Foresight the Political-Security Consequences of the Zionist Regime Presence in the Centcom Command Against the Islamic Republic of Iran Until 2028
The United States has made many efforts to establish peace between the Arabs and the Zionist regime over many years. In recent years, the United States has created major challenges for the region by transferring the Zionist regime from the European area of its army to the area of CENTCOM command. Th...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | fas |
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Shahed University
2022-09-01
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| Series: | جامعه شناسی سیاسی جهان اسلام |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://iws.shahed.ac.ir/article_4140_ffa2e65e0257937f8c96aceac4af018f.pdf |
| _version_ | 1797542929755013120 |
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| author | Khalil Koulivand Ali sattarikhah |
| author_facet | Khalil Koulivand Ali sattarikhah |
| author_sort | Khalil Koulivand |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The United States has made many efforts to establish peace between the Arabs and the Zionist regime over many years. In recent years, the United States has created major challenges for the region by transferring the Zionist regime from the European area of its army to the area of CENTCOM command. Therefore, the current research aims to predict the political-security consequences of the presence of the Zionist regime in the command area of CENTCOM against Iran, drawing the scenarios resulting from this issue until 2028. The current research is applied in terms of purpose. In terms of nature and method, it is an exploratory description based on the GBN (Global Business Network) scenario writing method. The statistical population includes 35 professors of armed forces universities, commanders, and managers in strategic jobs. Identification of key factors and driving forces has been done using library studies, brainstorming methods (expert panel), and scoring key factors and driving forces was carried out using expert opinions. To draw the scenarios, the scenario analysis method based on seven steps of scenario writing with the approach of critical uncertainties was used, and with the opinion of experts and quantitative analysis, four possible, believable, and likely scenarios were finally created with the titles of "Establishment of a Convergent Regional Security-Political System" ( Miraculous Believable), "Regional Political-Stable Regional Security Agreement" (Optimistic Believable), "Regional Political-Security Stable Conflict" (Possibly Pessimistic) and "Regional Political-Security Nato" (Possibly Catastrophic).. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T13:37:29Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-251cb8cf93b34c7d88c170b4a9d61999 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2980-9371 |
| language | fas |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T13:37:29Z |
| publishDate | 2022-09-01 |
| publisher | Shahed University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | جامعه شناسی سیاسی جهان اسلام |
| spelling | doaj.art-251cb8cf93b34c7d88c170b4a9d619992023-11-21T06:27:36ZfasShahed Universityجامعه شناسی سیاسی جهان اسلام2980-93712022-09-01102128332210.22070/iws.2023.17372.22774140Foresight the Political-Security Consequences of the Zionist Regime Presence in the Centcom Command Against the Islamic Republic of Iran Until 2028Khalil Koulivand0Ali sattarikhah1M.A in Defense Futures Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Command University and Headquarters of the Islamic Republic of Iran Army, Tehran, IranAssistant Professor of Strategic Management, Shahid Sattari University of Aviation Sciences and Technology, Tehran, IranThe United States has made many efforts to establish peace between the Arabs and the Zionist regime over many years. In recent years, the United States has created major challenges for the region by transferring the Zionist regime from the European area of its army to the area of CENTCOM command. Therefore, the current research aims to predict the political-security consequences of the presence of the Zionist regime in the command area of CENTCOM against Iran, drawing the scenarios resulting from this issue until 2028. The current research is applied in terms of purpose. In terms of nature and method, it is an exploratory description based on the GBN (Global Business Network) scenario writing method. The statistical population includes 35 professors of armed forces universities, commanders, and managers in strategic jobs. Identification of key factors and driving forces has been done using library studies, brainstorming methods (expert panel), and scoring key factors and driving forces was carried out using expert opinions. To draw the scenarios, the scenario analysis method based on seven steps of scenario writing with the approach of critical uncertainties was used, and with the opinion of experts and quantitative analysis, four possible, believable, and likely scenarios were finally created with the titles of "Establishment of a Convergent Regional Security-Political System" ( Miraculous Believable), "Regional Political-Stable Regional Security Agreement" (Optimistic Believable), "Regional Political-Security Stable Conflict" (Possibly Pessimistic) and "Regional Political-Security Nato" (Possibly Catastrophic)..https://iws.shahed.ac.ir/article_4140_ffa2e65e0257937f8c96aceac4af018f.pdfforesightpolitical-security consequenceszionist regimecentcom commandscenario planning |
| spellingShingle | Khalil Koulivand Ali sattarikhah Foresight the Political-Security Consequences of the Zionist Regime Presence in the Centcom Command Against the Islamic Republic of Iran Until 2028 جامعه شناسی سیاسی جهان اسلام foresight political-security consequences zionist regime centcom command scenario planning |
| title | Foresight the Political-Security Consequences of the Zionist Regime Presence in the Centcom Command Against the Islamic Republic of Iran Until 2028 |
| title_full | Foresight the Political-Security Consequences of the Zionist Regime Presence in the Centcom Command Against the Islamic Republic of Iran Until 2028 |
| title_fullStr | Foresight the Political-Security Consequences of the Zionist Regime Presence in the Centcom Command Against the Islamic Republic of Iran Until 2028 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Foresight the Political-Security Consequences of the Zionist Regime Presence in the Centcom Command Against the Islamic Republic of Iran Until 2028 |
| title_short | Foresight the Political-Security Consequences of the Zionist Regime Presence in the Centcom Command Against the Islamic Republic of Iran Until 2028 |
| title_sort | foresight the political security consequences of the zionist regime presence in the centcom command against the islamic republic of iran until 2028 |
| topic | foresight political-security consequences zionist regime centcom command scenario planning |
| url | https://iws.shahed.ac.ir/article_4140_ffa2e65e0257937f8c96aceac4af018f.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT khalilkoulivand foresightthepoliticalsecurityconsequencesofthezionistregimepresenceinthecentcomcommandagainsttheislamicrepublicofiranuntil2028 AT alisattarikhah foresightthepoliticalsecurityconsequencesofthezionistregimepresenceinthecentcomcommandagainsttheislamicrepublicofiranuntil2028 |