Vehicular Fuel Consumption and CO<sub>2</sub> Emission Estimation Model Integrating Novel Driving Behavior Data Using Machine Learning

Fossil fuel vehicles significantly contribute to <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>CO</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ziyang Wang, Masahiro Mae, Shoma Nishimura, Ryuji Matsuhashi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-03-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/6/1410
Description
Summary:Fossil fuel vehicles significantly contribute to <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>CO</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula> emissions due to their high consumption of fossil fuels. Accurate estimation of vehicular fuel consumption and the associated <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>CO</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula> emissions is crucial for mitigating these emissions. Although driving behavior is a vital factor influencing fuel consumption and <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>CO</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula> emissions, it remains largely unaddressed in current <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>CO</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula> emission estimation models. This study incorporates novel driving behavior data, specifically counts of occurrences of dangerous driving behaviors, including speeding, sudden accelerating, and sudden braking, as well as driving time and driving distances on expressways, national highways, and local roads, respectively, into monthly fuel consumption estimation models for individual gasoline and hybrid vehicles. The <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>CO</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula> emissions are then calculated as a secondary parameter based on the estimated fuel consumption, assuming a linear relationship between the two. Using regression algorithms, it has been demonstrated that all the proposed driving behavior data are relevant for monthly <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>CO</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula> emission estimation. By integrating the driving behavior data of various vehicle categories, a generalizable <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>CO</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula> estimation model is proposed. When utilizing all the proposed driving behavior data collectively, our random forest regression model achieves the highest prediction accuracy, with <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msup><mi mathvariant="normal">R</mi><mn>2</mn></msup></semantics></math></inline-formula>, RMSE, and MAE values of 0.975, 13.293 kg, and 8.329 kg, respectively, for monthly <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>CO</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula> emission estimation of individual vehicles. This research offers insights into <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>CO</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula> emission reduction and energy conservation in the road transportation sector.
ISSN:1996-1073