The relationship of climate to dengue cases in Manado, North Sulawesi: 2001-2010
Abstrak<br />Latar belakang: Kondisi iklim merupakan salah satu faktor yang berpengaruh terhadap Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD). Penelitian ini mengeksplorasi faktor iklim yang dominan terhadap jumlah kasus DBD di <br />Kota Manado. Metode:Data on the number of dengue cases per month for 10...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Badan Penelitian dan Pengembangan Kesehatan
2013-07-01
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Series: | Health Science Journal of Indonesia |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://ejournal.litbang.kemkes.go.id/index.php/HSJI/article/view/3092 |
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author | Jusniar Ariati Anwar Musadad |
author_facet | Jusniar Ariati Anwar Musadad |
author_sort | Jusniar Ariati |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Abstrak<br />Latar belakang: Kondisi iklim merupakan salah satu faktor yang berpengaruh terhadap Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD). Penelitian ini mengeksplorasi faktor iklim yang dominan terhadap jumlah kasus DBD di <br />Kota Manado. Metode:Data on the number of dengue cases per month for 10 years (2001-2010) from the Health Department of the city of Manado, while the climate data (temperature, humidity, rainfall and rainy days) <br />derived from the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG). To determine the dominant factors of the number of dengue cases used linear regression method. Hasil:Pada musim hujan periode bulan Januari-Maret suhu merupakan faktor dominan berpengaruh <br />terhadap jumlah kasus DBD, yaitu dengan meningkatnya suhu sebesar 1<br />0 C akan menurunkan jumlah kasus DBD sebanyak 18 kasus [koefisien regresi (β) = -18,47; P = 0,133]. Pada musim kemarau bulan April-Juli <br />kelembaban dan hari hujan merupakan faktor dominan yang berpengaruh terhadap jumlah kasus DBD. Meningkatnya 1 poin kelembaban akan meningkatkan sebanyak 2,4 kasus (β) = 2,44; P = 0,021). Sebaliknya <br />dengan bertambahnya satu hari hujan akan menurunkan 2 kasus DBD (β= 2,05; P = 0,024). Pada musim hujan periode bulan Agustus-Desember yang menjadi faktor dominan adalah kelembaban dan hari hujan. Dengan meningkatnya 1 poin kelembaban akan meningkatkan 13,6 kasus (β= 13.65; P =0.100). Namun, dengan meningkatnya 1 point hari hujan akan menurunkan 7 kasus DBD (β= -7,69; P =0,035). <br />Kesimpulan: Pada setiap musim terdapat perbedaan faktor iklim yang berdeda terhadap DBD di kota Manado. (Health Science Indones 2013;1:22-6) Kata kunci:demam berdarah dengue, iklim, suhu, kelembaban, hari hujan<br /><br />Abstract<br />Background: Climatic condition is one of the factors that influence Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF). This study explores the correlation between climate and the number of dengue cases in the city of Manado.<br />Methods: Data on the number of dengue cases per month for 10 years (2001-2010) in Manado was available from the Health Department of the city of Manado, while the climate data (temperature, humidity, rainfall <br />and rainy days) was derived from the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG). Linear regression was used to determine the dominant climatic factors related to the number of dengue cases.<br />Results: In the rainy season period from January to March temperature was the dominant factor affecting the number of dengue cases. An increase in temperature of 1 o C would reduce the number of dengue cases by 18 [regression coefficient (β) = -18.47; P =0.133]. While in the dry season period from April to July humidity and rainy days were the dominant factors affecting the number of dengue cases. An increase of 1 point of moisture was found to increase the number of dengue cases by 2.4 (β= 2.44; P = 0.021). However, 1 day of rain decreased the number of dengue cases by as much as 2 (β= 2.05; P = 0.024). In the rainy season period from August to December, the dominant factors were humidity and rainy days. An increase of 1 point in the humidity was found to increase the number of cases by 13.6 (β= 13.65; P =0.100). However, an increase of 1-point in the rainy days was found to reduce the number of dengue cases by 7 (β= -7.69; P =0.035). Conclusion: In the city of Manado, the dominant climatic factors for DHF varied by season. (Health Science Indones 2013;1:22-6) Key words: dengue hemorrhagic fever, climate, temperature, humidity, rain <br /> |
first_indexed | 2024-04-13T16:48:08Z |
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institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2087-7021 2338-3437 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-13T16:48:08Z |
publishDate | 2013-07-01 |
publisher | Badan Penelitian dan Pengembangan Kesehatan |
record_format | Article |
series | Health Science Journal of Indonesia |
spelling | doaj.art-26031e57ba324438bfb9304c9562d3d12022-12-22T02:39:01ZengBadan Penelitian dan Pengembangan KesehatanHealth Science Journal of Indonesia2087-70212338-34372013-07-0141 Jun222610.22435/hsji.v4i1 Jun.3092.22-263088The relationship of climate to dengue cases in Manado, North Sulawesi: 2001-2010Jusniar Ariati0Anwar Musadad1The National Institute of Health Research and Development, Ministry of Health of IndonesiaThe National Institute of Health Research and Development, Ministry of Health of IndonesiaAbstrak<br />Latar belakang: Kondisi iklim merupakan salah satu faktor yang berpengaruh terhadap Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD). Penelitian ini mengeksplorasi faktor iklim yang dominan terhadap jumlah kasus DBD di <br />Kota Manado. Metode:Data on the number of dengue cases per month for 10 years (2001-2010) from the Health Department of the city of Manado, while the climate data (temperature, humidity, rainfall and rainy days) <br />derived from the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG). To determine the dominant factors of the number of dengue cases used linear regression method. Hasil:Pada musim hujan periode bulan Januari-Maret suhu merupakan faktor dominan berpengaruh <br />terhadap jumlah kasus DBD, yaitu dengan meningkatnya suhu sebesar 1<br />0 C akan menurunkan jumlah kasus DBD sebanyak 18 kasus [koefisien regresi (β) = -18,47; P = 0,133]. Pada musim kemarau bulan April-Juli <br />kelembaban dan hari hujan merupakan faktor dominan yang berpengaruh terhadap jumlah kasus DBD. Meningkatnya 1 poin kelembaban akan meningkatkan sebanyak 2,4 kasus (β) = 2,44; P = 0,021). Sebaliknya <br />dengan bertambahnya satu hari hujan akan menurunkan 2 kasus DBD (β= 2,05; P = 0,024). Pada musim hujan periode bulan Agustus-Desember yang menjadi faktor dominan adalah kelembaban dan hari hujan. Dengan meningkatnya 1 poin kelembaban akan meningkatkan 13,6 kasus (β= 13.65; P =0.100). Namun, dengan meningkatnya 1 point hari hujan akan menurunkan 7 kasus DBD (β= -7,69; P =0,035). <br />Kesimpulan: Pada setiap musim terdapat perbedaan faktor iklim yang berdeda terhadap DBD di kota Manado. (Health Science Indones 2013;1:22-6) Kata kunci:demam berdarah dengue, iklim, suhu, kelembaban, hari hujan<br /><br />Abstract<br />Background: Climatic condition is one of the factors that influence Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF). This study explores the correlation between climate and the number of dengue cases in the city of Manado.<br />Methods: Data on the number of dengue cases per month for 10 years (2001-2010) in Manado was available from the Health Department of the city of Manado, while the climate data (temperature, humidity, rainfall <br />and rainy days) was derived from the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG). Linear regression was used to determine the dominant climatic factors related to the number of dengue cases.<br />Results: In the rainy season period from January to March temperature was the dominant factor affecting the number of dengue cases. An increase in temperature of 1 o C would reduce the number of dengue cases by 18 [regression coefficient (β) = -18.47; P =0.133]. While in the dry season period from April to July humidity and rainy days were the dominant factors affecting the number of dengue cases. An increase of 1 point of moisture was found to increase the number of dengue cases by 2.4 (β= 2.44; P = 0.021). However, 1 day of rain decreased the number of dengue cases by as much as 2 (β= 2.05; P = 0.024). In the rainy season period from August to December, the dominant factors were humidity and rainy days. An increase of 1 point in the humidity was found to increase the number of cases by 13.6 (β= 13.65; P =0.100). However, an increase of 1-point in the rainy days was found to reduce the number of dengue cases by 7 (β= -7.69; P =0.035). Conclusion: In the city of Manado, the dominant climatic factors for DHF varied by season. (Health Science Indones 2013;1:22-6) Key words: dengue hemorrhagic fever, climate, temperature, humidity, rain <br />http://ejournal.litbang.kemkes.go.id/index.php/HSJI/article/view/3092dengue hemorrhagic fever, climate, temperature, humidity, rain |
spellingShingle | Jusniar Ariati Anwar Musadad The relationship of climate to dengue cases in Manado, North Sulawesi: 2001-2010 Health Science Journal of Indonesia dengue hemorrhagic fever, climate, temperature, humidity, rain |
title | The relationship of climate to dengue cases in Manado, North Sulawesi: 2001-2010 |
title_full | The relationship of climate to dengue cases in Manado, North Sulawesi: 2001-2010 |
title_fullStr | The relationship of climate to dengue cases in Manado, North Sulawesi: 2001-2010 |
title_full_unstemmed | The relationship of climate to dengue cases in Manado, North Sulawesi: 2001-2010 |
title_short | The relationship of climate to dengue cases in Manado, North Sulawesi: 2001-2010 |
title_sort | relationship of climate to dengue cases in manado north sulawesi 2001 2010 |
topic | dengue hemorrhagic fever, climate, temperature, humidity, rain |
url | http://ejournal.litbang.kemkes.go.id/index.php/HSJI/article/view/3092 |
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