Corruption and government revenue: Evidence of a non-linear relationship driven by crises

ABSTRACTA large body of literature studies the relationship between corruption and economic outcomes, including government revenue mobilization, but there is little evidence on how this relationship changes during times of crisis. Using a comprehensive panel dataset covering up to 194 countries in t...

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Main Authors: Željko Bogetić, Dominik Naeher
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Journal of Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/15140326.2023.2295733
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author Željko Bogetić
Dominik Naeher
author_facet Željko Bogetić
Dominik Naeher
author_sort Željko Bogetić
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACTA large body of literature studies the relationship between corruption and economic outcomes, including government revenue mobilization, but there is little evidence on how this relationship changes during times of crisis. Using a comprehensive panel dataset covering up to 194 countries in the period 1996 to 2020, we find evidence of a negative link between corruption and revenue that is amplified in times of crisis. The amplification appears to be driven by countries with lower average income levels, non-democratic governments, and higher natural resource dependency. Our findings are helpful in assessing different views of corruption offered in the literature. Overall, we find our results to be more consistent with a rent seeking view of corruption whereby, in times of crisis, corruption becomes more pervasive and government revenue declines. In contrast, we find no empirical support for the view that crises represent times of social improvement associated with increases in revenues.
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spelling doaj.art-22d3122a08414d53a66e13049022449e2023-12-22T13:03:23ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal of Applied Economics1514-03261667-67262024-12-0127110.1080/15140326.2023.2295733Corruption and government revenue: Evidence of a non-linear relationship driven by crisesŽeljko Bogetić0Dominik Naeher1Macroeconomics, Trade and Investments (MTI) - Middle East and North Africa (MENA), World Bank Group, Washington, DC, USADepartment of Development Economics, University of Goettingen, Goettingen, GermanyABSTRACTA large body of literature studies the relationship between corruption and economic outcomes, including government revenue mobilization, but there is little evidence on how this relationship changes during times of crisis. Using a comprehensive panel dataset covering up to 194 countries in the period 1996 to 2020, we find evidence of a negative link between corruption and revenue that is amplified in times of crisis. The amplification appears to be driven by countries with lower average income levels, non-democratic governments, and higher natural resource dependency. Our findings are helpful in assessing different views of corruption offered in the literature. Overall, we find our results to be more consistent with a rent seeking view of corruption whereby, in times of crisis, corruption becomes more pervasive and government revenue declines. In contrast, we find no empirical support for the view that crises represent times of social improvement associated with increases in revenues.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/15140326.2023.2295733Corruptioncrisisgovernment revenuerent seeking
spellingShingle Željko Bogetić
Dominik Naeher
Corruption and government revenue: Evidence of a non-linear relationship driven by crises
Journal of Applied Economics
Corruption
crisis
government revenue
rent seeking
title Corruption and government revenue: Evidence of a non-linear relationship driven by crises
title_full Corruption and government revenue: Evidence of a non-linear relationship driven by crises
title_fullStr Corruption and government revenue: Evidence of a non-linear relationship driven by crises
title_full_unstemmed Corruption and government revenue: Evidence of a non-linear relationship driven by crises
title_short Corruption and government revenue: Evidence of a non-linear relationship driven by crises
title_sort corruption and government revenue evidence of a non linear relationship driven by crises
topic Corruption
crisis
government revenue
rent seeking
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/15140326.2023.2295733
work_keys_str_mv AT zeljkobogetic corruptionandgovernmentrevenueevidenceofanonlinearrelationshipdrivenbycrises
AT dominiknaeher corruptionandgovernmentrevenueevidenceofanonlinearrelationshipdrivenbycrises