The Influence of Tornado Activity, Impact, Memory, and Sentiment on Tornado Perception Accuracy among College Students

A survey consisting of open-ended and closed responses was administered at three universities in the eastern USA. The home counties of survey participants represented climatological tornado risks spanning from rarely impacted to frequently impacted. The first objective of this research was to classi...

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Main Authors: Jason C. Senkbeil, Kelsey N. Ellis, Jacob R. Reed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-11-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/10/12/732
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author Jason C. Senkbeil
Kelsey N. Ellis
Jacob R. Reed
author_facet Jason C. Senkbeil
Kelsey N. Ellis
Jacob R. Reed
author_sort Jason C. Senkbeil
collection DOAJ
description A survey consisting of open-ended and closed responses was administered at three universities in the eastern USA. The home counties of survey participants represented climatological tornado risks spanning from rarely impacted to frequently impacted. The first objective of this research was to classify climatological tornado risk for each county so that analyses of tornado perception accuracy could be evaluated. Perception accuracy was defined as the difference between what each participant perceived minus what actually happened. A manual classification scheme was created that uses the Storm Prediction Center’s Convective Outlook framework as county climatological risk categories. Participants from high-risk counties statistically significantly overestimated the numbers of violent tornadoes compared to participants from every risk category but moderate. Furthermore, participants from high-risk counties had significantly greater tornado impacts, thus validating the classification of high-risk. Participants from high, moderate, and slight-risk counties significantly overestimated the number of strong tornadoes compared to participants from enhanced-risk counties. There appeared to be no relationships between tornado memory and tornado sentiment with tornado perception accuracy. Possible explanations for the overestimation of the numbers of violent tornadoes in high-risk counties are discussed.
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spelling doaj.art-2514dd8d80dc4b97b954a6a31307cd462022-12-22T01:15:19ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332019-11-01101273210.3390/atmos10120732atmos10120732The Influence of Tornado Activity, Impact, Memory, and Sentiment on Tornado Perception Accuracy among College StudentsJason C. Senkbeil0Kelsey N. Ellis1Jacob R. Reed2Department of Geography, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487, USADepartment of Geography, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996, USACenter for Advanced Public Safety, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487, USAA survey consisting of open-ended and closed responses was administered at three universities in the eastern USA. The home counties of survey participants represented climatological tornado risks spanning from rarely impacted to frequently impacted. The first objective of this research was to classify climatological tornado risk for each county so that analyses of tornado perception accuracy could be evaluated. Perception accuracy was defined as the difference between what each participant perceived minus what actually happened. A manual classification scheme was created that uses the Storm Prediction Center’s Convective Outlook framework as county climatological risk categories. Participants from high-risk counties statistically significantly overestimated the numbers of violent tornadoes compared to participants from every risk category but moderate. Furthermore, participants from high-risk counties had significantly greater tornado impacts, thus validating the classification of high-risk. Participants from high, moderate, and slight-risk counties significantly overestimated the number of strong tornadoes compared to participants from enhanced-risk counties. There appeared to be no relationships between tornado memory and tornado sentiment with tornado perception accuracy. Possible explanations for the overestimation of the numbers of violent tornadoes in high-risk counties are discussed.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/10/12/732tornadoperception accuracyclimatological riskusa
spellingShingle Jason C. Senkbeil
Kelsey N. Ellis
Jacob R. Reed
The Influence of Tornado Activity, Impact, Memory, and Sentiment on Tornado Perception Accuracy among College Students
Atmosphere
tornado
perception accuracy
climatological risk
usa
title The Influence of Tornado Activity, Impact, Memory, and Sentiment on Tornado Perception Accuracy among College Students
title_full The Influence of Tornado Activity, Impact, Memory, and Sentiment on Tornado Perception Accuracy among College Students
title_fullStr The Influence of Tornado Activity, Impact, Memory, and Sentiment on Tornado Perception Accuracy among College Students
title_full_unstemmed The Influence of Tornado Activity, Impact, Memory, and Sentiment on Tornado Perception Accuracy among College Students
title_short The Influence of Tornado Activity, Impact, Memory, and Sentiment on Tornado Perception Accuracy among College Students
title_sort influence of tornado activity impact memory and sentiment on tornado perception accuracy among college students
topic tornado
perception accuracy
climatological risk
usa
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/10/12/732
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