A Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave component

Rapid and accurate lifetime prediction of critical components in a system is important to maintaining the system’s reliable operation. To this end, many lifetime prediction methods have been developed to handle various failure-related data collected in different situations. Among these methods, mach...

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Main Authors: Fuqiang Sun, Xiaoyang Li, Haitao Liao, Xiankun Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2017-01-01
Series:Advances in Mechanical Engineering
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/1687814016685963
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author Fuqiang Sun
Xiaoyang Li
Haitao Liao
Xiankun Zhang
author_facet Fuqiang Sun
Xiaoyang Li
Haitao Liao
Xiankun Zhang
author_sort Fuqiang Sun
collection DOAJ
description Rapid and accurate lifetime prediction of critical components in a system is important to maintaining the system’s reliable operation. To this end, many lifetime prediction methods have been developed to handle various failure-related data collected in different situations. Among these methods, machine learning and Bayesian updating are the most popular ones. In this article, a Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method that combines least-squares support vector machine with Bayesian inference is developed for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave component. A degradation model describing the change in the component’s power gain over time is developed, and the point and interval remaining useful life estimates are obtained considering a predefined failure threshold. In our case study, the radial basis function neural network approach is also implemented for comparison purposes. The results indicate that the Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method is more precise and stable in predicting the remaining useful life of this type of components.
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spelling doaj.art-21dc6272b24b401dac7be10c7bb7afb32022-12-21T19:26:12ZengSAGE PublishingAdvances in Mechanical Engineering1687-81402017-01-01910.1177/168781401668596310.1177_1687814016685963A Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave componentFuqiang Sun0Xiaoyang Li1Haitao Liao2Xiankun Zhang3Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, USAScience and Technology on Reliability and Environmental Engineering Laboratory, School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Industrial Engineering, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, USAScience and Technology on Reliability and Environmental Engineering Laboratory, School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, ChinaRapid and accurate lifetime prediction of critical components in a system is important to maintaining the system’s reliable operation. To this end, many lifetime prediction methods have been developed to handle various failure-related data collected in different situations. Among these methods, machine learning and Bayesian updating are the most popular ones. In this article, a Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method that combines least-squares support vector machine with Bayesian inference is developed for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave component. A degradation model describing the change in the component’s power gain over time is developed, and the point and interval remaining useful life estimates are obtained considering a predefined failure threshold. In our case study, the radial basis function neural network approach is also implemented for comparison purposes. The results indicate that the Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method is more precise and stable in predicting the remaining useful life of this type of components.https://doi.org/10.1177/1687814016685963
spellingShingle Fuqiang Sun
Xiaoyang Li
Haitao Liao
Xiankun Zhang
A Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave component
Advances in Mechanical Engineering
title A Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave component
title_full A Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave component
title_fullStr A Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave component
title_full_unstemmed A Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave component
title_short A Bayesian least-squares support vector machine method for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave component
title_sort bayesian least squares support vector machine method for predicting the remaining useful life of a microwave component
url https://doi.org/10.1177/1687814016685963
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