Effects of Personification of Voting in Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in Russia

When directly elected presidents have fairly strong power in relations with the government and parliament, presidential elections are perceived as elections of the first order. In addition, voting for presidential candidates is much more personalized. To a large extent, this explains why, in Russia...

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Main Author: Petr V. Panov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Philosophy and Law 2023-10-01
Series:Антиномии
Subjects:
Online Access:http://yearbook.uran.ru/images/files/Ant_3_23_97_116.pdf
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author_facet Petr V. Panov
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description When directly elected presidents have fairly strong power in relations with the government and parliament, presidential elections are perceived as elections of the first order. In addition, voting for presidential candidates is much more personalized. To a large extent, this explains why, in Russia, the candidate of the party of power receives much more support in the presidential election than the party of power in parliamentary ones. Some voters who support opposition parties in the parliamentary elections vote “strategically” and “personally” in the presidential ones, giving their votes to the incumbent. However, the question remains how evenly this trend spreads across different segments of the electorate of political parties. To answer it, a comparative analysis of the 2016 parliamentary and 2018 presidential elections was carried out. Empirically, the study is based on electoral and socio-economic data in the context of municipalities. The analysis carried out by the method of multilevel linear regression has exposed that the line “party of power versus opposition” is quite clearly expressed in the parliamentary and blurred in the presidential elections. Based on the results obtained, it is concluded that personalized voting has a key impact on the difference in the results of political parties and their candidates. At the same time, both the consolidation of voters around the incumbent and the loss of votes by the candidate of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) affect different segments of the electorate approximately equally, that is, the specifics of the electorate of these parties in the presidential election is leveled but it remains. With regard to the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF), on the contrary, insufficient affiliation of its candidate with the party led to the fact that different segments of the electorate changed their preferences unevenly. The final part of the article outlines promising directions for further research.
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spelling doaj.art-242d2d1d0baf40759e15e020556375142023-12-29T10:52:06ZengUral Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Philosophy and LawАнтиномии2686-72062686-925X2023-10-0123397116https://doi.org/10.17506/26867206_2023_23_3_97Effects of Personification of Voting in Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in RussiaPetr V. Panov0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0759-7618Research Department of Political Institutions and Processes, Institute for Humanitarian StudiesWhen directly elected presidents have fairly strong power in relations with the government and parliament, presidential elections are perceived as elections of the first order. In addition, voting for presidential candidates is much more personalized. To a large extent, this explains why, in Russia, the candidate of the party of power receives much more support in the presidential election than the party of power in parliamentary ones. Some voters who support opposition parties in the parliamentary elections vote “strategically” and “personally” in the presidential ones, giving their votes to the incumbent. However, the question remains how evenly this trend spreads across different segments of the electorate of political parties. To answer it, a comparative analysis of the 2016 parliamentary and 2018 presidential elections was carried out. Empirically, the study is based on electoral and socio-economic data in the context of municipalities. The analysis carried out by the method of multilevel linear regression has exposed that the line “party of power versus opposition” is quite clearly expressed in the parliamentary and blurred in the presidential elections. Based on the results obtained, it is concluded that personalized voting has a key impact on the difference in the results of political parties and their candidates. At the same time, both the consolidation of voters around the incumbent and the loss of votes by the candidate of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) affect different segments of the electorate approximately equally, that is, the specifics of the electorate of these parties in the presidential election is leveled but it remains. With regard to the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF), on the contrary, insufficient affiliation of its candidate with the party led to the fact that different segments of the electorate changed their preferences unevenly. The final part of the article outlines promising directions for further research.http://yearbook.uran.ru/images/files/Ant_3_23_97_116.pdfelectionsincumbentparty of poweroppositionelectoratepersonal votingcomparative analysis
spellingShingle Petr V. Panov
Effects of Personification of Voting in Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in Russia
Антиномии
elections
incumbent
party of power
opposition
electorate
personal voting
comparative analysis
title Effects of Personification of Voting in Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in Russia
title_full Effects of Personification of Voting in Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in Russia
title_fullStr Effects of Personification of Voting in Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in Russia
title_full_unstemmed Effects of Personification of Voting in Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in Russia
title_short Effects of Personification of Voting in Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in Russia
title_sort effects of personification of voting in presidential and parliamentary elections in russia
topic elections
incumbent
party of power
opposition
electorate
personal voting
comparative analysis
url http://yearbook.uran.ru/images/files/Ant_3_23_97_116.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT petrvpanov effectsofpersonificationofvotinginpresidentialandparliamentaryelectionsinrussia