Assessing Risk Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Conceptual Cost Estimation in the Middle East

The construction industry is subjected to more risk and uncertainty than many other industries, in addition to poor risk-tracking records. This usually causes the late completion of projects, surpassing their estimated budgets even without achieving the desired quality and operational requirements....

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Main Authors: Mohamed Abdel-Monem, Kareem Tarek Alshaer, Karim El-Dash
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-07-01
Series:Buildings
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/12/7/950
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author Mohamed Abdel-Monem
Kareem Tarek Alshaer
Karim El-Dash
author_facet Mohamed Abdel-Monem
Kareem Tarek Alshaer
Karim El-Dash
author_sort Mohamed Abdel-Monem
collection DOAJ
description The construction industry is subjected to more risk and uncertainty than many other industries, in addition to poor risk-tracking records. This usually causes the late completion of projects, surpassing their estimated budgets even without achieving the desired quality and operational requirements. This study first identified the most critical factors affecting the accuracy of cost estimates. A questionnaire has been designed and distributed to construction experts; the results indicated stakeholders’ perception to improve their cost estimation using a proper and predefined risk management plan. Following the respondents’ judgment, this study identified 51 risk factors and their potential root causes and presents a response plan for the most critical risks that might affect cost estimates to improve construction-industry performance. Then, a new simple model has been developed to analyze risk factors affecting the accuracy of conceptual cost estimates, from both clients’ and contractors’ perspectives. The developed model will provide the decision-makers with a list of risks accompanied by guidelines/response plans to mitigate their effect on project cost to help the estimators identify the most effective cost contingency against the project’s scope creep.
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spelling doaj.art-24a1cd7701074b4d98e1bf20c10169b62023-12-01T21:58:21ZengMDPI AGBuildings2075-53092022-07-0112795010.3390/buildings12070950Assessing Risk Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Conceptual Cost Estimation in the Middle EastMohamed Abdel-Monem0Kareem Tarek Alshaer1Karim El-Dash2Department of Civil Engineering, Shoubra Faculty of Engineering, Benha University, Cairo 4351026, EgyptDepartment of Civil Engineering, Shoubra Faculty of Engineering, Benha University, Cairo 4351026, EgyptDepartment of Civil Engineering, Misr University for Science and Technology, 6th of October City 3236101, EgyptThe construction industry is subjected to more risk and uncertainty than many other industries, in addition to poor risk-tracking records. This usually causes the late completion of projects, surpassing their estimated budgets even without achieving the desired quality and operational requirements. This study first identified the most critical factors affecting the accuracy of cost estimates. A questionnaire has been designed and distributed to construction experts; the results indicated stakeholders’ perception to improve their cost estimation using a proper and predefined risk management plan. Following the respondents’ judgment, this study identified 51 risk factors and their potential root causes and presents a response plan for the most critical risks that might affect cost estimates to improve construction-industry performance. Then, a new simple model has been developed to analyze risk factors affecting the accuracy of conceptual cost estimates, from both clients’ and contractors’ perspectives. The developed model will provide the decision-makers with a list of risks accompanied by guidelines/response plans to mitigate their effect on project cost to help the estimators identify the most effective cost contingency against the project’s scope creep.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/12/7/950risk managementconstruction managementcost estimation
spellingShingle Mohamed Abdel-Monem
Kareem Tarek Alshaer
Karim El-Dash
Assessing Risk Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Conceptual Cost Estimation in the Middle East
Buildings
risk management
construction management
cost estimation
title Assessing Risk Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Conceptual Cost Estimation in the Middle East
title_full Assessing Risk Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Conceptual Cost Estimation in the Middle East
title_fullStr Assessing Risk Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Conceptual Cost Estimation in the Middle East
title_full_unstemmed Assessing Risk Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Conceptual Cost Estimation in the Middle East
title_short Assessing Risk Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Conceptual Cost Estimation in the Middle East
title_sort assessing risk factors affecting the accuracy of conceptual cost estimation in the middle east
topic risk management
construction management
cost estimation
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/12/7/950
work_keys_str_mv AT mohamedabdelmonem assessingriskfactorsaffectingtheaccuracyofconceptualcostestimationinthemiddleeast
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AT karimeldash assessingriskfactorsaffectingtheaccuracyofconceptualcostestimationinthemiddleeast