Explaining Turnout Decline in Post-Communist Countries: The Impact of Migration
Turnout decline in former communist countries has attracted a great deal of scholarly attention. In this paper, I re-test some of the previous hypotheses on new data and I propose a new hypothesis that considers the impact of external migration. Using multivariate regression models on a dataset of 2...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Sciendo
2017-12-01
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| Series: | Studia Universitatis Babes-Bolyai Sociologia |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1515/subbs-2017-0010 |
| _version_ | 1818011783845117952 |
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| author | Comşa Mircea |
| author_facet | Comşa Mircea |
| author_sort | Comşa Mircea |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Turnout decline in former communist countries has attracted a great deal of scholarly attention. In this paper, I re-test some of the previous hypotheses on new data and I propose a new hypothesis that considers the impact of external migration. Using multivariate regression models on a dataset of 272 presidential and parliamentary elections held in 30 post-communist countries between 1989 and 2012, I have found strong support for the “migration hypothesis”: other things being equal, an increase of migration rate by 1 percentage point reduces voter turnout by around 0.4 percentage points. Most of the previous hypotheses related to causes of turnout decline are supported too. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-14T06:11:53Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-234f2167f1984dfebb1aecf67c7c004b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2066-0464 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-14T06:11:53Z |
| publishDate | 2017-12-01 |
| publisher | Sciendo |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Studia Universitatis Babes-Bolyai Sociologia |
| spelling | doaj.art-234f2167f1984dfebb1aecf67c7c004b2022-12-22T02:08:20ZengSciendoStudia Universitatis Babes-Bolyai Sociologia2066-04642017-12-01622296010.1515/subbs-2017-0010subbs-2017-0010Explaining Turnout Decline in Post-Communist Countries: The Impact of MigrationComşa Mircea0Sociology Department, Babeș-Bolyai UniversityCluj-NapocaTurnout decline in former communist countries has attracted a great deal of scholarly attention. In this paper, I re-test some of the previous hypotheses on new data and I propose a new hypothesis that considers the impact of external migration. Using multivariate regression models on a dataset of 272 presidential and parliamentary elections held in 30 post-communist countries between 1989 and 2012, I have found strong support for the “migration hypothesis”: other things being equal, an increase of migration rate by 1 percentage point reduces voter turnout by around 0.4 percentage points. Most of the previous hypotheses related to causes of turnout decline are supported too.https://doi.org/10.1515/subbs-2017-0010voter turnoutturnout declinemigrationpost-communist countries |
| spellingShingle | Comşa Mircea Explaining Turnout Decline in Post-Communist Countries: The Impact of Migration Studia Universitatis Babes-Bolyai Sociologia voter turnout turnout decline migration post-communist countries |
| title | Explaining Turnout Decline in Post-Communist Countries: The Impact of Migration |
| title_full | Explaining Turnout Decline in Post-Communist Countries: The Impact of Migration |
| title_fullStr | Explaining Turnout Decline in Post-Communist Countries: The Impact of Migration |
| title_full_unstemmed | Explaining Turnout Decline in Post-Communist Countries: The Impact of Migration |
| title_short | Explaining Turnout Decline in Post-Communist Countries: The Impact of Migration |
| title_sort | explaining turnout decline in post communist countries the impact of migration |
| topic | voter turnout turnout decline migration post-communist countries |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1515/subbs-2017-0010 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT comsamircea explainingturnoutdeclineinpostcommunistcountriestheimpactofmigration |