Temperature Anomalies, Long Memory, and Aggregation
Econometric studies for global heating have typically used regional or global temperature averages to study its long memory properties. One typical explanation behind the long memory properties of temperature averages is cross-sectional aggregation. Nonetheless, formal analysis regarding the effect...
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Format: | Article |
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MDPI AG
2021-03-01
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Series: | Econometrics |
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Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/9/1/9 |
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author | J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés |
author_facet | J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés |
author_sort | J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Econometric studies for global heating have typically used regional or global temperature averages to study its long memory properties. One typical explanation behind the long memory properties of temperature averages is cross-sectional aggregation. Nonetheless, formal analysis regarding the effect that aggregation has on the long memory dynamics of temperature data has been missing. Thus, this paper studies the long memory properties of individual grid temperatures and compares them against the long memory dynamics of global and regional averages. Our results show that the long memory parameters in individual grid observations are smaller than those from regional averages. Global and regional long memory estimates are greatly affected by temperature measurements at the Tropics, where the data is less reliable. Thus, this paper supports the notion that aggregation may be exacerbating the long memory estimated in regional and global temperature data. The results are robust to the bandwidth parameter, limit for station radius of influence, and sampling frequency. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-09T05:43:53Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-254c04a6713e4fcdaf470538087d72ae |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2225-1146 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-09T05:43:53Z |
publishDate | 2021-03-01 |
publisher | MDPI AG |
record_format | Article |
series | Econometrics |
spelling | doaj.art-254c04a6713e4fcdaf470538087d72ae2023-12-03T12:22:53ZengMDPI AGEconometrics2225-11462021-03-0191910.3390/econometrics9010009Temperature Anomalies, Long Memory, and AggregationJ. Eduardo Vera-Valdés0Department of Mathematical Sciences, Aalborg University and CREATES, DK-9220 Aalborg, DenmarkEconometric studies for global heating have typically used regional or global temperature averages to study its long memory properties. One typical explanation behind the long memory properties of temperature averages is cross-sectional aggregation. Nonetheless, formal analysis regarding the effect that aggregation has on the long memory dynamics of temperature data has been missing. Thus, this paper studies the long memory properties of individual grid temperatures and compares them against the long memory dynamics of global and regional averages. Our results show that the long memory parameters in individual grid observations are smaller than those from regional averages. Global and regional long memory estimates are greatly affected by temperature measurements at the Tropics, where the data is less reliable. Thus, this paper supports the notion that aggregation may be exacerbating the long memory estimated in regional and global temperature data. The results are robust to the bandwidth parameter, limit for station radius of influence, and sampling frequency.https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/9/1/9global heatingtemperature anomaliesclimate econometricslong memoryaggregation |
spellingShingle | J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés Temperature Anomalies, Long Memory, and Aggregation Econometrics global heating temperature anomalies climate econometrics long memory aggregation |
title | Temperature Anomalies, Long Memory, and Aggregation |
title_full | Temperature Anomalies, Long Memory, and Aggregation |
title_fullStr | Temperature Anomalies, Long Memory, and Aggregation |
title_full_unstemmed | Temperature Anomalies, Long Memory, and Aggregation |
title_short | Temperature Anomalies, Long Memory, and Aggregation |
title_sort | temperature anomalies long memory and aggregation |
topic | global heating temperature anomalies climate econometrics long memory aggregation |
url | https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/9/1/9 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT jeduardoveravaldes temperatureanomalieslongmemoryandaggregation |