| Summary: | Abstract Background Acute kidney injury (AKI) following cardiac surgery is common and associated with poor patient outcomes. Early risk assessment for development of AKI remains a challenge. The combination of urinary tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase 2 (TIMP-2) and insulin-like growth factor binding protein 7 (IGFBP7) has been shown to be an excellent predictor of AKI following cardiac surgery, but reported studies are for predominately non-Asian populations. Methods Adult patients were prospectively enrolled at Zhongshan hospital in Shanghai, China. The primary analysis was prediction of AKI and stage 2–3 AKI by [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] measured 4 h after postoperative ICU admission assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. Kinetics of [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] following ICU admission were also examined. Results We prospectively enrolled 57 cardiac surgery patients, of which 20 (35%) developed AKI and 6 (11%) developed stage 2–3 AKI. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] at 4 h after ICU admission was 0.80 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.68–0.91) for development of AKI and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.69–0.96) for development of stage 2–3 AKI. Urinary [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] values at 4 h after ICU admission were significantly (P < 0.001) higher in patients who developed AKI than in patients who did not develop AKI (mean (standard error) of 1.08 (0.34) (ng/mL)2/1000 and 0.29 (0.05) (ng/mL)2/1000, respectively). The time-profile of [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] suggests the markers started to elevate by the time of ICU admission in patients who developed AKI and either decreased or remained flat in patients without AKI. Conclusion The combination of urinary TIMP-2 and IGFBP7 4 h after postoperative ICU admission identifies patients at risk for developing AKI, not just stage 2–3 AKI following cardiac surgery.
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