The narrowing gap in developed and developing country emission intensities reduces global trade’s carbon leakage

Abstract International trade affects CO2 emissions by redistributing production activities to places where the emission intensities are different from the place of consumption. This study focuses on the net emission change as the result of the narrowing gap in emission intensities between the export...

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Main Authors: Jing Meng, Jingwen Huo, Zengkai Zhang, Yu Liu, Zhifu Mi, Dabo Guan, Kuishuang Feng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-06-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39449-7
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author Jing Meng
Jingwen Huo
Zengkai Zhang
Yu Liu
Zhifu Mi
Dabo Guan
Kuishuang Feng
author_facet Jing Meng
Jingwen Huo
Zengkai Zhang
Yu Liu
Zhifu Mi
Dabo Guan
Kuishuang Feng
author_sort Jing Meng
collection DOAJ
description Abstract International trade affects CO2 emissions by redistributing production activities to places where the emission intensities are different from the place of consumption. This study focuses on the net emission change as the result of the narrowing gap in emission intensities between the exporter and importer. Here we show that the relocation of production activities from the global North (developed countries) to the global South (developing countries) in the early 2000s leads to an increase in global emissions due to the higher emission intensities in China and India. The related net emissions are about one-third of the total emissions embodied in the South-North trade. However, the narrowing emission intensities between South-North and the changing trade patterns results in declining net emissions in trade in the past decade. The convergence of emission intensities in the global South alleviates concerns that increasing South-South trade would lead to increased carbon leakage and carbon emissions. The mitigation opportunity to green the supply chain lies in sectors such as electricity, mineral products and chemical products, but calls for a universal assessment of emission intensities and concerted effort.
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spelling doaj.art-2604986fd9d840979c3242b69099b5872023-06-25T11:21:12ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232023-06-0114111010.1038/s41467-023-39449-7The narrowing gap in developed and developing country emission intensities reduces global trade’s carbon leakageJing Meng0Jingwen Huo1Zengkai Zhang2Yu Liu3Zhifu Mi4Dabo Guan5Kuishuang Feng6The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College LondonDepartment of Earth System Science, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Institute for Global Change Studies, Tsinghua UniversityState Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, College of the Environment and Ecology, Xiamen UniversityCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityThe Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College LondonThe Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College LondonDepartment of Geographical Sciences, University of MarylandAbstract International trade affects CO2 emissions by redistributing production activities to places where the emission intensities are different from the place of consumption. This study focuses on the net emission change as the result of the narrowing gap in emission intensities between the exporter and importer. Here we show that the relocation of production activities from the global North (developed countries) to the global South (developing countries) in the early 2000s leads to an increase in global emissions due to the higher emission intensities in China and India. The related net emissions are about one-third of the total emissions embodied in the South-North trade. However, the narrowing emission intensities between South-North and the changing trade patterns results in declining net emissions in trade in the past decade. The convergence of emission intensities in the global South alleviates concerns that increasing South-South trade would lead to increased carbon leakage and carbon emissions. The mitigation opportunity to green the supply chain lies in sectors such as electricity, mineral products and chemical products, but calls for a universal assessment of emission intensities and concerted effort.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39449-7
spellingShingle Jing Meng
Jingwen Huo
Zengkai Zhang
Yu Liu
Zhifu Mi
Dabo Guan
Kuishuang Feng
The narrowing gap in developed and developing country emission intensities reduces global trade’s carbon leakage
Nature Communications
title The narrowing gap in developed and developing country emission intensities reduces global trade’s carbon leakage
title_full The narrowing gap in developed and developing country emission intensities reduces global trade’s carbon leakage
title_fullStr The narrowing gap in developed and developing country emission intensities reduces global trade’s carbon leakage
title_full_unstemmed The narrowing gap in developed and developing country emission intensities reduces global trade’s carbon leakage
title_short The narrowing gap in developed and developing country emission intensities reduces global trade’s carbon leakage
title_sort narrowing gap in developed and developing country emission intensities reduces global trade s carbon leakage
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39449-7
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