The Benefits of the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) Over the Diagnostic Odds Ratio (DOR) in Binary Classification Assessment
To assess the quality of a binary classification, researchers often take advantage of a four-entry contingency table called <italic>confusion matrix</italic>, containing true positives, true negatives, false positives, and false negatives. To recap the four values of a confusion matrix i...
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IEEE
2021-01-01
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Series: | IEEE Access |
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Online Access: | https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9385097/ |
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author | Davide Chicco Valery Starovoitov Giuseppe Jurman |
author_facet | Davide Chicco Valery Starovoitov Giuseppe Jurman |
author_sort | Davide Chicco |
collection | DOAJ |
description | To assess the quality of a binary classification, researchers often take advantage of a four-entry contingency table called <italic>confusion matrix</italic>, containing true positives, true negatives, false positives, and false negatives. To recap the four values of a confusion matrix in a unique score, researchers and statisticians have developed several rates and metrics. In the past, several scientific studies already showed why the Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) is more informative and trustworthy than confusion-entropy error, accuracy, F<sub>1</sub> score, bookmaker informedness, markedness, and balanced accuracy. In this study, we compare the MCC with the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), a statistical rate employed sometimes in biomedical sciences. After examining the properties of the MCC and of the DOR, we describe the relationships between them, by also taking advantage of an innovative geometrical plot called <italic>confusion tetrahedron</italic>, presented here for the first time. We then report some use cases where the MCC and the DOR produce discordant outcomes, and explain why the Matthews correlation coefficient is more informative and reliable between the two. Our results can have a strong impact in computer science and statistics, because they clearly explain why the trustworthiness of the information provided by the Matthews correlation coefficient is higher than the one generated by the diagnostic odds ratio. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-11T11:45:10Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-22f242c019044bd58466d5cc60b87d35 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2169-3536 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-11T11:45:10Z |
publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
publisher | IEEE |
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series | IEEE Access |
spelling | doaj.art-22f242c019044bd58466d5cc60b87d352022-12-22T04:25:38ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362021-01-019471124712410.1109/ACCESS.2021.30686149385097The Benefits of the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) Over the Diagnostic Odds Ratio (DOR) in Binary Classification AssessmentDavide Chicco0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9655-7142Valery Starovoitov1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7190-761XGiuseppe Jurman2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2705-5728Institute of Health Policy Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, CanadaNational Academy of Sciences of Belarus, Minsk, BelarusFondazione Bruno Kessler, Trento, ItalyTo assess the quality of a binary classification, researchers often take advantage of a four-entry contingency table called <italic>confusion matrix</italic>, containing true positives, true negatives, false positives, and false negatives. To recap the four values of a confusion matrix in a unique score, researchers and statisticians have developed several rates and metrics. In the past, several scientific studies already showed why the Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) is more informative and trustworthy than confusion-entropy error, accuracy, F<sub>1</sub> score, bookmaker informedness, markedness, and balanced accuracy. In this study, we compare the MCC with the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), a statistical rate employed sometimes in biomedical sciences. After examining the properties of the MCC and of the DOR, we describe the relationships between them, by also taking advantage of an innovative geometrical plot called <italic>confusion tetrahedron</italic>, presented here for the first time. We then report some use cases where the MCC and the DOR produce discordant outcomes, and explain why the Matthews correlation coefficient is more informative and reliable between the two. Our results can have a strong impact in computer science and statistics, because they clearly explain why the trustworthiness of the information provided by the Matthews correlation coefficient is higher than the one generated by the diagnostic odds ratio.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9385097/Matthews correlation coefficientdiagnostic odds ratiobinary classificationconfusion matrixsupervised machine learningconfusion tetrahedron |
spellingShingle | Davide Chicco Valery Starovoitov Giuseppe Jurman The Benefits of the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) Over the Diagnostic Odds Ratio (DOR) in Binary Classification Assessment IEEE Access Matthews correlation coefficient diagnostic odds ratio binary classification confusion matrix supervised machine learning confusion tetrahedron |
title | The Benefits of the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) Over the Diagnostic Odds Ratio (DOR) in Binary Classification Assessment |
title_full | The Benefits of the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) Over the Diagnostic Odds Ratio (DOR) in Binary Classification Assessment |
title_fullStr | The Benefits of the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) Over the Diagnostic Odds Ratio (DOR) in Binary Classification Assessment |
title_full_unstemmed | The Benefits of the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) Over the Diagnostic Odds Ratio (DOR) in Binary Classification Assessment |
title_short | The Benefits of the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) Over the Diagnostic Odds Ratio (DOR) in Binary Classification Assessment |
title_sort | benefits of the matthews correlation coefficient mcc over the diagnostic odds ratio dor in binary classification assessment |
topic | Matthews correlation coefficient diagnostic odds ratio binary classification confusion matrix supervised machine learning confusion tetrahedron |
url | https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9385097/ |
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