Nightlight as a Proxy of Economic Indicators: Fine-Grained GDP Inference around Chinese Mainland via Attention-Augmented CNN from Daytime Satellite Imagery

The official method of collecting county-level GDP values in the Chinese Mainland relies mainly on administrative reporting data and suffers from high costs of time, money, and human labor. To date, a series of studies have been conducted to generate fine-grained maps of socioeconomic indicators fro...

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Main Authors: Haoyu Liu, Xianwen He, Yanbing Bai, Xing Liu, Yilin Wu, Yanyun Zhao, Hanfang Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-05-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/11/2067
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author Haoyu Liu
Xianwen He
Yanbing Bai
Xing Liu
Yilin Wu
Yanyun Zhao
Hanfang Yang
author_facet Haoyu Liu
Xianwen He
Yanbing Bai
Xing Liu
Yilin Wu
Yanyun Zhao
Hanfang Yang
author_sort Haoyu Liu
collection DOAJ
description The official method of collecting county-level GDP values in the Chinese Mainland relies mainly on administrative reporting data and suffers from high costs of time, money, and human labor. To date, a series of studies have been conducted to generate fine-grained maps of socioeconomic indicators from the easily accessed remote sensing data and achieved satisfactory results. This paper proposes a transfer learning framework that regards nightlight intensities as a proxy of economic activity degrees to estimate county-level GDP around the Chinese Mainland. In the framework, paired daytime satellite images and nightlight intensity levels were applied to train a VGG-16 architecture, and the output features at a specific layer, after dimensional reduction and statistics calculation, were fed into a simple regressor to estimate county-level GDP. We trained the model with data of 2017 and utilized it to predict county-level GDP of 2018, achieving an R-squared of 0.71. Furthermore, the results of gradient visualization confirmed the validity of the proposed framework qualitatively. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that county-level GDP values around the Chinese Mainland have been estimated from both daytime and nighttime remote sensing data relying on attention-augmented CNN. We believe that our work will shed light on both the evolution of fine-grained socioeconomic surveys and the application of remote sensing data in economic research.
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spelling doaj.art-25d5497d5f834f1385c9930792c813162023-11-21T21:12:03ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922021-05-011311206710.3390/rs13112067Nightlight as a Proxy of Economic Indicators: Fine-Grained GDP Inference around Chinese Mainland via Attention-Augmented CNN from Daytime Satellite ImageryHaoyu Liu0Xianwen He1Yanbing Bai2Xing Liu3Yilin Wu4Yanyun Zhao5Hanfang Yang6Center for Applied Statistics, School of Statistics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, ChinaCenter for Applied Statistics, School of Statistics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, ChinaCenter for Applied Statistics, School of Statistics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, ChinaGraduate School of Information Sciences, Tohoku University, Sendai 980-8579, JapanCenter for Applied Statistics, School of Statistics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, ChinaCenter for Applied Statistics, School of Statistics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, ChinaCenter for Applied Statistics, School of Statistics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, ChinaThe official method of collecting county-level GDP values in the Chinese Mainland relies mainly on administrative reporting data and suffers from high costs of time, money, and human labor. To date, a series of studies have been conducted to generate fine-grained maps of socioeconomic indicators from the easily accessed remote sensing data and achieved satisfactory results. This paper proposes a transfer learning framework that regards nightlight intensities as a proxy of economic activity degrees to estimate county-level GDP around the Chinese Mainland. In the framework, paired daytime satellite images and nightlight intensity levels were applied to train a VGG-16 architecture, and the output features at a specific layer, after dimensional reduction and statistics calculation, were fed into a simple regressor to estimate county-level GDP. We trained the model with data of 2017 and utilized it to predict county-level GDP of 2018, achieving an R-squared of 0.71. Furthermore, the results of gradient visualization confirmed the validity of the proposed framework qualitatively. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that county-level GDP values around the Chinese Mainland have been estimated from both daytime and nighttime remote sensing data relying on attention-augmented CNN. We believe that our work will shed light on both the evolution of fine-grained socioeconomic surveys and the application of remote sensing data in economic research.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/11/2067attention-augmented CNNnightlightfine-grained GDP estimationdaytime satellite imageryarbitrary area representation
spellingShingle Haoyu Liu
Xianwen He
Yanbing Bai
Xing Liu
Yilin Wu
Yanyun Zhao
Hanfang Yang
Nightlight as a Proxy of Economic Indicators: Fine-Grained GDP Inference around Chinese Mainland via Attention-Augmented CNN from Daytime Satellite Imagery
Remote Sensing
attention-augmented CNN
nightlight
fine-grained GDP estimation
daytime satellite imagery
arbitrary area representation
title Nightlight as a Proxy of Economic Indicators: Fine-Grained GDP Inference around Chinese Mainland via Attention-Augmented CNN from Daytime Satellite Imagery
title_full Nightlight as a Proxy of Economic Indicators: Fine-Grained GDP Inference around Chinese Mainland via Attention-Augmented CNN from Daytime Satellite Imagery
title_fullStr Nightlight as a Proxy of Economic Indicators: Fine-Grained GDP Inference around Chinese Mainland via Attention-Augmented CNN from Daytime Satellite Imagery
title_full_unstemmed Nightlight as a Proxy of Economic Indicators: Fine-Grained GDP Inference around Chinese Mainland via Attention-Augmented CNN from Daytime Satellite Imagery
title_short Nightlight as a Proxy of Economic Indicators: Fine-Grained GDP Inference around Chinese Mainland via Attention-Augmented CNN from Daytime Satellite Imagery
title_sort nightlight as a proxy of economic indicators fine grained gdp inference around chinese mainland via attention augmented cnn from daytime satellite imagery
topic attention-augmented CNN
nightlight
fine-grained GDP estimation
daytime satellite imagery
arbitrary area representation
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/11/2067
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