Coupled Land‐Sea Warming Dominates the Net Land Carbon Uptake Variability in the Greater Bay Area of South China

Abstract As Earth's warming is driven by anthropogenic activities (e.g., urbanization), land and ocean warming significantly affect the net carbon uptake (NCU) of global ecosystems. However, the driving mechanism of coupled land‐sea warming on the NCU under rapid urbanization in coastal areas r...

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Main Authors: Bingxiong Fan, Yangfan Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-08-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002556
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author Bingxiong Fan
Yangfan Li
author_facet Bingxiong Fan
Yangfan Li
author_sort Bingxiong Fan
collection DOAJ
description Abstract As Earth's warming is driven by anthropogenic activities (e.g., urbanization), land and ocean warming significantly affect the net carbon uptake (NCU) of global ecosystems. However, the driving mechanism of coupled land‐sea warming on the NCU under rapid urbanization in coastal areas remains poorly understood. Here, we used long‐term remote sensing and meteorological observation data combined with spatial analysis and multivariate statistical methods to study the impact of coupled land‐sea warming and urbanization on land net primary productivity (LNPP, a proxy of the net land carbon uptake) in the Guangdong‐Hong Kong‐Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA), a rapidly urbanizing and climatically vulnerable area of South China. We found that the total LNPP decreased by 0.40 TgC from 1985 to 2015 and declined suddenly after 2003, driven by the reduced relative humidity and increased vapor pressure deficit (VPD). The increased VPD was caused by coupled land‐sea warming, and the indirect effect (γ = −0.51, p < 0.001) of coupled land‐sea warming on LNPP variability was much stronger than the direct effect (γ = −0.16, p < 0.05). In addition to the severe decline in the LNPP (0.20 TgC) induced by coupled land‐sea warming, urbanization caused a large loss in LNPP (0.16 TgC), which accounted for 40% of the total LNPP loss. Our findings can support future predictions of regional carbon uptake and inform future climate change mitigation strategies to implement carbon peak and neutrality goals.
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spelling doaj.art-21bad4f874fa4721938ec624b20dd1dd2022-12-22T01:38:43ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772022-08-01108n/an/a10.1029/2021EF002556Coupled Land‐Sea Warming Dominates the Net Land Carbon Uptake Variability in the Greater Bay Area of South ChinaBingxiong Fan0Yangfan Li1State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science College of the Environment and Ecology Xiamen University Xiamen ChinaState Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science College of the Environment and Ecology Xiamen University Xiamen ChinaAbstract As Earth's warming is driven by anthropogenic activities (e.g., urbanization), land and ocean warming significantly affect the net carbon uptake (NCU) of global ecosystems. However, the driving mechanism of coupled land‐sea warming on the NCU under rapid urbanization in coastal areas remains poorly understood. Here, we used long‐term remote sensing and meteorological observation data combined with spatial analysis and multivariate statistical methods to study the impact of coupled land‐sea warming and urbanization on land net primary productivity (LNPP, a proxy of the net land carbon uptake) in the Guangdong‐Hong Kong‐Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA), a rapidly urbanizing and climatically vulnerable area of South China. We found that the total LNPP decreased by 0.40 TgC from 1985 to 2015 and declined suddenly after 2003, driven by the reduced relative humidity and increased vapor pressure deficit (VPD). The increased VPD was caused by coupled land‐sea warming, and the indirect effect (γ = −0.51, p < 0.001) of coupled land‐sea warming on LNPP variability was much stronger than the direct effect (γ = −0.16, p < 0.05). In addition to the severe decline in the LNPP (0.20 TgC) induced by coupled land‐sea warming, urbanization caused a large loss in LNPP (0.16 TgC), which accounted for 40% of the total LNPP loss. Our findings can support future predictions of regional carbon uptake and inform future climate change mitigation strategies to implement carbon peak and neutrality goals.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002556coupled land‐sea warmingnet carbon uptakenet primary productionvapor pressure deficitturning pointsurbanization
spellingShingle Bingxiong Fan
Yangfan Li
Coupled Land‐Sea Warming Dominates the Net Land Carbon Uptake Variability in the Greater Bay Area of South China
Earth's Future
coupled land‐sea warming
net carbon uptake
net primary production
vapor pressure deficit
turning points
urbanization
title Coupled Land‐Sea Warming Dominates the Net Land Carbon Uptake Variability in the Greater Bay Area of South China
title_full Coupled Land‐Sea Warming Dominates the Net Land Carbon Uptake Variability in the Greater Bay Area of South China
title_fullStr Coupled Land‐Sea Warming Dominates the Net Land Carbon Uptake Variability in the Greater Bay Area of South China
title_full_unstemmed Coupled Land‐Sea Warming Dominates the Net Land Carbon Uptake Variability in the Greater Bay Area of South China
title_short Coupled Land‐Sea Warming Dominates the Net Land Carbon Uptake Variability in the Greater Bay Area of South China
title_sort coupled land sea warming dominates the net land carbon uptake variability in the greater bay area of south china
topic coupled land‐sea warming
net carbon uptake
net primary production
vapor pressure deficit
turning points
urbanization
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002556
work_keys_str_mv AT bingxiongfan coupledlandseawarmingdominatesthenetlandcarbonuptakevariabilityinthegreaterbayareaofsouthchina
AT yangfanli coupledlandseawarmingdominatesthenetlandcarbonuptakevariabilityinthegreaterbayareaofsouthchina