Meteorological linkage of Malaria cases in the eastern state of India

Changing climate patterns impact sectors such as agriculture, hydrology, health, and others. Malaria is a vector-borne disease significantly associated with changing climate, rampant in Bihar State, India. Hence, the current study aimed to analyse the status and trends of malaria in Bihar with meteo...

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Main Authors: Praveen Kumar, Ph.D., Pravin Pisudde, MD, Pradhan Parth Sarthi, Ph.D.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-02-01
Series:The Journal of Climate Change and Health
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667278221000614
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author Praveen Kumar, Ph.D.
Pravin Pisudde, MD
Pradhan Parth Sarthi, Ph.D.
author_facet Praveen Kumar, Ph.D.
Pravin Pisudde, MD
Pradhan Parth Sarthi, Ph.D.
author_sort Praveen Kumar, Ph.D.
collection DOAJ
description Changing climate patterns impact sectors such as agriculture, hydrology, health, and others. Malaria is a vector-borne disease significantly associated with changing climate, rampant in Bihar State, India. Hence, the current study aimed to analyse the status and trends of malaria in Bihar with meteorological covariates. It is observed that the maximum cases are reported in the monsoon and post-monsoon phases of the year. Purnia district shows the maximum load. Males of more than 15 years of age are commonly affected. The monthly maximal, minimal, and average temperature, relative humidity, and rainfall were associated with malaria cases with a significant lag effect of 3, 1, 2, 0, and 1 month, respectively. It is depicted that one month before rainfall (i.e. lag 1), two months before (i.e. lag 2) average temperature and the current month for humidity predicts the incidence of malaria occurrence.
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spelling doaj.art-244e7d4885c240358a686e2f0475b04f2022-12-21T20:14:17ZengElsevierThe Journal of Climate Change and Health2667-27822022-02-015100064Meteorological linkage of Malaria cases in the eastern state of IndiaPraveen Kumar, Ph.D.0Pravin Pisudde, MD1Pradhan Parth Sarthi, Ph.D.2Numerical Weather Prediction Division, India Meteorological, Department, Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi 110003, India; Corresponding author.Department of Community Medicine, ESIC Medical College & Hospital, Hyderabad, India – 500038Department of Environmental Science, School of Earth, Biological and Environmental Science, Central University of South Bihar, Gaya India 824236Changing climate patterns impact sectors such as agriculture, hydrology, health, and others. Malaria is a vector-borne disease significantly associated with changing climate, rampant in Bihar State, India. Hence, the current study aimed to analyse the status and trends of malaria in Bihar with meteorological covariates. It is observed that the maximum cases are reported in the monsoon and post-monsoon phases of the year. Purnia district shows the maximum load. Males of more than 15 years of age are commonly affected. The monthly maximal, minimal, and average temperature, relative humidity, and rainfall were associated with malaria cases with a significant lag effect of 3, 1, 2, 0, and 1 month, respectively. It is depicted that one month before rainfall (i.e. lag 1), two months before (i.e. lag 2) average temperature and the current month for humidity predicts the incidence of malaria occurrence.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667278221000614Vector-borne diseasesMalaria, biharRegression modellingClimateWeather
spellingShingle Praveen Kumar, Ph.D.
Pravin Pisudde, MD
Pradhan Parth Sarthi, Ph.D.
Meteorological linkage of Malaria cases in the eastern state of India
The Journal of Climate Change and Health
Vector-borne diseases
Malaria, bihar
Regression modelling
Climate
Weather
title Meteorological linkage of Malaria cases in the eastern state of India
title_full Meteorological linkage of Malaria cases in the eastern state of India
title_fullStr Meteorological linkage of Malaria cases in the eastern state of India
title_full_unstemmed Meteorological linkage of Malaria cases in the eastern state of India
title_short Meteorological linkage of Malaria cases in the eastern state of India
title_sort meteorological linkage of malaria cases in the eastern state of india
topic Vector-borne diseases
Malaria, bihar
Regression modelling
Climate
Weather
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667278221000614
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