China-Australia Trade Relations and China’s Barley Imports

The high concentration of China’s barley import sources determines that China’s barley import trade is vulnerable to the impact of tariff policy adjustment. In particular, in 2020, China implemented anti-dumping and anti-subsidy policies against Australia, the largest source of barley imports. There...

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Main Authors: Jingyi Liu, Xiande Li, Junmao Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-07-01
Series:Agriculture
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/13/8/1469
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author Jingyi Liu
Xiande Li
Junmao Sun
author_facet Jingyi Liu
Xiande Li
Junmao Sun
author_sort Jingyi Liu
collection DOAJ
description The high concentration of China’s barley import sources determines that China’s barley import trade is vulnerable to the impact of tariff policy adjustment. In particular, in 2020, China implemented anti-dumping and anti-subsidy policies against Australia, the largest source of barley imports. Therefore, whether China’s barley import trade will face import risks due to the adjustment of tariff policy has become a question worth discussing. Based on the above background, this study uses the partial equilibrium model to explore the impact of China’s adjustment of tariff policy on imported barley from Australia on China’s barley industry under the changing trade relations between China and Australia. Through analyzing the feasibility of developing domestic barley industry and expanding barley import sources, further explore strategies to deal with barley import trade risks. The results show that: Under the three import tariff adjustment simulations, the total import volume of China’s barley shows a downward trend, and the import price increases to varying degrees. However, the relatively small increase in domestic production suggests that the domestic barley market is less able to cope with the risk of a sharp drop in imports. At the same time, affected by the adjustment of tariff policy, some Chinese consumer demand is difficult to satisfy. China can deal with trade risks by implementing an import diversification strategy.
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spelling doaj.art-21ea34ad02e24103bc3669f741d9e4a72023-11-18T23:50:33ZengMDPI AGAgriculture2077-04722023-07-01138146910.3390/agriculture13081469China-Australia Trade Relations and China’s Barley ImportsJingyi Liu0Xiande Li1Junmao Sun2Institute of Food and Nutrition Development, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Beijing 100081, ChinaInstitute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, ChinaInstitute of Food and Nutrition Development, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Beijing 100081, ChinaThe high concentration of China’s barley import sources determines that China’s barley import trade is vulnerable to the impact of tariff policy adjustment. In particular, in 2020, China implemented anti-dumping and anti-subsidy policies against Australia, the largest source of barley imports. Therefore, whether China’s barley import trade will face import risks due to the adjustment of tariff policy has become a question worth discussing. Based on the above background, this study uses the partial equilibrium model to explore the impact of China’s adjustment of tariff policy on imported barley from Australia on China’s barley industry under the changing trade relations between China and Australia. Through analyzing the feasibility of developing domestic barley industry and expanding barley import sources, further explore strategies to deal with barley import trade risks. The results show that: Under the three import tariff adjustment simulations, the total import volume of China’s barley shows a downward trend, and the import price increases to varying degrees. However, the relatively small increase in domestic production suggests that the domestic barley market is less able to cope with the risk of a sharp drop in imports. At the same time, affected by the adjustment of tariff policy, some Chinese consumer demand is difficult to satisfy. China can deal with trade risks by implementing an import diversification strategy.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/13/8/1469trade relationstariff policybarley tradepartial equilibrium model
spellingShingle Jingyi Liu
Xiande Li
Junmao Sun
China-Australia Trade Relations and China’s Barley Imports
Agriculture
trade relations
tariff policy
barley trade
partial equilibrium model
title China-Australia Trade Relations and China’s Barley Imports
title_full China-Australia Trade Relations and China’s Barley Imports
title_fullStr China-Australia Trade Relations and China’s Barley Imports
title_full_unstemmed China-Australia Trade Relations and China’s Barley Imports
title_short China-Australia Trade Relations and China’s Barley Imports
title_sort china australia trade relations and china s barley imports
topic trade relations
tariff policy
barley trade
partial equilibrium model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/13/8/1469
work_keys_str_mv AT jingyiliu chinaaustraliatraderelationsandchinasbarleyimports
AT xiandeli chinaaustraliatraderelationsandchinasbarleyimports
AT junmaosun chinaaustraliatraderelationsandchinasbarleyimports