Fertility Reactions to the "Great Recession" in Europe: Recent Evidence from Order-Specific Data

OBJECTIVE This paper provides recent cross-national evidence of the impact of the great recession on fertility in Europe in the context of the recent decade. METHODS Using data from the Human Fertility Database (HFD), from Eurostat, and from the OECD database, we employ fixed-effects modeling to stu...

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Main Authors: Joshua Goldstein, Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal, Michaela Kreyenfeld, Aiva Jasilioniene
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research 2013-07-01
Series:Demographic Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol29/4/
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author Joshua Goldstein
Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal
Michaela Kreyenfeld
Aiva Jasilioniene
author_facet Joshua Goldstein
Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal
Michaela Kreyenfeld
Aiva Jasilioniene
author_sort Joshua Goldstein
collection DOAJ
description OBJECTIVE This paper provides recent cross-national evidence of the impact of the great recession on fertility in Europe in the context of the recent decade. METHODS Using data from the Human Fertility Database (HFD), from Eurostat, and from the OECD database, we employ fixed-effects modeling to study how changes in unemployment rates have affected birth rates across Europe. RESULTS We find that countries that were hit hard by the recession show reduced fertility when compared with a continuation of recent trends, especially at younger ages. CONCLUSIONS Our results indicate a strong relationship between economic conditions and fertility. However, there is variation by region, age, and parity suggesting the importance of life course and institutional factors.
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spelling doaj.art-24f9d2585f87457f9e12d104eaa8835b2022-12-21T19:58:59ZengMax Planck Institute for Demographic ResearchDemographic Research1435-98712013-07-01294Fertility Reactions to the "Great Recession" in Europe: Recent Evidence from Order-Specific DataJoshua GoldsteinDeniz Dilan Karaman ÖrsalMichaela KreyenfeldAiva JasilionieneOBJECTIVE This paper provides recent cross-national evidence of the impact of the great recession on fertility in Europe in the context of the recent decade. METHODS Using data from the Human Fertility Database (HFD), from Eurostat, and from the OECD database, we employ fixed-effects modeling to study how changes in unemployment rates have affected birth rates across Europe. RESULTS We find that countries that were hit hard by the recession show reduced fertility when compared with a continuation of recent trends, especially at younger ages. CONCLUSIONS Our results indicate a strong relationship between economic conditions and fertility. However, there is variation by region, age, and parity suggesting the importance of life course and institutional factors.http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol29/4/birth orderEuropefertilityuncertaintyunemployment
spellingShingle Joshua Goldstein
Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal
Michaela Kreyenfeld
Aiva Jasilioniene
Fertility Reactions to the "Great Recession" in Europe: Recent Evidence from Order-Specific Data
Demographic Research
birth order
Europe
fertility
uncertainty
unemployment
title Fertility Reactions to the "Great Recession" in Europe: Recent Evidence from Order-Specific Data
title_full Fertility Reactions to the "Great Recession" in Europe: Recent Evidence from Order-Specific Data
title_fullStr Fertility Reactions to the "Great Recession" in Europe: Recent Evidence from Order-Specific Data
title_full_unstemmed Fertility Reactions to the "Great Recession" in Europe: Recent Evidence from Order-Specific Data
title_short Fertility Reactions to the "Great Recession" in Europe: Recent Evidence from Order-Specific Data
title_sort fertility reactions to the great recession in europe recent evidence from order specific data
topic birth order
Europe
fertility
uncertainty
unemployment
url http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol29/4/
work_keys_str_mv AT joshuagoldstein fertilityreactionstothegreatrecessionineuroperecentevidencefromorderspecificdata
AT denizdilankaramanxd6rsal fertilityreactionstothegreatrecessionineuroperecentevidencefromorderspecificdata
AT michaelakreyenfeld fertilityreactionstothegreatrecessionineuroperecentevidencefromorderspecificdata
AT aivajasilioniene fertilityreactionstothegreatrecessionineuroperecentevidencefromorderspecificdata