The impact of monetary policy and bank competition on banking industry risk: A default analysis

In the financial system and economy, the banking industry plays a crucial role. Default risk takes central stage in preserving financial stability and needs to be mitigated as it can trigger a crisis. The study examines the combined effects of monetary policy and bank competition on banking defaults...

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Main Authors: Sri Ayomi, Eleonora Sofilda, Muhammad Zilal Hamzah, Ari Mulianta Ginting
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives" 2021-04-01
Series:Banks and Bank Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/14899/BBS_2021_01_Ayomi.pdf
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author Sri Ayomi
Eleonora Sofilda
Muhammad Zilal Hamzah
Ari Mulianta Ginting
author_facet Sri Ayomi
Eleonora Sofilda
Muhammad Zilal Hamzah
Ari Mulianta Ginting
author_sort Sri Ayomi
collection DOAJ
description In the financial system and economy, the banking industry plays a crucial role. Default risk takes central stage in preserving financial stability and needs to be mitigated as it can trigger a crisis. The study examines the combined effects of monetary policy and bank competition on banking defaults. Using a sample of 95 commercial banks in Indonesia between 2009 and 2019, this study employs the Generalized Method of Moments, a two-step dynamic panel-data estimation system, to analyze it. Empirical estimation results show that monetary policy, through an increase in the benchmark interest rate, negatively affects probability of default. The extent of banking stability is also enhanced by monetary policy. Banking competition has a negative and significant effect on probability of default and has a positive effect on the banking distance to default. Furthermore, the combined impact of monetary policy and banking competition positively affects probability of default but has a negative impact on the distance of default. Building on this study, to promote a stable and more efficient banking system, policymakers should develop policies that foster complementary monetary and competition policies.
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spelling doaj.art-231d54300fd54396b917697bb5d282412022-12-21T19:04:21ZengLLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"Banks and Bank Systems1816-74031991-70742021-04-0116120521510.21511/bbs.16(1).2021.1814899The impact of monetary policy and bank competition on banking industry risk: A default analysisSri Ayomi0Eleonora Sofilda1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5105-8208Muhammad Zilal Hamzah2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6546-4736Ari Mulianta Ginting3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2751-1199Doctor, Researcher, Indonesian Financial Services Authority (OJK), Doctoral Program in Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Trisakti UniversityPh.D., Lecturer in Doctoral Program in Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Trisakti UniversityPh.D., Lecturer in Doctoral Program in Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Trisakti UniversityDoctor, Researcher in Research Center, Secretary-General of the House of Representatives of the Republic of IndonesiaIn the financial system and economy, the banking industry plays a crucial role. Default risk takes central stage in preserving financial stability and needs to be mitigated as it can trigger a crisis. The study examines the combined effects of monetary policy and bank competition on banking defaults. Using a sample of 95 commercial banks in Indonesia between 2009 and 2019, this study employs the Generalized Method of Moments, a two-step dynamic panel-data estimation system, to analyze it. Empirical estimation results show that monetary policy, through an increase in the benchmark interest rate, negatively affects probability of default. The extent of banking stability is also enhanced by monetary policy. Banking competition has a negative and significant effect on probability of default and has a positive effect on the banking distance to default. Furthermore, the combined impact of monetary policy and banking competition positively affects probability of default but has a negative impact on the distance of default. Building on this study, to promote a stable and more efficient banking system, policymakers should develop policies that foster complementary monetary and competition policies.https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/14899/BBS_2021_01_Ayomi.pdfbanking competitionbanking riskdynamic panel data methodmonetary policy
spellingShingle Sri Ayomi
Eleonora Sofilda
Muhammad Zilal Hamzah
Ari Mulianta Ginting
The impact of monetary policy and bank competition on banking industry risk: A default analysis
Banks and Bank Systems
banking competition
banking risk
dynamic panel data method
monetary policy
title The impact of monetary policy and bank competition on banking industry risk: A default analysis
title_full The impact of monetary policy and bank competition on banking industry risk: A default analysis
title_fullStr The impact of monetary policy and bank competition on banking industry risk: A default analysis
title_full_unstemmed The impact of monetary policy and bank competition on banking industry risk: A default analysis
title_short The impact of monetary policy and bank competition on banking industry risk: A default analysis
title_sort impact of monetary policy and bank competition on banking industry risk a default analysis
topic banking competition
banking risk
dynamic panel data method
monetary policy
url https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/14899/BBS_2021_01_Ayomi.pdf
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