Arbitrary-Order Finite-Time Corrections for the Kramers–Moyal Operator

With the aim of improving the reconstruction of stochastic evolution equations from empirical time-series data, we derive a full representation of the generator of the Kramers–Moyal operator via a power-series expansion of the exponential operator. This expansion is necessary for deriving the differ...

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Main Authors: Leonardo Rydin Gorjão, Dirk Witthaut, Klaus Lehnertz, Pedro G. Lind
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-04-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/23/5/517
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author Leonardo Rydin Gorjão
Dirk Witthaut
Klaus Lehnertz
Pedro G. Lind
author_facet Leonardo Rydin Gorjão
Dirk Witthaut
Klaus Lehnertz
Pedro G. Lind
author_sort Leonardo Rydin Gorjão
collection DOAJ
description With the aim of improving the reconstruction of stochastic evolution equations from empirical time-series data, we derive a full representation of the generator of the Kramers–Moyal operator via a power-series expansion of the exponential operator. This expansion is necessary for deriving the different terms in a stochastic differential equation. With the full representation of this operator, we are able to separate finite-time corrections of the power-series expansion of arbitrary order into terms with and without derivatives of the Kramers–Moyal coefficients. We arrive at a closed-form solution expressed through conditional moments, which can be extracted directly from time-series data with a finite sampling intervals. We provide all finite-time correction terms for parametric and non-parametric estimation of the Kramers–Moyal coefficients for discontinuous processes which can be easily implemented—employing Bell polynomials—in time-series analyses of stochastic processes. With exemplary cases of insufficiently sampled diffusion and jump-diffusion processes, we demonstrate the advantages of our arbitrary-order finite-time corrections and their impact in distinguishing diffusion and jump-diffusion processes strictly from time-series data.
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spelling doaj.art-257cf28df669423f809dd2ccd3ee34aa2023-11-21T16:57:11ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002021-04-0123551710.3390/e23050517Arbitrary-Order Finite-Time Corrections for the Kramers–Moyal OperatorLeonardo Rydin Gorjão0Dirk Witthaut1Klaus Lehnertz2Pedro G. Lind3Forschungszentrum Jülich, Institute for Energy and Climate Research-Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (IEK-STE), 52428 Jülich, GermanyForschungszentrum Jülich, Institute for Energy and Climate Research-Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (IEK-STE), 52428 Jülich, GermanyDepartment of Epileptology, University Hospital Bonn, Venusberg Campus 1, 53127 Bonn, GermanyDepartment of Computer Science, OsloMet—Oslo Metropolitan University, P.O. Box 4 St. Olavs plass, N-0130 Oslo, NorwayWith the aim of improving the reconstruction of stochastic evolution equations from empirical time-series data, we derive a full representation of the generator of the Kramers–Moyal operator via a power-series expansion of the exponential operator. This expansion is necessary for deriving the different terms in a stochastic differential equation. With the full representation of this operator, we are able to separate finite-time corrections of the power-series expansion of arbitrary order into terms with and without derivatives of the Kramers–Moyal coefficients. We arrive at a closed-form solution expressed through conditional moments, which can be extracted directly from time-series data with a finite sampling intervals. We provide all finite-time correction terms for parametric and non-parametric estimation of the Kramers–Moyal coefficients for discontinuous processes which can be easily implemented—employing Bell polynomials—in time-series analyses of stochastic processes. With exemplary cases of insufficiently sampled diffusion and jump-diffusion processes, we demonstrate the advantages of our arbitrary-order finite-time corrections and their impact in distinguishing diffusion and jump-diffusion processes strictly from time-series data.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/23/5/517stochastic processesKramers–Moyal equationKramers–Moyal coefficientsFokker–Planck equationarbitrary-order approximationsnon-parametric estimators
spellingShingle Leonardo Rydin Gorjão
Dirk Witthaut
Klaus Lehnertz
Pedro G. Lind
Arbitrary-Order Finite-Time Corrections for the Kramers–Moyal Operator
Entropy
stochastic processes
Kramers–Moyal equation
Kramers–Moyal coefficients
Fokker–Planck equation
arbitrary-order approximations
non-parametric estimators
title Arbitrary-Order Finite-Time Corrections for the Kramers–Moyal Operator
title_full Arbitrary-Order Finite-Time Corrections for the Kramers–Moyal Operator
title_fullStr Arbitrary-Order Finite-Time Corrections for the Kramers–Moyal Operator
title_full_unstemmed Arbitrary-Order Finite-Time Corrections for the Kramers–Moyal Operator
title_short Arbitrary-Order Finite-Time Corrections for the Kramers–Moyal Operator
title_sort arbitrary order finite time corrections for the kramers moyal operator
topic stochastic processes
Kramers–Moyal equation
Kramers–Moyal coefficients
Fokker–Planck equation
arbitrary-order approximations
non-parametric estimators
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/23/5/517
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AT klauslehnertz arbitraryorderfinitetimecorrectionsforthekramersmoyaloperator
AT pedroglind arbitraryorderfinitetimecorrectionsforthekramersmoyaloperator