Explaining Turnout Decline in Post-Communist Countries: The Impact of Migration
Turnout decline in former communist countries has attracted a great deal of scholarly attention. In this paper, I re-test some of the previous hypotheses on new data and I propose a new hypothesis that considers the impact of external migration. Using multivariate regression models on a dataset of 2...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Sciendo
2017-12-01
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Series: | Studia Universitatis Babes-Bolyai Sociologia |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1515/subbs-2017-0010 |
Summary: | Turnout decline in former communist countries has attracted a great deal of scholarly attention. In this paper, I re-test some of the previous hypotheses on new data and I propose a new hypothesis that considers the impact of external migration. Using multivariate regression models on a dataset of 272 presidential and parliamentary elections held in 30 post-communist countries between 1989 and 2012, I have found strong support for the “migration hypothesis”: other things being equal, an increase of migration rate by 1 percentage point reduces voter turnout by around 0.4 percentage points. Most of the previous hypotheses related to causes of turnout decline are supported too. |
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ISSN: | 2066-0464 |