aulast=Ding
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author Chen-Guang Ding
Qian-Hui Tai
Feng Han
Yang Li
Xiao-Hui Tian
Pu-Xun Tian
Xiao-Ming Ding
Xiao-Ming Pan
Jin Zheng
He-Li Xiang
Wu-Jun Xue
author_facet Chen-Guang Ding
Qian-Hui Tai
Feng Han
Yang Li
Xiao-Hui Tian
Pu-Xun Tian
Xiao-Ming Ding
Xiao-Ming Pan
Jin Zheng
He-Li Xiang
Wu-Jun Xue
author_sort Chen-Guang Ding
collection DOAJ
description Background: How to evaluate the quality of donation after cardiac death (DCD) kidneys has become a critical problem in kidney transplantation in China. Hence, the aim of this study was to develop a simple donor risk score model to evaluate the quality of DCD kidneys before DCD. Methods: A total of 543 qualified kidneys were randomized in a 2:1 manner to create the development and validation cohorts. The donor variables in the development cohort were considered as candidate univariate predictors of delayed graft function (DGF). Multivariate logistic regression was then used to identify independent predictors of DGF with P < 0.05. Date from validation cohort were used to validate the donor scoring model. Results: Based on the odds ratios, eight identified variables were assigned a weighted integer; the sum of the integer was the total risk score for each kidney. The donor risk score, ranging from 0 to 28, demonstrated good discriminative power with a C-statistic of 0.790. Similar results were obtained from validation cohort with C-statistic of 0.783. Based on the obtained frequencies of DGF in relation to different risk scores, we formed four risk categories of increasing severity (scores 0–4, 5–9, 10–14, and 15–28). Conclusions: The scoring model might be a good noninvasive tool for assessing the quality of DCD kidneys before donation and potentially useful for physicians to make optimal decisions about donor organ offers.
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spelling doaj.art-210e0880dc0d42b0a0f926c02021d6b82022-12-21T23:07:56ZengWolters KluwerChinese Medical Journal0366-69992017-01-01130202429243410.4103/0366-6999.216409Predictive Score Model for Delayed Graft Function Based on Easily Available Variables before Kidney Donation after Cardiac DeathChen-Guang DingQian-Hui TaiFeng HanYang LiXiao-Hui TianPu-Xun TianXiao-Ming DingXiao-Ming PanJin ZhengHe-Li XiangWu-Jun XueBackground: How to evaluate the quality of donation after cardiac death (DCD) kidneys has become a critical problem in kidney transplantation in China. Hence, the aim of this study was to develop a simple donor risk score model to evaluate the quality of DCD kidneys before DCD. Methods: A total of 543 qualified kidneys were randomized in a 2:1 manner to create the development and validation cohorts. The donor variables in the development cohort were considered as candidate univariate predictors of delayed graft function (DGF). Multivariate logistic regression was then used to identify independent predictors of DGF with P < 0.05. Date from validation cohort were used to validate the donor scoring model. Results: Based on the odds ratios, eight identified variables were assigned a weighted integer; the sum of the integer was the total risk score for each kidney. The donor risk score, ranging from 0 to 28, demonstrated good discriminative power with a C-statistic of 0.790. Similar results were obtained from validation cohort with C-statistic of 0.783. Based on the obtained frequencies of DGF in relation to different risk scores, we formed four risk categories of increasing severity (scores 0–4, 5–9, 10–14, and 15–28). Conclusions: The scoring model might be a good noninvasive tool for assessing the quality of DCD kidneys before donation and potentially useful for physicians to make optimal decisions about donor organ offers.http://www.cmj.org/article.asp?issn=0366-6999;year=2017;volume=130;issue=20;spage=2429;epage=2434;aulast=DingDelayed Graft FunctionDonation after Cardiac DeathKidney TransplantationPredictive Score
spellingShingle Chen-Guang Ding
Qian-Hui Tai
Feng Han
Yang Li
Xiao-Hui Tian
Pu-Xun Tian
Xiao-Ming Ding
Xiao-Ming Pan
Jin Zheng
He-Li Xiang
Wu-Jun Xue
Predictive Score Model for Delayed Graft Function Based on Easily Available Variables before Kidney Donation after Cardiac Death
Chinese Medical Journal
Delayed Graft Function
Donation after Cardiac Death
Kidney Transplantation
Predictive Score
title Predictive Score Model for Delayed Graft Function Based on Easily Available Variables before Kidney Donation after Cardiac Death
title_full Predictive Score Model for Delayed Graft Function Based on Easily Available Variables before Kidney Donation after Cardiac Death
title_fullStr Predictive Score Model for Delayed Graft Function Based on Easily Available Variables before Kidney Donation after Cardiac Death
title_full_unstemmed Predictive Score Model for Delayed Graft Function Based on Easily Available Variables before Kidney Donation after Cardiac Death
title_short Predictive Score Model for Delayed Graft Function Based on Easily Available Variables before Kidney Donation after Cardiac Death
title_sort predictive score model for delayed graft function based on easily available variables before kidney donation after cardiac death
topic Delayed Graft Function
Donation after Cardiac Death
Kidney Transplantation
Predictive Score
url http://www.cmj.org/article.asp?issn=0366-6999;year=2017;volume=130;issue=20;spage=2429;epage=2434;aulast=Ding
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