Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution

Understanding how climate change has shaped past high impact events requires reliable probabilities of extreme event occurrences. This study demonstrates how often overlooked techniques from weather forecasting can yield more reliable assessments of climate change impacts.

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Omar Bellprat, Virginie Guemas, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Markus G. Donat
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2019-04-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09729-2
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author Omar Bellprat
Virginie Guemas
Francisco Doblas-Reyes
Markus G. Donat
author_facet Omar Bellprat
Virginie Guemas
Francisco Doblas-Reyes
Markus G. Donat
author_sort Omar Bellprat
collection DOAJ
description Understanding how climate change has shaped past high impact events requires reliable probabilities of extreme event occurrences. This study demonstrates how often overlooked techniques from weather forecasting can yield more reliable assessments of climate change impacts.
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spelling doaj.art-256759a1886d4acb99cf923b9f27b26c2022-12-21T23:38:57ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232019-04-011011710.1038/s41467-019-09729-2Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attributionOmar Bellprat0Virginie Guemas1Francisco Doblas-Reyes2Markus G. Donat3Earth Sciences Departement, Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Carrer de Jordi Girona, 29-31Earth Sciences Departement, Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Carrer de Jordi Girona, 29-31Earth Sciences Departement, Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Carrer de Jordi Girona, 29-31Earth Sciences Departement, Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Carrer de Jordi Girona, 29-31Understanding how climate change has shaped past high impact events requires reliable probabilities of extreme event occurrences. This study demonstrates how often overlooked techniques from weather forecasting can yield more reliable assessments of climate change impacts.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09729-2
spellingShingle Omar Bellprat
Virginie Guemas
Francisco Doblas-Reyes
Markus G. Donat
Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution
Nature Communications
title Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution
title_full Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution
title_fullStr Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution
title_full_unstemmed Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution
title_short Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution
title_sort towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09729-2
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AT virginieguemas towardsreliableextremeweatherandclimateeventattribution
AT franciscodoblasreyes towardsreliableextremeweatherandclimateeventattribution
AT markusgdonat towardsreliableextremeweatherandclimateeventattribution