The impact of tourism uncertainty on airline stock markets in Korea: a quantile regression approach

This study explores the impact of tourism uncertainty, including economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and travel crises arising from issues such as terrorism and disease outbreaks, on airline stock markets in Korea. Airline stock prices are particularly affected by tourism uncertainty. Using data from...

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Main Author: Ji-Hong Jeon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University 2021-06-01
Series:Journal of Business Economics and Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/JBEM/article/view/14668
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author Ji-Hong Jeon
author_facet Ji-Hong Jeon
author_sort Ji-Hong Jeon
collection DOAJ
description This study explores the impact of tourism uncertainty, including economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and travel crises arising from issues such as terrorism and disease outbreaks, on airline stock markets in Korea. Airline stock prices are particularly affected by tourism uncertainty. Using data from 2001–2018 and events influencing tourism uncertainty such as the 9/11 terrorist attacks and severe acute respiratory syndrome, quantile regression approach reveals how EPU influences airline stock prices in Korea during three market phases – bearish, normal, and bullish. EPU and travel crises negatively affect airline stock prices in Korea. Specifically, we document that higher EPU and more global travel crises lead to deeper reductions in stock prices in bullish markets. These results provide implications and insights for airline investors, stakeholders, and organizations concerned about the influence of tourism uncertainty on airline stock prices in Korea.
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spelling doaj.art-2258ec707dce4cb4946eebdd5ef981772022-12-21T18:48:32ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityJournal of Business Economics and Management1611-16992029-44332021-06-0122492393910.3846/jbem.2021.1466814668The impact of tourism uncertainty on airline stock markets in Korea: a quantile regression approachJi-Hong Jeon0School of Business, Hanyang University, Seoul, KoreaThis study explores the impact of tourism uncertainty, including economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and travel crises arising from issues such as terrorism and disease outbreaks, on airline stock markets in Korea. Airline stock prices are particularly affected by tourism uncertainty. Using data from 2001–2018 and events influencing tourism uncertainty such as the 9/11 terrorist attacks and severe acute respiratory syndrome, quantile regression approach reveals how EPU influences airline stock prices in Korea during three market phases – bearish, normal, and bullish. EPU and travel crises negatively affect airline stock prices in Korea. Specifically, we document that higher EPU and more global travel crises lead to deeper reductions in stock prices in bullish markets. These results provide implications and insights for airline investors, stakeholders, and organizations concerned about the influence of tourism uncertainty on airline stock prices in Korea.https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/JBEM/article/view/14668koreaeconomic policy uncertaintytravel crisisairlinestock marketquantile regression
spellingShingle Ji-Hong Jeon
The impact of tourism uncertainty on airline stock markets in Korea: a quantile regression approach
Journal of Business Economics and Management
korea
economic policy uncertainty
travel crisis
airline
stock market
quantile regression
title The impact of tourism uncertainty on airline stock markets in Korea: a quantile regression approach
title_full The impact of tourism uncertainty on airline stock markets in Korea: a quantile regression approach
title_fullStr The impact of tourism uncertainty on airline stock markets in Korea: a quantile regression approach
title_full_unstemmed The impact of tourism uncertainty on airline stock markets in Korea: a quantile regression approach
title_short The impact of tourism uncertainty on airline stock markets in Korea: a quantile regression approach
title_sort impact of tourism uncertainty on airline stock markets in korea a quantile regression approach
topic korea
economic policy uncertainty
travel crisis
airline
stock market
quantile regression
url https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/JBEM/article/view/14668
work_keys_str_mv AT jihongjeon theimpactoftourismuncertaintyonairlinestockmarketsinkoreaaquantileregressionapproach
AT jihongjeon impactoftourismuncertaintyonairlinestockmarketsinkoreaaquantileregressionapproach