The Selection of Appropriate Foreign Exchange Rate Regime for Iranian Economy with Regards to Oil Shocks.

The main goal of this paper is to examine an appropriate exchange rate regime in Iran. Most of the studies in Iranian economy have suggested a flexible exchange rate regime with a coordination between monetary and exchange rate policies.     In this paper, we test the hypothesis that the managed exc...

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Main Authors: Akbar Komaijani, Mohammad Nad Ali
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2005-06-01
Series:فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_3764_1aaa6396eef714ae2172e16ea24ee1f4.pdf
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author Akbar Komaijani
Mohammad Nad Ali
author_facet Akbar Komaijani
Mohammad Nad Ali
author_sort Akbar Komaijani
collection DOAJ
description The main goal of this paper is to examine an appropriate exchange rate regime in Iran. Most of the studies in Iranian economy have suggested a flexible exchange rate regime with a coordination between monetary and exchange rate policies.     In this paper, we test the hypothesis that the managed exchange rate regime is the most appropriate regime for Iran using the Mundell-Fleming Model, and 3SLS method for the period 1974-2001.     The estimated macro-econometrics model has been used to simulate the reaction of five exchange rate regimes to oil shocks. The results reveal that the managed exchange rates in terms of trade balance and purchasing power parity are expected to yield a more stable prices and non-oil GDP growth rates. In contrast, a quasi-floating exchange rate regime, in which the exchange rate is determined by the percentage of trade balance deviations, will result in the worst kind of volitility in non-oil GDP and inflation rates at the time of oil shocks.
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spelling doaj.art-238b3cab6fc1467297e5d0551bc527612024-01-02T10:27:43ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressفصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران1726-07282476-64452005-06-017231373764The Selection of Appropriate Foreign Exchange Rate Regime for Iranian Economy with Regards to Oil Shocks.Akbar Komaijani0Mohammad Nad Ali1Professor of Economics, Tehran University, Tehran, IranResearcher, Bank Markazi, Tehran, IranThe main goal of this paper is to examine an appropriate exchange rate regime in Iran. Most of the studies in Iranian economy have suggested a flexible exchange rate regime with a coordination between monetary and exchange rate policies.     In this paper, we test the hypothesis that the managed exchange rate regime is the most appropriate regime for Iran using the Mundell-Fleming Model, and 3SLS method for the period 1974-2001.     The estimated macro-econometrics model has been used to simulate the reaction of five exchange rate regimes to oil shocks. The results reveal that the managed exchange rates in terms of trade balance and purchasing power parity are expected to yield a more stable prices and non-oil GDP growth rates. In contrast, a quasi-floating exchange rate regime, in which the exchange rate is determined by the percentage of trade balance deviations, will result in the worst kind of volitility in non-oil GDP and inflation rates at the time of oil shocks.https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_3764_1aaa6396eef714ae2172e16ea24ee1f4.pdfexchange rate regimeoil shocksmanaged exchange rate regimestabilization of output & prices
spellingShingle Akbar Komaijani
Mohammad Nad Ali
The Selection of Appropriate Foreign Exchange Rate Regime for Iranian Economy with Regards to Oil Shocks.
فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
exchange rate regime
oil shocks
managed exchange rate regime
stabilization of output & prices
title The Selection of Appropriate Foreign Exchange Rate Regime for Iranian Economy with Regards to Oil Shocks.
title_full The Selection of Appropriate Foreign Exchange Rate Regime for Iranian Economy with Regards to Oil Shocks.
title_fullStr The Selection of Appropriate Foreign Exchange Rate Regime for Iranian Economy with Regards to Oil Shocks.
title_full_unstemmed The Selection of Appropriate Foreign Exchange Rate Regime for Iranian Economy with Regards to Oil Shocks.
title_short The Selection of Appropriate Foreign Exchange Rate Regime for Iranian Economy with Regards to Oil Shocks.
title_sort selection of appropriate foreign exchange rate regime for iranian economy with regards to oil shocks
topic exchange rate regime
oil shocks
managed exchange rate regime
stabilization of output & prices
url https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_3764_1aaa6396eef714ae2172e16ea24ee1f4.pdf
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