Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment.
We tested the predictions of HyGene (Thomas, Dougherty, Sprenger, & Harbison, 2008) that both divided attention at encoding and judgment should affect degree to which participants’ probability judgments violate the principle of additivity. In two experiments, we showed that divided attention...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2011-06-01
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Series: | Frontiers in Psychology |
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Online Access: | http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2011.00129/full |
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author | Amber M Sprenger Michael Dougherty Sharona M Atkins Ana M Franco-Watkins Rick Thomas Nicholas Lange Brandon Abbs |
author_facet | Amber M Sprenger Michael Dougherty Sharona M Atkins Ana M Franco-Watkins Rick Thomas Nicholas Lange Brandon Abbs |
author_sort | Amber M Sprenger |
collection | DOAJ |
description | We tested the predictions of HyGene (Thomas, Dougherty, Sprenger, & Harbison, 2008) that both divided attention at encoding and judgment should affect degree to which participants’ probability judgments violate the principle of additivity. In two experiments, we showed that divided attention during judgment leads to an increase in subadditivity, suggesting that the comparison process for probability judgments is capacity limited. Contrary to the predictions of HyGene, a third experiment revealed that divided attention during encoding leads to an increase in later probability judgment made under full attention. The effect of divided attention at encoding on judgment was completely mediated by the number of hypotheses participants generated, indicating that limitations in both encoding and recall can cascade into biases in judgments. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-12T13:56:38Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-26329cfb55ba4f039edd35071556d6b1 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1664-1078 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-12T13:56:38Z |
publishDate | 2011-06-01 |
publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
record_format | Article |
series | Frontiers in Psychology |
spelling | doaj.art-26329cfb55ba4f039edd35071556d6b12022-12-22T03:30:20ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychology1664-10782011-06-01210.3389/fpsyg.2011.001291809Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment.Amber M Sprenger0Michael Dougherty1Sharona M Atkins2Ana M Franco-Watkins3Rick Thomas4Nicholas Lange5Brandon Abbs6University of MarylandUniversity of MarylandUniversity of MarylandAuburnUniversity of OklahomaUniversity of OklahomaHarvard Medical SchoolWe tested the predictions of HyGene (Thomas, Dougherty, Sprenger, & Harbison, 2008) that both divided attention at encoding and judgment should affect degree to which participants’ probability judgments violate the principle of additivity. In two experiments, we showed that divided attention during judgment leads to an increase in subadditivity, suggesting that the comparison process for probability judgments is capacity limited. Contrary to the predictions of HyGene, a third experiment revealed that divided attention during encoding leads to an increase in later probability judgment made under full attention. The effect of divided attention at encoding on judgment was completely mediated by the number of hypotheses participants generated, indicating that limitations in both encoding and recall can cascade into biases in judgments.http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2011.00129/fullworking memoryComparison processHyGenehypothesis generationProbability judgmentRecall |
spellingShingle | Amber M Sprenger Michael Dougherty Sharona M Atkins Ana M Franco-Watkins Rick Thomas Nicholas Lange Brandon Abbs Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment. Frontiers in Psychology working memory Comparison process HyGene hypothesis generation Probability judgment Recall |
title | Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment. |
title_full | Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment. |
title_fullStr | Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment. |
title_full_unstemmed | Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment. |
title_short | Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment. |
title_sort | implications of cognitive load for hypothesis generation and probability judgment |
topic | working memory Comparison process HyGene hypothesis generation Probability judgment Recall |
url | http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2011.00129/full |
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