Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics

This paper is to introduce a new approach in building the national Energy Mix Vision, share an initial stage of the system dynamics modelling and discuss the modelling challenges. A literature review defines the preferred modelling for Indonesia, empirical data are then solicited to demonstrate the...

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Main Authors: Kartono Sani, Manahan Siallagan, Utomo Sarjono Putro, Kuntoro Mangkusubroto
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Aalborg University Open Publishing 2018-08-01
Series:International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
Online Access:https://journals.aau.dk/index.php/sepm/article/view/2127
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author Kartono Sani
Manahan Siallagan
Utomo Sarjono Putro
Kuntoro Mangkusubroto
author_facet Kartono Sani
Manahan Siallagan
Utomo Sarjono Putro
Kuntoro Mangkusubroto
author_sort Kartono Sani
collection DOAJ
description This paper is to introduce a new approach in building the national Energy Mix Vision, share an initial stage of the system dynamics modelling and discuss the modelling challenges. A literature review defines the preferred modelling for Indonesia, empirical data are then solicited to demonstrate the supply mix trends and used as baseline in developing the initial model to represent the past behaviour prior to be enhanced, upgraded and simulated to perform the desired behaviour towards the vision. The initial simulation runs succeed in imitating the historical trends and suggests that engineering of the model to the envisaged patterns and then examined through Focus Group Discussions may offer viable solution. The unprecedented use of System Dynamics and the results are unique.  Keywords: Comparative Overview; Empirical Data; System Dynamic Modelling; Initial Model of Indonesia Today; Modelling Challenges;
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issn 2246-2929
language English
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publishDate 2018-08-01
publisher Aalborg University Open Publishing
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series International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
spelling doaj.art-21b7509f3b184857a9ccd9f302f567bd2024-04-03T01:34:57ZengAalborg University Open PublishingInternational Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management2246-29292018-08-011810.5278/ijsepm.2018.18.31792Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System DynamicsKartono Sani0Manahan Siallagan1Utomo Sarjono Putro2Kuntoro Mangkusubroto3School of Business and Management-Institut Teknologi BandungSchool of Business and Management, Institut Teknologi BandungSchool of Business and Management, Institut Teknologi BandungSchool of Business and Management, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Jakarta campusThis paper is to introduce a new approach in building the national Energy Mix Vision, share an initial stage of the system dynamics modelling and discuss the modelling challenges. A literature review defines the preferred modelling for Indonesia, empirical data are then solicited to demonstrate the supply mix trends and used as baseline in developing the initial model to represent the past behaviour prior to be enhanced, upgraded and simulated to perform the desired behaviour towards the vision. The initial simulation runs succeed in imitating the historical trends and suggests that engineering of the model to the envisaged patterns and then examined through Focus Group Discussions may offer viable solution. The unprecedented use of System Dynamics and the results are unique.  Keywords: Comparative Overview; Empirical Data; System Dynamic Modelling; Initial Model of Indonesia Today; Modelling Challenges;https://journals.aau.dk/index.php/sepm/article/view/2127
spellingShingle Kartono Sani
Manahan Siallagan
Utomo Sarjono Putro
Kuntoro Mangkusubroto
Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics
International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
title Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics
title_full Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics
title_fullStr Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics
title_short Indonesia Energy Mix Modelling Using System Dynamics
title_sort indonesia energy mix modelling using system dynamics
url https://journals.aau.dk/index.php/sepm/article/view/2127
work_keys_str_mv AT kartonosani indonesiaenergymixmodellingusingsystemdynamics
AT manahansiallagan indonesiaenergymixmodellingusingsystemdynamics
AT utomosarjonoputro indonesiaenergymixmodellingusingsystemdynamics
AT kuntoromangkusubroto indonesiaenergymixmodellingusingsystemdynamics