Assessing the energy system impacts of Morocco's nationally determined contribution and low-emission pathways

Morocco's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) targets are recognised as one of the most ambitious globally. This study analyses the energy system, emission, and cost impacts of meeting Morocco's (conditional and unconditional) targets for 2030 and assesses long-term Paris-compatible s...

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Main Author: Panagiotis Fragkos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-05-01
Series:Energy Strategy Reviews
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X23000317
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author Panagiotis Fragkos
author_facet Panagiotis Fragkos
author_sort Panagiotis Fragkos
collection DOAJ
description Morocco's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) targets are recognised as one of the most ambitious globally. This study analyses the energy system, emission, and cost impacts of meeting Morocco's (conditional and unconditional) targets for 2030 and assesses long-term Paris-compatible strategies. A sophisticated country-level energy system model that incorporates detailed representations of energy demand and supply is used to analyze various scenarios with different climate policy settings. The analysis shows that current policies in Morocco need significant strengthening to meet the targets outlined in its Nationally Determined Contribution for 2030, based on the elimination of coal-fired power plants and the uptake of renewable energy technologies, in particular wind and solar power. The long-term transformation to a low-emission economy is based on accelerated energy efficiency improvements, electrification of end uses, further expansion of renewable energy, and emergence of low-carbon fuels. The study provides insights on the challenges to achieve deep decarbonization of Moroccan economy without compromising its energy security, but also on the opportunities from energy sector restructuring, including reduction of fossil fuel imports and boost clean investment.
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spelling doaj.art-246da45d39ea4558a5bbc3f4bad360572023-05-23T04:21:41ZengElsevierEnergy Strategy Reviews2211-467X2023-05-0147101081Assessing the energy system impacts of Morocco's nationally determined contribution and low-emission pathwaysPanagiotis Fragkos0E3Modelling S.A., Panormou 70-72, Athens, GreeceMorocco's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) targets are recognised as one of the most ambitious globally. This study analyses the energy system, emission, and cost impacts of meeting Morocco's (conditional and unconditional) targets for 2030 and assesses long-term Paris-compatible strategies. A sophisticated country-level energy system model that incorporates detailed representations of energy demand and supply is used to analyze various scenarios with different climate policy settings. The analysis shows that current policies in Morocco need significant strengthening to meet the targets outlined in its Nationally Determined Contribution for 2030, based on the elimination of coal-fired power plants and the uptake of renewable energy technologies, in particular wind and solar power. The long-term transformation to a low-emission economy is based on accelerated energy efficiency improvements, electrification of end uses, further expansion of renewable energy, and emergence of low-carbon fuels. The study provides insights on the challenges to achieve deep decarbonization of Moroccan economy without compromising its energy security, but also on the opportunities from energy sector restructuring, including reduction of fossil fuel imports and boost clean investment.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X23000317Nationally determined contribution (NDC)Energy system modellingCoal phase downParis-compatible pathwaysMoroccoMENA-EDS Model
spellingShingle Panagiotis Fragkos
Assessing the energy system impacts of Morocco's nationally determined contribution and low-emission pathways
Energy Strategy Reviews
Nationally determined contribution (NDC)
Energy system modelling
Coal phase down
Paris-compatible pathways
Morocco
MENA-EDS Model
title Assessing the energy system impacts of Morocco's nationally determined contribution and low-emission pathways
title_full Assessing the energy system impacts of Morocco's nationally determined contribution and low-emission pathways
title_fullStr Assessing the energy system impacts of Morocco's nationally determined contribution and low-emission pathways
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the energy system impacts of Morocco's nationally determined contribution and low-emission pathways
title_short Assessing the energy system impacts of Morocco's nationally determined contribution and low-emission pathways
title_sort assessing the energy system impacts of morocco s nationally determined contribution and low emission pathways
topic Nationally determined contribution (NDC)
Energy system modelling
Coal phase down
Paris-compatible pathways
Morocco
MENA-EDS Model
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X23000317
work_keys_str_mv AT panagiotisfragkos assessingtheenergysystemimpactsofmoroccosnationallydeterminedcontributionandlowemissionpathways