The DO-climate events are probably noise induced: statistical investigation of the claimed 1470 years cycle

The significance of the apparent 1470 years cycle in the recurrence of the Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events, observed in the Greenland ice cores, is debated. Here we present statistical significance tests of this periodicity. The detection of a periodicity relies strongly on the accuracy of the dating...

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Main Authors: P. D. Ditlevsen, K. K. Andersen, A. Svensson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2007-01-01
Series:Climate of the Past
Online Access:http://www.clim-past.net/3/129/2007/cp-3-129-2007.pdf
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author P. D. Ditlevsen
K. K. Andersen
A. Svensson
author_facet P. D. Ditlevsen
K. K. Andersen
A. Svensson
author_sort P. D. Ditlevsen
collection DOAJ
description The significance of the apparent 1470 years cycle in the recurrence of the Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events, observed in the Greenland ice cores, is debated. Here we present statistical significance tests of this periodicity. The detection of a periodicity relies strongly on the accuracy of the dating of the DO events. Here we use both the new NGRIP GICC05 time scale based on multi-parameter annual layer counting and the GISP2 time scale where the periodicity is most pronounced. For the NGRIP dating the recurrence times are indistinguishable from a random occurrence. This is also the case for the GISP2 dating, except in the case where the DO9 event is omitted from the record.
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spelling doaj.art-2169126c7236477cb0f4c8c1d2e059622022-12-21T19:57:38ZengCopernicus PublicationsClimate of the Past1814-93241814-93322007-01-0131129134The DO-climate events are probably noise induced: statistical investigation of the claimed 1470 years cycleP. D. DitlevsenK. K. AndersenA. SvenssonThe significance of the apparent 1470 years cycle in the recurrence of the Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events, observed in the Greenland ice cores, is debated. Here we present statistical significance tests of this periodicity. The detection of a periodicity relies strongly on the accuracy of the dating of the DO events. Here we use both the new NGRIP GICC05 time scale based on multi-parameter annual layer counting and the GISP2 time scale where the periodicity is most pronounced. For the NGRIP dating the recurrence times are indistinguishable from a random occurrence. This is also the case for the GISP2 dating, except in the case where the DO9 event is omitted from the record.http://www.clim-past.net/3/129/2007/cp-3-129-2007.pdf
spellingShingle P. D. Ditlevsen
K. K. Andersen
A. Svensson
The DO-climate events are probably noise induced: statistical investigation of the claimed 1470 years cycle
Climate of the Past
title The DO-climate events are probably noise induced: statistical investigation of the claimed 1470 years cycle
title_full The DO-climate events are probably noise induced: statistical investigation of the claimed 1470 years cycle
title_fullStr The DO-climate events are probably noise induced: statistical investigation of the claimed 1470 years cycle
title_full_unstemmed The DO-climate events are probably noise induced: statistical investigation of the claimed 1470 years cycle
title_short The DO-climate events are probably noise induced: statistical investigation of the claimed 1470 years cycle
title_sort do climate events are probably noise induced statistical investigation of the claimed 1470 years cycle
url http://www.clim-past.net/3/129/2007/cp-3-129-2007.pdf
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