A Comparative Study on the Estimation of Wind Speed and Wind Power Density Using Statistical Distribution Approaches and Artificial Neural Network-Based Hybrid Techniques in Çanakkale, Türkiye

In recent years, wind energy has become remarkably popular among renewable energy sources due to its low installation costs and easy maintenance. Having high energy potential is of great importance in the selection of regions where wind energy investments will be made. In this study, the wind power...

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Main Authors: Tahsin Koroglu, Elanur Ekici
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-02-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/3/1267
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author Tahsin Koroglu
Elanur Ekici
author_facet Tahsin Koroglu
Elanur Ekici
author_sort Tahsin Koroglu
collection DOAJ
description In recent years, wind energy has become remarkably popular among renewable energy sources due to its low installation costs and easy maintenance. Having high energy potential is of great importance in the selection of regions where wind energy investments will be made. In this study, the wind power potential in Çanakkale Province, located in the northwest of Türkiye, is examined, and the wind speed is estimated using hourly and daily data over a one-year period. The data, including 12 different meteorological parameters, were taken from the Turkish State Meteorological Service. The two-parameter Weibull and Rayleigh distributions, which are the most widely preferred models in wind energy studies, are employed to estimate the wind power potential using hourly wind speed data. The graphical method is implemented to calculate the shape (k) and scale (c) parameters of the Weibull distribution function. Daily average wind speed estimation is performed with artificial neural network–genetic algorithm (ANN-GA) and ANN–particle swarm optimization (ANN-PSO) hybrid approaches. The proposed hybrid ANN-GA and ANN-PSO algorithms provide correlation coefficient values of 0.94839 and 0.94042, respectively, indicating that the predicted and measured wind speed values are notably close. Statistical error indices reveal that the ANN-GA model outperforms the ANN-PSO model.
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spelling doaj.art-24e2b62e6d1e4fc29718145df87675412024-02-09T15:08:26ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172024-02-01143126710.3390/app14031267A Comparative Study on the Estimation of Wind Speed and Wind Power Density Using Statistical Distribution Approaches and Artificial Neural Network-Based Hybrid Techniques in Çanakkale, TürkiyeTahsin Koroglu0Elanur Ekici1Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Adana Alparslan Turkes Science and Technology University, Adana 01250, TürkiyeDepartment of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Adana Alparslan Turkes Science and Technology University, Adana 01250, TürkiyeIn recent years, wind energy has become remarkably popular among renewable energy sources due to its low installation costs and easy maintenance. Having high energy potential is of great importance in the selection of regions where wind energy investments will be made. In this study, the wind power potential in Çanakkale Province, located in the northwest of Türkiye, is examined, and the wind speed is estimated using hourly and daily data over a one-year period. The data, including 12 different meteorological parameters, were taken from the Turkish State Meteorological Service. The two-parameter Weibull and Rayleigh distributions, which are the most widely preferred models in wind energy studies, are employed to estimate the wind power potential using hourly wind speed data. The graphical method is implemented to calculate the shape (k) and scale (c) parameters of the Weibull distribution function. Daily average wind speed estimation is performed with artificial neural network–genetic algorithm (ANN-GA) and ANN–particle swarm optimization (ANN-PSO) hybrid approaches. The proposed hybrid ANN-GA and ANN-PSO algorithms provide correlation coefficient values of 0.94839 and 0.94042, respectively, indicating that the predicted and measured wind speed values are notably close. Statistical error indices reveal that the ANN-GA model outperforms the ANN-PSO model.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/3/1267wind speed estimationartificial neural networkgenetic algorithmparticle swarm optimizationweibull distributionrayleigh distribution
spellingShingle Tahsin Koroglu
Elanur Ekici
A Comparative Study on the Estimation of Wind Speed and Wind Power Density Using Statistical Distribution Approaches and Artificial Neural Network-Based Hybrid Techniques in Çanakkale, Türkiye
Applied Sciences
wind speed estimation
artificial neural network
genetic algorithm
particle swarm optimization
weibull distribution
rayleigh distribution
title A Comparative Study on the Estimation of Wind Speed and Wind Power Density Using Statistical Distribution Approaches and Artificial Neural Network-Based Hybrid Techniques in Çanakkale, Türkiye
title_full A Comparative Study on the Estimation of Wind Speed and Wind Power Density Using Statistical Distribution Approaches and Artificial Neural Network-Based Hybrid Techniques in Çanakkale, Türkiye
title_fullStr A Comparative Study on the Estimation of Wind Speed and Wind Power Density Using Statistical Distribution Approaches and Artificial Neural Network-Based Hybrid Techniques in Çanakkale, Türkiye
title_full_unstemmed A Comparative Study on the Estimation of Wind Speed and Wind Power Density Using Statistical Distribution Approaches and Artificial Neural Network-Based Hybrid Techniques in Çanakkale, Türkiye
title_short A Comparative Study on the Estimation of Wind Speed and Wind Power Density Using Statistical Distribution Approaches and Artificial Neural Network-Based Hybrid Techniques in Çanakkale, Türkiye
title_sort comparative study on the estimation of wind speed and wind power density using statistical distribution approaches and artificial neural network based hybrid techniques in canakkale turkiye
topic wind speed estimation
artificial neural network
genetic algorithm
particle swarm optimization
weibull distribution
rayleigh distribution
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/3/1267
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