Spatio-temporal variability of streamflow in major and medium rivers of Nepal

Study region: We selected six (three on each) major and medium river basins of Nepal as a study domain for the analysis. The study areas were so selected that they represent the river basins across the country from East (Kankai basin) to West (Karnali basin). Study focus: This study focuses on the l...

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Main Authors: Anil Aryal, Manish Shrestha, Sharad Aryal, Surabhi Upadhyay, Manisha Maharjan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-12-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300277X
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author Anil Aryal
Manish Shrestha
Sharad Aryal
Surabhi Upadhyay
Manisha Maharjan
author_facet Anil Aryal
Manish Shrestha
Sharad Aryal
Surabhi Upadhyay
Manisha Maharjan
author_sort Anil Aryal
collection DOAJ
description Study region: We selected six (three on each) major and medium river basins of Nepal as a study domain for the analysis. The study areas were so selected that they represent the river basins across the country from East (Kankai basin) to West (Karnali basin). Study focus: This study focuses on the long-term hydrologic alteration in the river flow of Nepal's medium and major rivers of different river basins. The overarching objective of the study is to evaluate the spatio-temporal change in flow magnitude, duration, frequency, timing, and rate of change in the major and medium rivers in Nepal. With continuity in the development activities, it is imperative to analyze the potential impact of human activities in the hydrologic regimes. For this, we used a set of 33 indicators from the indicator of hydrologic alteration (IHA) developed by The Nature Conservancy for the pre and post-impact period. The pre and post-impact period is defined here as the time before and after which the substantial alteration occurred, possibly due to multiple reasons. The pre and post impact periods were determined using the Pettitt statistical test carried out at the most downstream of the hydrological gauge station of each river basin. Further, the trends in the annual flow were estimated using the Mann-Kendall test, and the slope of the trend was estimated using Sen’s slope. New hydrological insights for the region: The results showed that in the post-impact period, the mean annual discharge in major and medium rivers of Nepal was found to decrease by 5.86% and 7.94%, respectively. Except for the West Rapti River (−14.3%), the hydrologic change of 1-day maximum flow is observed to have increased in the medium rivers and decreased in the major rivers. Moreover, except for the Kankai River (+14.29%), the hydrologic change of 1-day minimum flow is observed to be reduced in both the major and medium rivers. In major rivers, the overall degree of alteration ranges from 28.7% to 38.0%, which resembles the low to mid variability range. Similarly, the result of the hydrologic alteration showed that for the medium rivers, the overall degree of alteration varied from 35.8% to 46.7%, representing the medium range of variability. This suggests that the river systems undergoing moderate hydrologic alteration have experienced moderate alteration. These rivers might be capable of sustaining a healthy ecosystem, however, could be more susceptible to other stressors like drought.
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spelling doaj.art-23522d841c524082adbb1a107b2c0e602023-12-15T07:24:21ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182023-12-0150101590Spatio-temporal variability of streamflow in major and medium rivers of NepalAnil Aryal0Manish Shrestha1Sharad Aryal2Surabhi Upadhyay3Manisha Maharjan4International Water Management Institute, Lalitpur 44700, Nepal; Hydro, Energy, and Environment Research Center (HEERC), Kathmandu 44600, NepalInternational Centre for Integrated Mountain Development, Lalitpur 44700, Nepal; Corresponding author.Engineering Planning and Construction Service, Lalitpur 44700, NepalSmartphones for Water Nepal (S4W-Nepal), Thasikhel, Lalitpur 44700, NepalCenter of Research for Environment, Energy and Water, Upahar Marga, Kathmandu 44600, NepalStudy region: We selected six (three on each) major and medium river basins of Nepal as a study domain for the analysis. The study areas were so selected that they represent the river basins across the country from East (Kankai basin) to West (Karnali basin). Study focus: This study focuses on the long-term hydrologic alteration in the river flow of Nepal's medium and major rivers of different river basins. The overarching objective of the study is to evaluate the spatio-temporal change in flow magnitude, duration, frequency, timing, and rate of change in the major and medium rivers in Nepal. With continuity in the development activities, it is imperative to analyze the potential impact of human activities in the hydrologic regimes. For this, we used a set of 33 indicators from the indicator of hydrologic alteration (IHA) developed by The Nature Conservancy for the pre and post-impact period. The pre and post-impact period is defined here as the time before and after which the substantial alteration occurred, possibly due to multiple reasons. The pre and post impact periods were determined using the Pettitt statistical test carried out at the most downstream of the hydrological gauge station of each river basin. Further, the trends in the annual flow were estimated using the Mann-Kendall test, and the slope of the trend was estimated using Sen’s slope. New hydrological insights for the region: The results showed that in the post-impact period, the mean annual discharge in major and medium rivers of Nepal was found to decrease by 5.86% and 7.94%, respectively. Except for the West Rapti River (−14.3%), the hydrologic change of 1-day maximum flow is observed to have increased in the medium rivers and decreased in the major rivers. Moreover, except for the Kankai River (+14.29%), the hydrologic change of 1-day minimum flow is observed to be reduced in both the major and medium rivers. In major rivers, the overall degree of alteration ranges from 28.7% to 38.0%, which resembles the low to mid variability range. Similarly, the result of the hydrologic alteration showed that for the medium rivers, the overall degree of alteration varied from 35.8% to 46.7%, representing the medium range of variability. This suggests that the river systems undergoing moderate hydrologic alteration have experienced moderate alteration. These rivers might be capable of sustaining a healthy ecosystem, however, could be more susceptible to other stressors like drought.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300277XChange pointClimate variabilityEcosystem servicesIHAMajor and medium rivers
spellingShingle Anil Aryal
Manish Shrestha
Sharad Aryal
Surabhi Upadhyay
Manisha Maharjan
Spatio-temporal variability of streamflow in major and medium rivers of Nepal
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Change point
Climate variability
Ecosystem services
IHA
Major and medium rivers
title Spatio-temporal variability of streamflow in major and medium rivers of Nepal
title_full Spatio-temporal variability of streamflow in major and medium rivers of Nepal
title_fullStr Spatio-temporal variability of streamflow in major and medium rivers of Nepal
title_full_unstemmed Spatio-temporal variability of streamflow in major and medium rivers of Nepal
title_short Spatio-temporal variability of streamflow in major and medium rivers of Nepal
title_sort spatio temporal variability of streamflow in major and medium rivers of nepal
topic Change point
Climate variability
Ecosystem services
IHA
Major and medium rivers
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300277X
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AT surabhiupadhyay spatiotemporalvariabilityofstreamflowinmajorandmediumriversofnepal
AT manishamaharjan spatiotemporalvariabilityofstreamflowinmajorandmediumriversofnepal