CombineDeepNet: A Deep Network for Multistep Prediction of Near-Surface PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> Concentration

PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> is a type of air pollutant that can cause respiratory and cardiovascular problems. Precise PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math>&...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Prasanjit Dey, Soumyabrata Dev, Bianca Schoen Phelan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2024-01-01
Series:IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10319682/
_version_ 1797400993697103872
author Prasanjit Dey
Soumyabrata Dev
Bianca Schoen Phelan
author_facet Prasanjit Dey
Soumyabrata Dev
Bianca Schoen Phelan
author_sort Prasanjit Dey
collection DOAJ
description PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> is a type of air pollutant that can cause respiratory and cardiovascular problems. Precise PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mu {\text {g/m}} ^{3}$</tex-math></inline-formula>) concentration prediction may help reduce health concerns and provide early warnings. To better understand air pollution, a number of approaches have been presented for predicting PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> concentrations. Previous research used deep learning models for hourly predictions of air pollutants due to their success in pattern recognition, however, these models were unsuitable for multisite, long-term predictions, particularly in regard to the correlation between pollutants and meteorological data. This article proposes the combine deep network (CombineDeepNet), which combines multiple deep networks, including a bidirectional long short-term memory, bidirectional gated recurrent units, and a shallow model represented by fully connected layers, to create a hybrid forecasting system. It can effectively capture the complex relationships between air pollutants and various influencing factors to predict hourly PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> concentrations in multiple monitoring sites based in China. The best root mean square error achieved was 22.0 <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mu {\text {g/m}} ^{3}$</tex-math></inline-formula> (long-term) and 6.2 <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mu {\text {g/m}} ^{3}$</tex-math></inline-formula> (short-term), with mean absolute error values of 3.4 <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mu {\text {g/m}} ^{3}$</tex-math></inline-formula> (long-term) and 2.2 <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mu {\text {g/m}} ^{3}$</tex-math></inline-formula> (short-term). In addition, the correlation coefficient (R<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$^{2}$</tex-math></inline-formula>) reached 0.96 (long-term) and 0.83 (short-term) across six monitoring sites. These results demonstrate that CombineDeepNet enhances prediction accuracy compared with popular deep learning methods. Therefore, CombineDeepNet proves to be a important framework for predicting PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> concentration.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T02:03:29Z
format Article
id doaj.art-21b82183bb8644ffb4337ee93db58944
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2151-1535
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T02:03:29Z
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher IEEE
record_format Article
series IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
spelling doaj.art-21b82183bb8644ffb4337ee93db589442023-12-08T00:02:02ZengIEEEIEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing2151-15352024-01-011778880710.1109/JSTARS.2023.333326910319682CombineDeepNet: A Deep Network for Multistep Prediction of Near-Surface PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> ConcentrationPrasanjit Dey0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2248-1701Soumyabrata Dev1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0153-1095Bianca Schoen Phelan2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8487-3690School of Computer Science, Technological University Dublin, Dublin, IrelandADAPT SFI Research Centre, School of Computer Science, University College Dublin, Belfield, IrelandSchool of Computer Science, Technological University Dublin, Dublin, IrelandPM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> is a type of air pollutant that can cause respiratory and cardiovascular problems. Precise PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mu {\text {g/m}} ^{3}$</tex-math></inline-formula>) concentration prediction may help reduce health concerns and provide early warnings. To better understand air pollution, a number of approaches have been presented for predicting PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> concentrations. Previous research used deep learning models for hourly predictions of air pollutants due to their success in pattern recognition, however, these models were unsuitable for multisite, long-term predictions, particularly in regard to the correlation between pollutants and meteorological data. This article proposes the combine deep network (CombineDeepNet), which combines multiple deep networks, including a bidirectional long short-term memory, bidirectional gated recurrent units, and a shallow model represented by fully connected layers, to create a hybrid forecasting system. It can effectively capture the complex relationships between air pollutants and various influencing factors to predict hourly PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> concentrations in multiple monitoring sites based in China. The best root mean square error achieved was 22.0 <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mu {\text {g/m}} ^{3}$</tex-math></inline-formula> (long-term) and 6.2 <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mu {\text {g/m}} ^{3}$</tex-math></inline-formula> (short-term), with mean absolute error values of 3.4 <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mu {\text {g/m}} ^{3}$</tex-math></inline-formula> (long-term) and 2.2 <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mu {\text {g/m}} ^{3}$</tex-math></inline-formula> (short-term). In addition, the correlation coefficient (R<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$^{2}$</tex-math></inline-formula>) reached 0.96 (long-term) and 0.83 (short-term) across six monitoring sites. These results demonstrate that CombineDeepNet enhances prediction accuracy compared with popular deep learning methods. Therefore, CombineDeepNet proves to be a important framework for predicting PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> concentration.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10319682/Air pollutionbidirectional gated recurrent units (BiGRU)bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM)prediction
spellingShingle Prasanjit Dey
Soumyabrata Dev
Bianca Schoen Phelan
CombineDeepNet: A Deep Network for Multistep Prediction of Near-Surface PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> Concentration
IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
Air pollution
bidirectional gated recurrent units (BiGRU)
bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM)
prediction
title CombineDeepNet: A Deep Network for Multistep Prediction of Near-Surface PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> Concentration
title_full CombineDeepNet: A Deep Network for Multistep Prediction of Near-Surface PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> Concentration
title_fullStr CombineDeepNet: A Deep Network for Multistep Prediction of Near-Surface PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> Concentration
title_full_unstemmed CombineDeepNet: A Deep Network for Multistep Prediction of Near-Surface PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> Concentration
title_short CombineDeepNet: A Deep Network for Multistep Prediction of Near-Surface PM<inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$_{2.5}$</tex-math></inline-formula> Concentration
title_sort combinedeepnet a deep network for multistep prediction of near surface pm inline formula tex math notation latex 2 5 tex math inline formula concentration
topic Air pollution
bidirectional gated recurrent units (BiGRU)
bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM)
prediction
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10319682/
work_keys_str_mv AT prasanjitdey combinedeepnetadeepnetworkformultisteppredictionofnearsurfacepminlineformulatexmathnotationlatex25texmathinlineformulaconcentration
AT soumyabratadev combinedeepnetadeepnetworkformultisteppredictionofnearsurfacepminlineformulatexmathnotationlatex25texmathinlineformulaconcentration
AT biancaschoenphelan combinedeepnetadeepnetworkformultisteppredictionofnearsurfacepminlineformulatexmathnotationlatex25texmathinlineformulaconcentration