PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION AND PRICE (IMPORTS, PRODUCERS AND CONSUMER) VOLATILITY OF SHALLOT IN PROBOLINGGO REGENCY
Changes in production, consumption, and import variables cause the price of shallots to fluctuate. A high and unpredictable price fluctuation increasing the volatility problem. This phenomenon gives results in risk, uncertainty and leading to a decline in the welfare of producers and consumers. Base...
| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
University of Brawijaya
2021-07-01
|
| Series: | AGRISE |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://agrise.ub.ac.id/index.php/agrise/article/view/494 |
| _version_ | 1818914559177523200 |
|---|---|
| author | Susanti Evie Sulistiowati Ratya Anindita Rosihan Asmara |
| author_facet | Susanti Evie Sulistiowati Ratya Anindita Rosihan Asmara |
| author_sort | Susanti Evie Sulistiowati |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Changes in production, consumption, and import variables cause the price of shallots to fluctuate. A high and unpredictable price fluctuation increasing the volatility problem. This phenomenon gives results in risk, uncertainty and leading to a decline in the welfare of producers and consumers. Based on the description of the problems above, it is important to analyze price, production, import, and consumption volatility to determined the level of risk and uncertainty faced by producers and consumers. This study uses monthly secondary data (time series) on production, price, imports, and consumption of shallots in Probolinggo Regency, for seven years (2013-2019). The ARCH/GARCH method is used to analyze the volatility of prices, production and consumption. The results from the analysis are the production variable has a low level of volatility, the consumption and import prices have high-level volatility, producer price has low-level volatility, while consumer prices has-high level volatility. From the results means that the risks and uncertainties faced by producers in conducting shallot cultivation are low. While for the consumer means the risks and uncertainties in consuming shallots are high. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-19T23:48:18Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-227a62797be3464aa120b4062d8a9e76 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1412-1425 2252-6757 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-19T23:48:18Z |
| publishDate | 2021-07-01 |
| publisher | University of Brawijaya |
| record_format | Article |
| series | AGRISE |
| spelling | doaj.art-227a62797be3464aa120b4062d8a9e762022-12-21T20:01:14ZengUniversity of BrawijayaAGRISE1412-14252252-67572021-07-0121323524010.21776/ub.agrise.2021.021.3.8310PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION AND PRICE (IMPORTS, PRODUCERS AND CONSUMER) VOLATILITY OF SHALLOT IN PROBOLINGGO REGENCYSusanti Evie Sulistiowati0Ratya Anindita1Rosihan Asmara2Universitas BrawijayaFaculty of Agriculture, Brawijaya UniversityFaculty of Agriculture, Brawijaya UniversityChanges in production, consumption, and import variables cause the price of shallots to fluctuate. A high and unpredictable price fluctuation increasing the volatility problem. This phenomenon gives results in risk, uncertainty and leading to a decline in the welfare of producers and consumers. Based on the description of the problems above, it is important to analyze price, production, import, and consumption volatility to determined the level of risk and uncertainty faced by producers and consumers. This study uses monthly secondary data (time series) on production, price, imports, and consumption of shallots in Probolinggo Regency, for seven years (2013-2019). The ARCH/GARCH method is used to analyze the volatility of prices, production and consumption. The results from the analysis are the production variable has a low level of volatility, the consumption and import prices have high-level volatility, producer price has low-level volatility, while consumer prices has-high level volatility. From the results means that the risks and uncertainties faced by producers in conducting shallot cultivation are low. While for the consumer means the risks and uncertainties in consuming shallots are high.https://agrise.ub.ac.id/index.php/agrise/article/view/494consumptionimportproductionshallotvolatility |
| spellingShingle | Susanti Evie Sulistiowati Ratya Anindita Rosihan Asmara PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION AND PRICE (IMPORTS, PRODUCERS AND CONSUMER) VOLATILITY OF SHALLOT IN PROBOLINGGO REGENCY AGRISE consumption import production shallot volatility |
| title | PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION AND PRICE (IMPORTS, PRODUCERS AND CONSUMER) VOLATILITY OF SHALLOT IN PROBOLINGGO REGENCY |
| title_full | PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION AND PRICE (IMPORTS, PRODUCERS AND CONSUMER) VOLATILITY OF SHALLOT IN PROBOLINGGO REGENCY |
| title_fullStr | PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION AND PRICE (IMPORTS, PRODUCERS AND CONSUMER) VOLATILITY OF SHALLOT IN PROBOLINGGO REGENCY |
| title_full_unstemmed | PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION AND PRICE (IMPORTS, PRODUCERS AND CONSUMER) VOLATILITY OF SHALLOT IN PROBOLINGGO REGENCY |
| title_short | PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION AND PRICE (IMPORTS, PRODUCERS AND CONSUMER) VOLATILITY OF SHALLOT IN PROBOLINGGO REGENCY |
| title_sort | production consumption and price imports producers and consumer volatility of shallot in probolinggo regency |
| topic | consumption import production shallot volatility |
| url | https://agrise.ub.ac.id/index.php/agrise/article/view/494 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT susantieviesulistiowati productionconsumptionandpriceimportsproducersandconsumervolatilityofshallotinprobolinggoregency AT ratyaanindita productionconsumptionandpriceimportsproducersandconsumervolatilityofshallotinprobolinggoregency AT rosihanasmara productionconsumptionandpriceimportsproducersandconsumervolatilityofshallotinprobolinggoregency |