The development study of Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field using numerical simulation

Abstract A numerical simulation study of the Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field was carried out to assess the resource and to analyze and predict reservoir behavior under various development scenarios. The three-dimensional natural state model of the Karaha–Talaga Bodas field has been validated wi...

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Main Authors: Sutopo, Welly Prabata, Heru Berian Pratama
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2019-08-01
Series:Geothermal Energy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40517-019-0139-2
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author Sutopo
Welly Prabata
Heru Berian Pratama
author_facet Sutopo
Welly Prabata
Heru Berian Pratama
author_sort Sutopo
collection DOAJ
description Abstract A numerical simulation study of the Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field was carried out to assess the resource and to analyze and predict reservoir behavior under various development scenarios. The three-dimensional natural state model of the Karaha–Talaga Bodas field has been validated with the pressure and temperature of seven wells and the conceptual model of the field. This study explores the application of an experimental design and response surface method for capturing relevant uncertainties existing in the geothermal reservoir simulation; thus, the results of this approach are the assessment of probabilistic resources. The power potential calculated from reservoir simulation results is used to develop proxy equations and then Monte Carlo simulations were applied on proxy models to produce probabilistic distributions of power potential output. Based on Monte Carlo Simulation, the probabilistic power capacity of Karaha–Talaga Bodas field is 120 MW as P50. This model is also used to estimate potential field responses based on two different field development scenarios. Forecasting two development scenarios shows that the best development is 60 MW with a make-up well strategy drilled in the deep-water zone. This scenario requires the number of production, injection, and make-up wells to be 11, 3, and 4, respectively. The reservoir response shows that the pressure drop is between 0.2 and 0.6 bar/year while the temperature drop is 2–14 °C for 30 years.
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spelling doaj.art-22ad30b3d43e425eaf9c70494619d8832022-12-22T01:12:23ZengSpringerOpenGeothermal Energy2195-97062019-08-017112410.1186/s40517-019-0139-2The development study of Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field using numerical simulationSutopo0Welly Prabata1Heru Berian Pratama2Geothermal Engineering Master Program, Institut Teknologi BandungGeothermal Engineering Master Program, Institut Teknologi BandungGeothermal Engineering Master Program, Institut Teknologi BandungAbstract A numerical simulation study of the Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field was carried out to assess the resource and to analyze and predict reservoir behavior under various development scenarios. The three-dimensional natural state model of the Karaha–Talaga Bodas field has been validated with the pressure and temperature of seven wells and the conceptual model of the field. This study explores the application of an experimental design and response surface method for capturing relevant uncertainties existing in the geothermal reservoir simulation; thus, the results of this approach are the assessment of probabilistic resources. The power potential calculated from reservoir simulation results is used to develop proxy equations and then Monte Carlo simulations were applied on proxy models to produce probabilistic distributions of power potential output. Based on Monte Carlo Simulation, the probabilistic power capacity of Karaha–Talaga Bodas field is 120 MW as P50. This model is also used to estimate potential field responses based on two different field development scenarios. Forecasting two development scenarios shows that the best development is 60 MW with a make-up well strategy drilled in the deep-water zone. This scenario requires the number of production, injection, and make-up wells to be 11, 3, and 4, respectively. The reservoir response shows that the pressure drop is between 0.2 and 0.6 bar/year while the temperature drop is 2–14 °C for 30 years.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40517-019-0139-2Karaha–Talaga BodasNumerical reservoir simulationNatural stateExperimental designResource assessmentDevelopment scenarios
spellingShingle Sutopo
Welly Prabata
Heru Berian Pratama
The development study of Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field using numerical simulation
Geothermal Energy
Karaha–Talaga Bodas
Numerical reservoir simulation
Natural state
Experimental design
Resource assessment
Development scenarios
title The development study of Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field using numerical simulation
title_full The development study of Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field using numerical simulation
title_fullStr The development study of Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field using numerical simulation
title_full_unstemmed The development study of Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field using numerical simulation
title_short The development study of Karaha–Talaga Bodas geothermal field using numerical simulation
title_sort development study of karaha talaga bodas geothermal field using numerical simulation
topic Karaha–Talaga Bodas
Numerical reservoir simulation
Natural state
Experimental design
Resource assessment
Development scenarios
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40517-019-0139-2
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