Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment.

We tested the predictions of HyGene (Thomas, Dougherty, Sprenger, & Harbison, 2008) that both divided attention at encoding and judgment should affect degree to which participants’ probability judgments violate the principle of additivity. In two experiments, we showed that divided attention...

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Main Authors: Amber M Sprenger, Michael Dougherty, Sharona M Atkins, Ana M Franco-Watkins, Rick Thomas, Nicholas Lange, Brandon Abbs
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2011-06-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2011.00129/full
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author Amber M Sprenger
Michael Dougherty
Sharona M Atkins
Ana M Franco-Watkins
Rick Thomas
Nicholas Lange
Brandon Abbs
author_facet Amber M Sprenger
Michael Dougherty
Sharona M Atkins
Ana M Franco-Watkins
Rick Thomas
Nicholas Lange
Brandon Abbs
author_sort Amber M Sprenger
collection DOAJ
description We tested the predictions of HyGene (Thomas, Dougherty, Sprenger, & Harbison, 2008) that both divided attention at encoding and judgment should affect degree to which participants’ probability judgments violate the principle of additivity. In two experiments, we showed that divided attention during judgment leads to an increase in subadditivity, suggesting that the comparison process for probability judgments is capacity limited. Contrary to the predictions of HyGene, a third experiment revealed that divided attention during encoding leads to an increase in later probability judgment made under full attention. The effect of divided attention at encoding on judgment was completely mediated by the number of hypotheses participants generated, indicating that limitations in both encoding and recall can cascade into biases in judgments.
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spelling doaj.art-26329cfb55ba4f039edd35071556d6b12022-12-22T03:30:20ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychology1664-10782011-06-01210.3389/fpsyg.2011.001291809Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment.Amber M Sprenger0Michael Dougherty1Sharona M Atkins2Ana M Franco-Watkins3Rick Thomas4Nicholas Lange5Brandon Abbs6University of MarylandUniversity of MarylandUniversity of MarylandAuburnUniversity of OklahomaUniversity of OklahomaHarvard Medical SchoolWe tested the predictions of HyGene (Thomas, Dougherty, Sprenger, & Harbison, 2008) that both divided attention at encoding and judgment should affect degree to which participants’ probability judgments violate the principle of additivity. In two experiments, we showed that divided attention during judgment leads to an increase in subadditivity, suggesting that the comparison process for probability judgments is capacity limited. Contrary to the predictions of HyGene, a third experiment revealed that divided attention during encoding leads to an increase in later probability judgment made under full attention. The effect of divided attention at encoding on judgment was completely mediated by the number of hypotheses participants generated, indicating that limitations in both encoding and recall can cascade into biases in judgments.http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2011.00129/fullworking memoryComparison processHyGenehypothesis generationProbability judgmentRecall
spellingShingle Amber M Sprenger
Michael Dougherty
Sharona M Atkins
Ana M Franco-Watkins
Rick Thomas
Nicholas Lange
Brandon Abbs
Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment.
Frontiers in Psychology
working memory
Comparison process
HyGene
hypothesis generation
Probability judgment
Recall
title Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment.
title_full Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment.
title_fullStr Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment.
title_full_unstemmed Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment.
title_short Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment.
title_sort implications of cognitive load for hypothesis generation and probability judgment
topic working memory
Comparison process
HyGene
hypothesis generation
Probability judgment
Recall
url http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2011.00129/full
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