Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics
This paper is to introduce a new approach in building the national Energy Mix Vision, share an initial stage of the system dynamics modelling and discuss the modelling challenges. A literature review defines the preferred modelling for Indonesia, empirical data are then solicited to demonstrate the...
Main Authors: | , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Aalborg University Open Publishing
2018-08-01
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Series: | International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management |
Online Access: | https://journals.aau.dk/index.php/sepm/article/view/2127 |
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author | Kartono Sani Manahan Siallagan Utomo Sarjono Putro Kuntoro Mangkusubroto |
author_facet | Kartono Sani Manahan Siallagan Utomo Sarjono Putro Kuntoro Mangkusubroto |
author_sort | Kartono Sani |
collection | DOAJ |
description | This paper is to introduce a new approach in building the national Energy Mix Vision, share an initial stage of the system dynamics modelling and discuss the modelling challenges. A literature review defines the preferred modelling for Indonesia, empirical data are then solicited to demonstrate the supply mix trends and used as baseline in developing the initial model to represent the past behaviour prior to be enhanced, upgraded and simulated to perform the desired behaviour towards the vision. The initial simulation runs succeed in imitating the historical trends and suggests that engineering of the model to the envisaged patterns and then examined through Focus Group Discussions may offer viable solution. The unprecedented use of System Dynamics and the results are unique.
Keywords: Comparative Overview; Empirical Data; System Dynamic Modelling; Initial Model of Indonesia Today; Modelling Challenges; |
first_indexed | 2024-04-24T14:34:00Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-21b7509f3b184857a9ccd9f302f567bd |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2246-2929 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-24T14:34:00Z |
publishDate | 2018-08-01 |
publisher | Aalborg University Open Publishing |
record_format | Article |
series | International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management |
spelling | doaj.art-21b7509f3b184857a9ccd9f302f567bd2024-04-03T01:34:57ZengAalborg University Open PublishingInternational Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management2246-29292018-08-011810.5278/ijsepm.2018.18.31792Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System DynamicsKartono Sani0Manahan Siallagan1Utomo Sarjono Putro2Kuntoro Mangkusubroto3School of Business and Management-Institut Teknologi BandungSchool of Business and Management, Institut Teknologi BandungSchool of Business and Management, Institut Teknologi BandungSchool of Business and Management, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Jakarta campusThis paper is to introduce a new approach in building the national Energy Mix Vision, share an initial stage of the system dynamics modelling and discuss the modelling challenges. A literature review defines the preferred modelling for Indonesia, empirical data are then solicited to demonstrate the supply mix trends and used as baseline in developing the initial model to represent the past behaviour prior to be enhanced, upgraded and simulated to perform the desired behaviour towards the vision. The initial simulation runs succeed in imitating the historical trends and suggests that engineering of the model to the envisaged patterns and then examined through Focus Group Discussions may offer viable solution. The unprecedented use of System Dynamics and the results are unique. Keywords: Comparative Overview; Empirical Data; System Dynamic Modelling; Initial Model of Indonesia Today; Modelling Challenges;https://journals.aau.dk/index.php/sepm/article/view/2127 |
spellingShingle | Kartono Sani Manahan Siallagan Utomo Sarjono Putro Kuntoro Mangkusubroto Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management |
title | Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics |
title_full | Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics |
title_fullStr | Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics |
title_full_unstemmed | Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics |
title_short | Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics |
title_sort | indonesia energy mix modelling using system dynamics |
url | https://journals.aau.dk/index.php/sepm/article/view/2127 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT kartonosani indonesiaenergymixmodellingusingsystemdynamics AT manahansiallagan indonesiaenergymixmodellingusingsystemdynamics AT utomosarjonoputro indonesiaenergymixmodellingusingsystemdynamics AT kuntoromangkusubroto indonesiaenergymixmodellingusingsystemdynamics |