THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON THE YIELD SPREAD OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT’S BOND

This study analyzes the roles of macroeconomic variables, which include interest rate (SBI), Consumer Price Index (IHK), Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG), money supply (JUB) and exchange rate (KURS) on yield spread of government bonds (YSI) in Indonesia. The study employs Error Correction Model (ECM)...

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Main Authors: Chandra Utama, Shela Selviana Agesy
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Brawijaya 2016-12-01
Series:Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jiae.ub.ac.id/index.php/jiae/article/view/181
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author Chandra Utama
Shela Selviana Agesy
author_facet Chandra Utama
Shela Selviana Agesy
author_sort Chandra Utama
collection DOAJ
description This study analyzes the roles of macroeconomic variables, which include interest rate (SBI), Consumer Price Index (IHK), Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG), money supply (JUB) and exchange rate (KURS) on yield spread of government bonds (YSI) in Indonesia. The study employs Error Correction Model (ECM) on Indonesian monthly data from January 2008 to December 2013. The study confirms that SBI and KURS significantly determine the YSI in the short run and the long run but money supply is significant only in the long run. However, YSI is not influenced by IHK and IHSG. Based on term structure of interest rate theory, the study finds that the expected future interest rate is determined by SBI, KURS, and JUB.
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spelling doaj.art-24ef9463ed9e43a092d359c9c90e94212023-09-02T10:00:19ZengUniversity of BrawijayaJournal of Indonesian Applied Economics1907-79472541-53952016-12-016215517510.21776/ub.jiae.2016.006.02.2162THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON THE YIELD SPREAD OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT’S BONDChandra Utama0Shela Selviana Agesy1Faculty of Economics, Catholic University of ParahyanganAlumni Faculty of Economics, Catholic University of ParahyanganThis study analyzes the roles of macroeconomic variables, which include interest rate (SBI), Consumer Price Index (IHK), Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG), money supply (JUB) and exchange rate (KURS) on yield spread of government bonds (YSI) in Indonesia. The study employs Error Correction Model (ECM) on Indonesian monthly data from January 2008 to December 2013. The study confirms that SBI and KURS significantly determine the YSI in the short run and the long run but money supply is significant only in the long run. However, YSI is not influenced by IHK and IHSG. Based on term structure of interest rate theory, the study finds that the expected future interest rate is determined by SBI, KURS, and JUB.http://jiae.ub.ac.id/index.php/jiae/article/view/181Government bond, Yield spread, Macroeconomic variable
spellingShingle Chandra Utama
Shela Selviana Agesy
THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON THE YIELD SPREAD OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT’S BOND
Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics
Government bond, Yield spread, Macroeconomic variable
title THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON THE YIELD SPREAD OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT’S BOND
title_full THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON THE YIELD SPREAD OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT’S BOND
title_fullStr THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON THE YIELD SPREAD OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT’S BOND
title_full_unstemmed THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON THE YIELD SPREAD OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT’S BOND
title_short THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON THE YIELD SPREAD OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT’S BOND
title_sort effect of macroeconomic variables on the yield spread of indonesian government s bond
topic Government bond, Yield spread, Macroeconomic variable
url http://jiae.ub.ac.id/index.php/jiae/article/view/181
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