Neural Network and Regression Methods for Estimation of the Average Daily Temperature of Hyderabad for the Years 2018-2020

A qualitative study on temperature distribution has been executed in Hyderabad by several researchers. This study, however, is the first attempt to study temperature distribution quantitatively. Two different methods, i.e., Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Regression Analysis (RA), have been used...

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Main Authors: Adeel Tahir, Mamnoon Akhtar, Zaheer Ud Din, Muhammad Sarim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Society of Economic Geologists and Mineral Technologists 2021-07-01
Series:International Journal of Economic and Environment Geology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.econ-environ-geol.org/index.php/ojs/article/view/592
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author Adeel Tahir
Mamnoon Akhtar
Zaheer Ud Din
Muhammad Sarim
author_facet Adeel Tahir
Mamnoon Akhtar
Zaheer Ud Din
Muhammad Sarim
author_sort Adeel Tahir
collection DOAJ
description A qualitative study on temperature distribution has been executed in Hyderabad by several researchers. This study, however, is the first attempt to study temperature distribution quantitatively. Two different methods, i.e., Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Regression Analysis (RA), have been used to determine the average daily temperature distribution for Hyderabad, a city in Pakistan. Both the methods are used to predict the average daily temperature of the years; 2018, 2019, and 2020. In Neural Network (NN) analysis, the network was trained and validated for three years with temperature recorded from 2015-2017. With the help of training and validation parameters of the hidden layer, the average daily temperature was predicted for 2018-2020. Based on input parameters (dew point, relative humidity, and wind speed), a multiple regression model was developed, and average daily temperature for the years 2018-2020 was predicted again. For validation of the model statistical errors, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MABE), Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE), and coefficient of determination are calculated. The statistical errors show that multiple regression models and neural network models provide a good prediction of temperature distribution. However, the results of the neural network are better than the regression model.
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spelling doaj.art-24b1086faf6d47f6924da2bde631a3732022-12-21T18:19:13ZengSociety of Economic Geologists and Mineral TechnologistsInternational Journal of Economic and Environment Geology2223-957X2021-07-0112028791https://doi.org/10.46660/ijeeg.Vol12.Iss2.2021.592 Neural Network and Regression Methods for Estimation of the Average Daily Temperature of Hyderabad for the Years 2018-2020 Adeel Tahir0 Mamnoon Akhtar 1 Zaheer Ud Din 2 Muhammad Sarim 3 Department of Physics, University of Karachi, Pakistan Department of Applied Physics, University of Karachi, Pakistan Department of Physics, University of Karachi, Pakistan Department of Computer Science, Federal Urdu University of Arts S&T, Karachi, Pakistan A qualitative study on temperature distribution has been executed in Hyderabad by several researchers. This study, however, is the first attempt to study temperature distribution quantitatively. Two different methods, i.e., Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Regression Analysis (RA), have been used to determine the average daily temperature distribution for Hyderabad, a city in Pakistan. Both the methods are used to predict the average daily temperature of the years; 2018, 2019, and 2020. In Neural Network (NN) analysis, the network was trained and validated for three years with temperature recorded from 2015-2017. With the help of training and validation parameters of the hidden layer, the average daily temperature was predicted for 2018-2020. Based on input parameters (dew point, relative humidity, and wind speed), a multiple regression model was developed, and average daily temperature for the years 2018-2020 was predicted again. For validation of the model statistical errors, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MABE), Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE), and coefficient of determination are calculated. The statistical errors show that multiple regression models and neural network models provide a good prediction of temperature distribution. However, the results of the neural network are better than the regression model.https://www.econ-environ-geol.org/index.php/ojs/article/view/592regression analysisaverage daily temperatueartificial neural network (ann)hyderabad city
spellingShingle Adeel Tahir
Mamnoon Akhtar
Zaheer Ud Din
Muhammad Sarim
Neural Network and Regression Methods for Estimation of the Average Daily Temperature of Hyderabad for the Years 2018-2020
International Journal of Economic and Environment Geology
regression analysis
average daily temperatue
artificial neural network (ann)
hyderabad city
title Neural Network and Regression Methods for Estimation of the Average Daily Temperature of Hyderabad for the Years 2018-2020
title_full Neural Network and Regression Methods for Estimation of the Average Daily Temperature of Hyderabad for the Years 2018-2020
title_fullStr Neural Network and Regression Methods for Estimation of the Average Daily Temperature of Hyderabad for the Years 2018-2020
title_full_unstemmed Neural Network and Regression Methods for Estimation of the Average Daily Temperature of Hyderabad for the Years 2018-2020
title_short Neural Network and Regression Methods for Estimation of the Average Daily Temperature of Hyderabad for the Years 2018-2020
title_sort neural network and regression methods for estimation of the average daily temperature of hyderabad for the years 2018 2020
topic regression analysis
average daily temperatue
artificial neural network (ann)
hyderabad city
url https://www.econ-environ-geol.org/index.php/ojs/article/view/592
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AT zaheeruddin neuralnetworkandregressionmethodsforestimationoftheaveragedailytemperatureofhyderabadfortheyears20182020
AT muhammadsarim neuralnetworkandregressionmethodsforestimationoftheaveragedailytemperatureofhyderabadfortheyears20182020