Taxi-demand forecasting using dynamic spatiotemporal analysis

Taxi-demand forecasting and hotspot prediction can be critical in reducing response times and designing a cost effective online taxi-booking model. Taxi demand in a region can be predicted by considering the past demand accumulated in that region over a span of time. However, other covariates—like n...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Akshata Gangrade, Pawel Pratyush, Gaurav Hajela
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Electronics and Telecommunications Research Institute (ETRI) 2022-08-01
Series:ETRI Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.4218/etrij.2021-0123
_version_ 1811223701518024704
author Akshata Gangrade
Pawel Pratyush
Gaurav Hajela
author_facet Akshata Gangrade
Pawel Pratyush
Gaurav Hajela
author_sort Akshata Gangrade
collection DOAJ
description Taxi-demand forecasting and hotspot prediction can be critical in reducing response times and designing a cost effective online taxi-booking model. Taxi demand in a region can be predicted by considering the past demand accumulated in that region over a span of time. However, other covariates—like neighborhood influence, sociodemographic parameters, and point-of-interest data—may also influence the spatiotemporal variation of demand. To study the effects of these covariates, in this paper, we propose three models that consider different covariates in order to select a set of independent variables. These models predict taxi demand in spatial units for a given temporal resolution using linear and ensemble regression. We eventually combine the characteristics (covariates) of each of these models to propose a robust forecasting framework which we call the combined covariates model (CCM). Experimental results show that the CCM performs better than the other models proposed in this paper.
first_indexed 2024-04-12T08:37:03Z
format Article
id doaj.art-2231d3ba43e8407592c7367ec8f6a98f
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1225-6463
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-12T08:37:03Z
publishDate 2022-08-01
publisher Electronics and Telecommunications Research Institute (ETRI)
record_format Article
series ETRI Journal
spelling doaj.art-2231d3ba43e8407592c7367ec8f6a98f2022-12-22T03:39:59ZengElectronics and Telecommunications Research Institute (ETRI)ETRI Journal1225-64632022-08-0144462464010.4218/etrij.2021-012310.4218/etrij.2021-0123Taxi-demand forecasting using dynamic spatiotemporal analysisAkshata GangradePawel PratyushGaurav HajelaTaxi-demand forecasting and hotspot prediction can be critical in reducing response times and designing a cost effective online taxi-booking model. Taxi demand in a region can be predicted by considering the past demand accumulated in that region over a span of time. However, other covariates—like neighborhood influence, sociodemographic parameters, and point-of-interest data—may also influence the spatiotemporal variation of demand. To study the effects of these covariates, in this paper, we propose three models that consider different covariates in order to select a set of independent variables. These models predict taxi demand in spatial units for a given temporal resolution using linear and ensemble regression. We eventually combine the characteristics (covariates) of each of these models to propose a robust forecasting framework which we call the combined covariates model (CCM). Experimental results show that the CCM performs better than the other models proposed in this paper.https://doi.org/10.4218/etrij.2021-0123combined covariates modelensemble regression modelslinear regressionspatiotemporal analysistaxi demand forecasting
spellingShingle Akshata Gangrade
Pawel Pratyush
Gaurav Hajela
Taxi-demand forecasting using dynamic spatiotemporal analysis
ETRI Journal
combined covariates model
ensemble regression models
linear regression
spatiotemporal analysis
taxi demand forecasting
title Taxi-demand forecasting using dynamic spatiotemporal analysis
title_full Taxi-demand forecasting using dynamic spatiotemporal analysis
title_fullStr Taxi-demand forecasting using dynamic spatiotemporal analysis
title_full_unstemmed Taxi-demand forecasting using dynamic spatiotemporal analysis
title_short Taxi-demand forecasting using dynamic spatiotemporal analysis
title_sort taxi demand forecasting using dynamic spatiotemporal analysis
topic combined covariates model
ensemble regression models
linear regression
spatiotemporal analysis
taxi demand forecasting
url https://doi.org/10.4218/etrij.2021-0123
work_keys_str_mv AT akshatagangrade taxidemandforecastingusingdynamicspatiotemporalanalysis
AT pawelpratyush taxidemandforecastingusingdynamicspatiotemporalanalysis
AT gauravhajela taxidemandforecastingusingdynamicspatiotemporalanalysis