Replication, falsification, and the crisis of confidence in social psychology

The (latest) crisis in confidence in social psychology has generated much heated discussion about the importance of replication, including how such replication should be carried out as well as interpreted by scholars in the field. What does it mean if a replication attempt fails—does it mean that th...

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Main Authors: Brian D. Earp, David eTrafimow
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2015-05-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.00621/full
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author Brian D. Earp
David eTrafimow
author_facet Brian D. Earp
David eTrafimow
author_sort Brian D. Earp
collection DOAJ
description The (latest) crisis in confidence in social psychology has generated much heated discussion about the importance of replication, including how such replication should be carried out as well as interpreted by scholars in the field. What does it mean if a replication attempt fails—does it mean that the original results, or the theory that predicted them, have been falsified? And how should failed replications affect our belief in the validity of the original research? In this paper, we consider the replication debate from a historical and philosophical perspective, and provide a conceptual analysis of both replication and falsification as they pertain to this important discussion. Along the way, we introduce a Bayesian framework for assessing failed replications in terms of how they should affect our confidence in purported findings.
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spelling doaj.art-23ceea5a86e8461ab7ba1222b8f4fd0c2022-12-22T01:13:56ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychology1664-10782015-05-01610.3389/fpsyg.2015.00621138286Replication, falsification, and the crisis of confidence in social psychologyBrian D. Earp0David eTrafimow1University of OxfordNew Mexico State UniversityThe (latest) crisis in confidence in social psychology has generated much heated discussion about the importance of replication, including how such replication should be carried out as well as interpreted by scholars in the field. What does it mean if a replication attempt fails—does it mean that the original results, or the theory that predicted them, have been falsified? And how should failed replications affect our belief in the validity of the original research? In this paper, we consider the replication debate from a historical and philosophical perspective, and provide a conceptual analysis of both replication and falsification as they pertain to this important discussion. Along the way, we introduce a Bayesian framework for assessing failed replications in terms of how they should affect our confidence in purported findings.http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.00621/fullPsychology, SocialreplicationPhilosophy of scienceFalsificationcrisis of replicability
spellingShingle Brian D. Earp
David eTrafimow
Replication, falsification, and the crisis of confidence in social psychology
Frontiers in Psychology
Psychology, Social
replication
Philosophy of science
Falsification
crisis of replicability
title Replication, falsification, and the crisis of confidence in social psychology
title_full Replication, falsification, and the crisis of confidence in social psychology
title_fullStr Replication, falsification, and the crisis of confidence in social psychology
title_full_unstemmed Replication, falsification, and the crisis of confidence in social psychology
title_short Replication, falsification, and the crisis of confidence in social psychology
title_sort replication falsification and the crisis of confidence in social psychology
topic Psychology, Social
replication
Philosophy of science
Falsification
crisis of replicability
url http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.00621/full
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