Forecasting of flash floods by Algorithm of Storm Prediction
This article focuses on the forecasting of flash floods using the Algorithm of Storm Prediction as a new tool to predict convective precipitation, severe phenomena and the risk of flash floods. The first part of the article contains information on methods for predicting dangerous severe phenomena. T...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
EDP Sciences
2018-01-01
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| Series: | MATEC Web of Conferences |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/201821004033 |
| _version_ | 1830373276262596608 |
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| author | Šaur David Víchová Kateřina |
| author_facet | Šaur David Víchová Kateřina |
| author_sort | Šaur David |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This article focuses on the forecasting of flash floods using the Algorithm of Storm Prediction as a new tool to predict convective precipitation, severe phenomena and the risk of flash floods. The first part of the article contains information on methods for predicting dangerous severe phenomena. This algorithm uses mainly data from numerical weather prediction models (NWP models), database of historic weather events and relief characteristics describing the influence of orography on the initiation of atmospheric convection. The result section includes verification of predicted algorithm outputs, selected NWP models and warnings of CHMI and ESTOFEX on three events related to the floods that hit the Zlín Region between years of 2015 - 2017. The main result is a report with prediction outputs of the algorithm visualized in maps for the territory of municipalities with extended competence and their regions. The outputs of the algorithm will be used primarily to increase the effectiveness of preventive measures against flash floods not only by the Fire Rescue Service of Czech Republic but also by the flood and crisis management authorities. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-20T07:16:37Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-268f161b50c643c7ad424fb61d9e34ac |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2261-236X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-20T07:16:37Z |
| publishDate | 2018-01-01 |
| publisher | EDP Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | MATEC Web of Conferences |
| spelling | doaj.art-268f161b50c643c7ad424fb61d9e34ac2022-12-21T19:48:46ZengEDP SciencesMATEC Web of Conferences2261-236X2018-01-012100403310.1051/matecconf/201821004033matecconf_cscc2018_04033Forecasting of flash floods by Algorithm of Storm PredictionŠaur DavidVíchová KateřinaThis article focuses on the forecasting of flash floods using the Algorithm of Storm Prediction as a new tool to predict convective precipitation, severe phenomena and the risk of flash floods. The first part of the article contains information on methods for predicting dangerous severe phenomena. This algorithm uses mainly data from numerical weather prediction models (NWP models), database of historic weather events and relief characteristics describing the influence of orography on the initiation of atmospheric convection. The result section includes verification of predicted algorithm outputs, selected NWP models and warnings of CHMI and ESTOFEX on three events related to the floods that hit the Zlín Region between years of 2015 - 2017. The main result is a report with prediction outputs of the algorithm visualized in maps for the territory of municipalities with extended competence and their regions. The outputs of the algorithm will be used primarily to increase the effectiveness of preventive measures against flash floods not only by the Fire Rescue Service of Czech Republic but also by the flood and crisis management authorities.https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/201821004033 |
| spellingShingle | Šaur David Víchová Kateřina Forecasting of flash floods by Algorithm of Storm Prediction MATEC Web of Conferences |
| title | Forecasting of flash floods by Algorithm of Storm Prediction |
| title_full | Forecasting of flash floods by Algorithm of Storm Prediction |
| title_fullStr | Forecasting of flash floods by Algorithm of Storm Prediction |
| title_full_unstemmed | Forecasting of flash floods by Algorithm of Storm Prediction |
| title_short | Forecasting of flash floods by Algorithm of Storm Prediction |
| title_sort | forecasting of flash floods by algorithm of storm prediction |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/201821004033 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT saurdavid forecastingofflashfloodsbyalgorithmofstormprediction AT vichovakaterina forecastingofflashfloodsbyalgorithmofstormprediction |