Spatial epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the Upper West Region of Ghana: Analysis of disease surveillance data 2018–2020

Background: The use of a Geographic Information System in identifying meningitis hotspots in the Upper West Region (UWR) remains underutilized, making spatial targeting of meningitis hotspots difficult. We therefore utilized surveillance data enabled with GIS technology to target meningitis outbreak...

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Main Authors: Musah Ali, Asori Moses, Emmanuel Kweku Nakua, Damien Punguyire, Benjamin Spears Ngmekpele Cheabu, Patrick Mawupemor Avevor, Kassim Abdul Basit
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-11-01
Series:Clinical Infection in Practice
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590170222000280
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author Musah Ali
Asori Moses
Emmanuel Kweku Nakua
Damien Punguyire
Benjamin Spears Ngmekpele Cheabu
Patrick Mawupemor Avevor
Kassim Abdul Basit
author_facet Musah Ali
Asori Moses
Emmanuel Kweku Nakua
Damien Punguyire
Benjamin Spears Ngmekpele Cheabu
Patrick Mawupemor Avevor
Kassim Abdul Basit
author_sort Musah Ali
collection DOAJ
description Background: The use of a Geographic Information System in identifying meningitis hotspots in the Upper West Region (UWR) remains underutilized, making spatial targeting of meningitis hotspots difficult. We therefore utilized surveillance data enabled with GIS technology to target meningitis outbreaks in the UWR. Methods: Secondary data analysis was conducted in the study. The dynamics of bacterial meningitis in space and time were studied using epidemiological data from 2018 to 2020. Spot map and choropleths were used to depict the distribution of cases in the region. Moran's I statistics were used to assess spatial autocorrelation. Getis-Ord Gi*(d) and Anselin Local Moran’s statistics were used to identify hotspots and spatial outliers within the study area. A Geographic Weighted Regression model was also used to examine how socio bio-climatic conditions influence the spread of meningitis. Results: There were 1176 cases of bacterial meningitis, 118 deaths, and 1058 survivors between 2018 and 2020. Nandom municipality had the highest Attack Rate (AR) at 492/100,000 persons, followed by Nadowli-Kaleo district at 314/100,000 persons. Jirapa had the highest case fatality rate (CFR) at 17%. The spatio-temporal analysis showed spatial diffusion of meningitis prevalence from the western half of the UWR to the east with a significant number of hotpots and cluster outliers. Conclusion: Bacterial meningitis does not occur at random. Populations (10.9%) under sub-districts identified as hotspots are exceptionally at higher risk of outbreaks. Targeted interventions should be directed towards clustered hotspots, focusing on zones with low prevalence fenced off by high prevalence zones.
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spelling doaj.art-22a70aa97471457281b2ee4fae99948c2022-12-22T04:32:50ZengElsevierClinical Infection in Practice2590-17022022-11-0116100160Spatial epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the Upper West Region of Ghana: Analysis of disease surveillance data 2018–2020Musah Ali0Asori Moses1Emmanuel Kweku Nakua2Damien Punguyire3Benjamin Spears Ngmekpele Cheabu4Patrick Mawupemor Avevor5Kassim Abdul Basit6Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Kumasi, Ghana; Corresponding author at: Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Private Mail Bag, KNUST, Kumasi, Ghana.University of North Carolina, Department of Geography, Charlotte, United StatesKwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Kumasi, GhanaGhana Health Service, Upper West Regional Health Directorate, Wa, GhanaQueen’s University, Faculty of Health Sciences, Health Quality Programs, Kingston, CanadaWorld Health Organisation, Country Office, Accra, GhanaJapan International Cooperation Agency, Tamale, GhanaBackground: The use of a Geographic Information System in identifying meningitis hotspots in the Upper West Region (UWR) remains underutilized, making spatial targeting of meningitis hotspots difficult. We therefore utilized surveillance data enabled with GIS technology to target meningitis outbreaks in the UWR. Methods: Secondary data analysis was conducted in the study. The dynamics of bacterial meningitis in space and time were studied using epidemiological data from 2018 to 2020. Spot map and choropleths were used to depict the distribution of cases in the region. Moran's I statistics were used to assess spatial autocorrelation. Getis-Ord Gi*(d) and Anselin Local Moran’s statistics were used to identify hotspots and spatial outliers within the study area. A Geographic Weighted Regression model was also used to examine how socio bio-climatic conditions influence the spread of meningitis. Results: There were 1176 cases of bacterial meningitis, 118 deaths, and 1058 survivors between 2018 and 2020. Nandom municipality had the highest Attack Rate (AR) at 492/100,000 persons, followed by Nadowli-Kaleo district at 314/100,000 persons. Jirapa had the highest case fatality rate (CFR) at 17%. The spatio-temporal analysis showed spatial diffusion of meningitis prevalence from the western half of the UWR to the east with a significant number of hotpots and cluster outliers. Conclusion: Bacterial meningitis does not occur at random. Populations (10.9%) under sub-districts identified as hotspots are exceptionally at higher risk of outbreaks. Targeted interventions should be directed towards clustered hotspots, focusing on zones with low prevalence fenced off by high prevalence zones.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590170222000280Spatial epidemiologyBacterial meningitisGeospatial analysisGhanaUpper West Region
spellingShingle Musah Ali
Asori Moses
Emmanuel Kweku Nakua
Damien Punguyire
Benjamin Spears Ngmekpele Cheabu
Patrick Mawupemor Avevor
Kassim Abdul Basit
Spatial epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the Upper West Region of Ghana: Analysis of disease surveillance data 2018–2020
Clinical Infection in Practice
Spatial epidemiology
Bacterial meningitis
Geospatial analysis
Ghana
Upper West Region
title Spatial epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the Upper West Region of Ghana: Analysis of disease surveillance data 2018–2020
title_full Spatial epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the Upper West Region of Ghana: Analysis of disease surveillance data 2018–2020
title_fullStr Spatial epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the Upper West Region of Ghana: Analysis of disease surveillance data 2018–2020
title_full_unstemmed Spatial epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the Upper West Region of Ghana: Analysis of disease surveillance data 2018–2020
title_short Spatial epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the Upper West Region of Ghana: Analysis of disease surveillance data 2018–2020
title_sort spatial epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the upper west region of ghana analysis of disease surveillance data 2018 2020
topic Spatial epidemiology
Bacterial meningitis
Geospatial analysis
Ghana
Upper West Region
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590170222000280
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