Dynamic Causality between Consumer Price and Producer Price in Iran: An Application of Continuous Wavelet Transformation

In this study, the continuous wavelet transformation approach is employed to test the dynamics of the causality between two principal inflation indices i.e. consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) based on monthly data from 1990:5 to 2013:12 for the Iranian economy. Analyzing the d...

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Main Authors: Firouz Fallahi, Hossein Asgharpur, Sajjad Abdollahzadeh
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2015-03-01
Series:فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_2490_42dacfb2b46c0bda7ebb71206c0b29fb.pdf
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author Firouz Fallahi
Hossein Asgharpur
Sajjad Abdollahzadeh
author_facet Firouz Fallahi
Hossein Asgharpur
Sajjad Abdollahzadeh
author_sort Firouz Fallahi
collection DOAJ
description In this study, the continuous wavelet transformation approach is employed to test the dynamics of the causality between two principal inflation indices i.e. consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) based on monthly data from 1990:5 to 2013:12 for the Iranian economy. Analyzing the dynamics of causality between these two inflation indices could provide significant policy implications. One of the dominant aspects of this approach compared with the conventional causality tests is that it has a higher ability in analyzing dynamics of causality between time series. The wavelet, as a band pass filter to the time series, is stretched in time by varying its scale, which makes it possible to show the short run and long run causalities between the time series. In this paper, we apply the continuous wavelet transformation to study the inflationary cycles of the Iranian economy. The results confirm both demand-pull and cost-push nature of inflation by indicating bidirectional causality between the CPI and PPI. In fact, the causality directions vary over time depending on different economic conditions.
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spelling doaj.art-228e13400fd644439078388f10c5c8962024-01-02T10:29:13ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressفصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران1726-07282476-64452015-03-0120628110710.22054/ijer.2015.24902490Dynamic Causality between Consumer Price and Producer Price in Iran: An Application of Continuous Wavelet TransformationFirouz Fallahi0Hossein Asgharpur1Sajjad Abdollahzadeh2دانشیارگروه اقتصاد دانشگاه تبریزدانشیار گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه تبریزدانش آموخته کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد دانشگاه تبریزIn this study, the continuous wavelet transformation approach is employed to test the dynamics of the causality between two principal inflation indices i.e. consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) based on monthly data from 1990:5 to 2013:12 for the Iranian economy. Analyzing the dynamics of causality between these two inflation indices could provide significant policy implications. One of the dominant aspects of this approach compared with the conventional causality tests is that it has a higher ability in analyzing dynamics of causality between time series. The wavelet, as a band pass filter to the time series, is stretched in time by varying its scale, which makes it possible to show the short run and long run causalities between the time series. In this paper, we apply the continuous wavelet transformation to study the inflationary cycles of the Iranian economy. The results confirm both demand-pull and cost-push nature of inflation by indicating bidirectional causality between the CPI and PPI. In fact, the causality directions vary over time depending on different economic conditions.https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_2490_42dacfb2b46c0bda7ebb71206c0b29fb.pdfinflationconsumer price indexproducer price indexwavelet approach
spellingShingle Firouz Fallahi
Hossein Asgharpur
Sajjad Abdollahzadeh
Dynamic Causality between Consumer Price and Producer Price in Iran: An Application of Continuous Wavelet Transformation
فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
inflation
consumer price index
producer price index
wavelet approach
title Dynamic Causality between Consumer Price and Producer Price in Iran: An Application of Continuous Wavelet Transformation
title_full Dynamic Causality between Consumer Price and Producer Price in Iran: An Application of Continuous Wavelet Transformation
title_fullStr Dynamic Causality between Consumer Price and Producer Price in Iran: An Application of Continuous Wavelet Transformation
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic Causality between Consumer Price and Producer Price in Iran: An Application of Continuous Wavelet Transformation
title_short Dynamic Causality between Consumer Price and Producer Price in Iran: An Application of Continuous Wavelet Transformation
title_sort dynamic causality between consumer price and producer price in iran an application of continuous wavelet transformation
topic inflation
consumer price index
producer price index
wavelet approach
url https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_2490_42dacfb2b46c0bda7ebb71206c0b29fb.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT firouzfallahi dynamiccausalitybetweenconsumerpriceandproducerpriceinirananapplicationofcontinuouswavelettransformation
AT hosseinasgharpur dynamiccausalitybetweenconsumerpriceandproducerpriceinirananapplicationofcontinuouswavelettransformation
AT sajjadabdollahzadeh dynamiccausalitybetweenconsumerpriceandproducerpriceinirananapplicationofcontinuouswavelettransformation