Allometric relationship between port throughput growth and urban population: A case study of Shanghai port and Shanghai city

Port throughput, as an indicator reflecting port scale, is associated with the port–city’s population base. By establishing an allometric growth model between the two, we can well verify the delicate relationship between port throughput and urban population. This article takes the throughput of Shan...

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Main Authors: Jihong Chen, Yijie Fei, Yuhua Zhu, Fangwei Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2018-03-01
Series:Advances in Mechanical Engineering
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/1687814018760933
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author Jihong Chen
Yijie Fei
Yuhua Zhu
Fangwei Zhang
author_facet Jihong Chen
Yijie Fei
Yuhua Zhu
Fangwei Zhang
author_sort Jihong Chen
collection DOAJ
description Port throughput, as an indicator reflecting port scale, is associated with the port–city’s population base. By establishing an allometric growth model between the two, we can well verify the delicate relationship between port throughput and urban population. This article takes the throughput of Shanghai port and the population of Shanghai city as an example and studies the relative growth rate ratio between the two, that is, the scaling exponent b. In this example, the exponent b  = 0.58 which is smaller than the theoretical value of 0.85, suggesting the improper development relationship between the two for the current phase. Shanghai urban population tends to be saturated, with the growth rate slowing down, and the contribution of urban population to port throughput decreasing. If this development trend proceeds for long, Shanghai port growth scale will be severely restricted. Apart from quantitative research on the relationship between the development rates of Shanghai port throughput and Shanghai urban population, this article also uses the Logistic model to forecast Shanghai port throughput and Shanghai urban population in the future to develop a scientific plan for Shanghai port scale so that port and city can achieve coordinated development.
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spelling doaj.art-22ad1212b3324324975fa33c3324e93a2022-12-22T02:41:43ZengSAGE PublishingAdvances in Mechanical Engineering1687-81402018-03-011010.1177/1687814018760933Allometric relationship between port throughput growth and urban population: A case study of Shanghai port and Shanghai cityJihong Chen0Yijie Fei1Yuhua Zhu2Fangwei Zhang3Commercial College, Xi’an International University, Xi’an, ChinaCollege of Transport and Communications, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, ChinaCollege of Transport and Communications, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, ChinaCollege of Transport and Communications, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, ChinaPort throughput, as an indicator reflecting port scale, is associated with the port–city’s population base. By establishing an allometric growth model between the two, we can well verify the delicate relationship between port throughput and urban population. This article takes the throughput of Shanghai port and the population of Shanghai city as an example and studies the relative growth rate ratio between the two, that is, the scaling exponent b. In this example, the exponent b  = 0.58 which is smaller than the theoretical value of 0.85, suggesting the improper development relationship between the two for the current phase. Shanghai urban population tends to be saturated, with the growth rate slowing down, and the contribution of urban population to port throughput decreasing. If this development trend proceeds for long, Shanghai port growth scale will be severely restricted. Apart from quantitative research on the relationship between the development rates of Shanghai port throughput and Shanghai urban population, this article also uses the Logistic model to forecast Shanghai port throughput and Shanghai urban population in the future to develop a scientific plan for Shanghai port scale so that port and city can achieve coordinated development.https://doi.org/10.1177/1687814018760933
spellingShingle Jihong Chen
Yijie Fei
Yuhua Zhu
Fangwei Zhang
Allometric relationship between port throughput growth and urban population: A case study of Shanghai port and Shanghai city
Advances in Mechanical Engineering
title Allometric relationship between port throughput growth and urban population: A case study of Shanghai port and Shanghai city
title_full Allometric relationship between port throughput growth and urban population: A case study of Shanghai port and Shanghai city
title_fullStr Allometric relationship between port throughput growth and urban population: A case study of Shanghai port and Shanghai city
title_full_unstemmed Allometric relationship between port throughput growth and urban population: A case study of Shanghai port and Shanghai city
title_short Allometric relationship between port throughput growth and urban population: A case study of Shanghai port and Shanghai city
title_sort allometric relationship between port throughput growth and urban population a case study of shanghai port and shanghai city
url https://doi.org/10.1177/1687814018760933
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