The linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global risk

The paper examines a systematic interrelationship between the world oil and agricultural commodity prices, taking the role of the USD and the perceived global market risks into consideration for the period from January 1990 to June 2013. The authors initially determine the significant cross-sectiona...

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Main Authors: Giray GOZGOR, Baris KABLAMACI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences 2014-07-01
Series:Agricultural Economics (AGRICECON)
Subjects:
Online Access:https://agricecon.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/age-201407-0006_the-linkage-between-oil-and-agricultural-commodity-prices-in-the-light-of-the-perceived-global-risk.php
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author Giray GOZGOR
Baris KABLAMACI
author_facet Giray GOZGOR
Baris KABLAMACI
author_sort Giray GOZGOR
collection DOAJ
description The paper examines a systematic interrelationship between the world oil and agricultural commodity prices, taking the role of the USD and the perceived global market risks into consideration for the period from January 1990 to June 2013. The authors initially determine the significant cross-sectional dependence in a large balanced panel framework for 27 commodity prices, and then apply the second generation panel unit root (PUR) tests. Findings from the PUR tests clearly suggest that there is a strong unit root in agricultural commodity prices. In addition, the empirical findings from the fixed effects panel data, panel co-integration analysis, the Panel-Wald Causality tests, and the common correlated effects mean group estimations strongly show that the world oil price and the weak USD have positive impacts on almost all agricultural commodity prices. There are also retained the adjuvant effects of the escalatory perceived global market risk upon most agricultural commodity prices.
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spelling doaj.art-2549ae19403847bc820438c8879de34f2023-02-23T03:24:30ZengCzech Academy of Agricultural SciencesAgricultural Economics (AGRICECON)0139-570X1805-92952014-07-0160733234210.17221/183/2013-AGRICECONage-201407-0006The linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global riskGiray GOZGOR0Baris KABLAMACI1Department of Economics and Finance, Dogus University, Istanbul, TurkeyDepartment of Economics, Istanbul University, Istanbul, TurkeyThe paper examines a systematic interrelationship between the world oil and agricultural commodity prices, taking the role of the USD and the perceived global market risks into consideration for the period from January 1990 to June 2013. The authors initially determine the significant cross-sectional dependence in a large balanced panel framework for 27 commodity prices, and then apply the second generation panel unit root (PUR) tests. Findings from the PUR tests clearly suggest that there is a strong unit root in agricultural commodity prices. In addition, the empirical findings from the fixed effects panel data, panel co-integration analysis, the Panel-Wald Causality tests, and the common correlated effects mean group estimations strongly show that the world oil price and the weak USD have positive impacts on almost all agricultural commodity prices. There are also retained the adjuvant effects of the escalatory perceived global market risk upon most agricultural commodity prices.https://agricecon.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/age-201407-0006_the-linkage-between-oil-and-agricultural-commodity-prices-in-the-light-of-the-perceived-global-risk.phpoil pricespanel data estimationsthe vix
spellingShingle Giray GOZGOR
Baris KABLAMACI
The linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global risk
Agricultural Economics (AGRICECON)
oil prices
panel data estimations
the vix
title The linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global risk
title_full The linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global risk
title_fullStr The linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global risk
title_full_unstemmed The linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global risk
title_short The linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global risk
title_sort linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global risk
topic oil prices
panel data estimations
the vix
url https://agricecon.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/age-201407-0006_the-linkage-between-oil-and-agricultural-commodity-prices-in-the-light-of-the-perceived-global-risk.php
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AT giraygozgor linkagebetweenoilandagriculturalcommoditypricesinthelightoftheperceivedglobalrisk
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