Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis

This paper examines the hedge and safe-haven abilities of Bitcoin against U.S. aggregate and categorical economic policy uncertainty (EPU) via the application of quantile regression model augmented with a dummy and some control variables. Using monthly data from September 2011 to December 2019, empi...

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Main Authors: Khaled Mokni, Elie Bouri, Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, Xuan Vinh Vo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2021-05-01
Series:SAGE Open
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440211016377
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author Khaled Mokni
Elie Bouri
Ahdi Noomen Ajmi
Xuan Vinh Vo
author_facet Khaled Mokni
Elie Bouri
Ahdi Noomen Ajmi
Xuan Vinh Vo
author_sort Khaled Mokni
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the hedge and safe-haven abilities of Bitcoin against U.S. aggregate and categorical economic policy uncertainty (EPU) via the application of quantile regression model augmented with a dummy and some control variables. Using monthly data from September 2011 to December 2019, empirical results indicate that Bitcoin does not act as a strong hedge against the aggregate U.S. EPU. However, it acts as a strong safe-haven for this aggregate measure of uncertainty when the Bitcoin market is bearish. Looking deeper into the disaggregated level of the U.S. EPU data, the analyses involving categorical EPU data indicate the ability of Bitcoin to act as a strong hedge and safe-haven against specific uncertainties related to fiscal policy, taxes, national security, and trade policy.
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spelling doaj.art-230e90cea0ba45748a1106196171c7082022-12-21T21:58:51ZengSAGE PublishingSAGE Open2158-24402021-05-011110.1177/21582440211016377Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile AnalysisKhaled Mokni0Elie Bouri1Ahdi Noomen Ajmi2Xuan Vinh Vo3Gabès University, TunisiaUniversity of Economics Ho Chi Minh City, VietnamManouba University, TunisiaUniversity of Economics Ho Chi Minh City, VietnamThis paper examines the hedge and safe-haven abilities of Bitcoin against U.S. aggregate and categorical economic policy uncertainty (EPU) via the application of quantile regression model augmented with a dummy and some control variables. Using monthly data from September 2011 to December 2019, empirical results indicate that Bitcoin does not act as a strong hedge against the aggregate U.S. EPU. However, it acts as a strong safe-haven for this aggregate measure of uncertainty when the Bitcoin market is bearish. Looking deeper into the disaggregated level of the U.S. EPU data, the analyses involving categorical EPU data indicate the ability of Bitcoin to act as a strong hedge and safe-haven against specific uncertainties related to fiscal policy, taxes, national security, and trade policy.https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440211016377
spellingShingle Khaled Mokni
Elie Bouri
Ahdi Noomen Ajmi
Xuan Vinh Vo
Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis
SAGE Open
title Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis
title_full Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis
title_fullStr Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis
title_short Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis
title_sort does bitcoin hedge categorical economic uncertainty a quantile analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440211016377
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